Hong Kong Commercial Banking Report Q2 2010
Business Monitor International, March 2010, Pages: 54
The Hong Kong Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Hong Kong's commercial banking industry.
Since Q108, BMI have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. They do this through their Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures BMI capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of their insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the Limits of Potential Returns includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the Limits of Potential Returns, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the Risks to the Realisation of Returns also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMIs assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that take into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.
Further details on how BMI calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the Limits of Potential Returns are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the Limits of Potential Returns, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the Risks to the Realisation of Returns category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it, and Moodys Investor Services ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMIs long-term risk rating.
Executive Summary
Table: Levels (HKDbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At December 2009
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2010-2014 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2010
Table: Projected Levels (HKDbn)
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)
SWOT Analysis
Hong Kong Commercial Banking SWOT
Hong Kong Political SWOT
Hong Kong Economic SWOT
Hong Kong Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment Outlook
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Asia Banking Sector Outlook
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2010
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn)
Table: Comparison Of US$ Per Capita Deposits (Late 2009)
Table: Interbank Rates And Bond Yields
Hong Kong Banking Sector Outlook
Falling Assets To Expose NPL Risks
Economic Outlook
Table: Hong Kong Economic Activity, 2007-2014
Competitive Landscape
Market Structure
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In Hong Kong’s Commercial Banking Sector
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: Licensed Banks In Hong Kong (January 2010)
Company Profiles
HSBC
Table: Key Statistics For HSBC, 2007-H109 (HKDmn)
Bank of China (Hong Kong)
Table: Key Statistics For Bank of China (Hong Kong), 2008-H109 (HKDmn)
Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong)
Stock Market Indicators
Balance Sheet (HKDmn, unless stated)
Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Key Ratios (%)
Hang Seng Bank
Stock Market Indicators
Balance Sheet (HKDmn, unless stated)
Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Key Ratios (%)
Bank of East Asia
Balance Sheet (HKDmn, unless stated)
Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Key Ratios (%)
Wing Hang Bank
Stock Market Indicators
Balance Sheet (HKDmn, unless stated)
Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Key Ratios (%)
Citibank Hong Kong
Table: Key Statistics For Citigroup, 2007-2008 (US$bn)
BMI Banking Sector Methodology
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- HSBC
- Bank of China (Hong Kong)
- Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong)
- Hang Seng Bank
- Bank of East Asia
- Wing Hang Bank
- Citibank Hong Kong
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