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US Mobile Wireless Backhaul 2011: Cable joins Copper, Fiber and Microwave to Meet Edge and Middle Network Needs
Visant Strategies, Inc, May 2010, Pages: 49
US Mobile Wireless Backhaul 2011: Cable joins Copper, Fiber and Microwave to Meet Edge and Middle Network Needs is a detailed analysis of the US mobile backhaul market and the emerging role of cable operators.
Particular strategic and technical strengths of cable operators and cable MSO plant that may translate into success in the US mobile wireless backhaul service market are detailed. The study also explains and enumerates drivers and inflection points that are now making mobile wireless backhaul an attractive opportunity for cable operators. An analysis of the US backhaul market is given along with the success of the use of other technologies such as fiber, microwave and copper links. Driving trends in the mobile wireless and backhaul markets such as the overall growth of wireless subscribers, 3.5G and 4G subscribers, data device use, base stations per tower as well as base station, middle-of-network elements and tower deployments are detailed. Also analyzed are 3.5G and 4G base station deployments and capital expenditures as well as future trends in voice minutes, data ARPU and overall ARPU and the migration to 3.5G and 4G.
Figures are provided through year-end 2015 for cable operator mobile backhaul service revenues, base stations deployed and connected to backhaul by cable operators and the technology choice used to backhaul the base stations. In addition, the study also provides the number of backhaul links cable operators could provision for middle-of-the-network elements such as RNCs, BSCs and LTE Gateways and the annual and monthly revenues earned from providing backhaul to these mobile wireless middle network links. Existing and future backhaul capacities per base station by generation and per cell site are quantified through 2015 as are mobile wireless carrier network and backhaul operating expenditures.
TOPICS
- Cable industry revenues from providing mobile backhaul services
- Positioning where cable operators can make their mark in the mobile wireless backhaul market
- Number of base stations that receive backhaul from cable operators
- Competition to cable operators in the mobile wireless backhaul market
- Key challenges cable operators face in the mobile wireless backhaul market
- Role cable operators will play in the middle and edge of network backhaul segments
- Cable backhaul opportunities by technology (fiber, coax)
- Mobile wireless backhaul bottlenecks and challenges
BACKHAUL AND MOBIILE WIRELESS TRENDS THROUGH 2015
- Total value of backhaul services (radio access and switching components)
- Cost of backhaul to base stations
- Average backhaul cost per base station
- Total mobile wireless network operating expenses
- Mobile wireless network capital expenditures
- Mobile wireless backhaul links employed
- Mobile wireless backhaul links by capacity
- Mobile wireless backhaul links by access technology (wireless or wireline)
- Mobile wireless backhaul links by technology (copper, coax, microwave, fiber, free space optics, satellite, other)
- Mobile wireless backhaul lines by transport mode (TDM/mixed vs. Ethernet)
- Mobile wireless base station sites in use
- Average number of mobile wireless base stations per site
- Mobile wireless sites by total backhaul capacity employed
- Mobile wireless base stations deployed total and by generation (2.5G, 3G,3.5G/4G)
- Mobile wireless subscribers and 3.5G/4G subscribers
- Mobile wireless subscribers to voice, data and total ARPU
- Mobile wireless base stations with access to fiber
- Mobile wireless network upgrade trends
- Deployments of mobile wireless switching gear (MSC, BSC/RNC)
1.0 Executive Summary
2.0 Making the Case: Cable Operators and Cellular Backhaul
2.1 Why Backhaul is the Bet to Make Now
2.2 Why Cable Operators are a Perfect Fit for Mobile Wireless Backhaul Services
2.3 Hundreds of Thousands 3.5G and 4G BTSs Will Need More Backhaul Capacity
2.4 Mobile Wireless Base Stations are Within Reach of Cable Plant
2.5 Cable Infrastructure is Ready for Mobile Wireless Backhaul
2.6 The Competition and Why Cable Operators Can Compete
2.6.1 Free of Comprising Ties
2.6.2 No Legacy to Protect
2.6.3 High Speed Infrastructure
2.6.4 Trust Factor
3.0 Challenges Cable Operators Face in Mobile Wireless Backhaul
3.1 Distance
3.2 Competition: Getting there first
3.3 Self Provisioned Backhaul: Point-to-Point Microwave
4.0 Figures for Cable Operators and Mobile Wireless Backhaul
4.1 Base Stations using Backhaul from Cable Operators
4.2 Cable Providing Backhaul to Base Stations by Platform (HFC and Fiber)
4.3 Cable Operator Revenues from Backhaul to Base Stations
4.4 Cable Operator Revenues from Backhaul to the Middle of the Network Elements
5.0 United States Mobile Carriers, Backhaul Plans and Objectives
5.1 AT&T Wireless
5.2 Sprint and Clearwire
5.3 T-Mobile
5.4 Verizon Wireless
6.0 Mobile Wireless Backhaul and Mobile Wireless Market Trends
6.1 Summary of Trends
6.2 3.5G/4G are here
6.3 Mobile Wireless Services Mostly Unscathed by Recession
6.4 Mobile Wireless Network Capital Expenditure Investment Remains Strong
6.5 United States Mobile Wireless Race Persists
6.6 Data Services Continue to Grow
6.7 Cost is Major Edge of Network Backhaul Challenge
6.8 Technology is Greatest Factor for Middle of Network Backhaul
6.9 New Solutions Taming the Backhaul Beast
6.10 Better to Build or Lease a Backhaul Network?
6.11 Incremental Upgrades and a Long Shelf Life
6.12 Copper Backhaul Challenged to Meet Increasing Backhaul Needs
6.13 Impact of WiMAX
7.0 The US Mobile Wireless Backhaul Market Through 2015
7.1 Backhaul Capacity per Base Station Generation and Future Capacity Needs
7.2 Fourth Generation Mobile Wireless Impact on Backhaul
7.3 Femtocells
7.4 Migration to IP, Multi-mode traffic
7.5 Flatter Network also Drives Backhaul Needs
8.0 Figures and Market Drivers
8.1 US Mobile Subscribers, Room for Growth with a Shift in Share
8.2 3.5 and 4G Subscribers will Fuel Greater Backhaul Needs
8.3 Cumulative Deployed Base Stations 2008 to 2015
8.4 Deployments and Shipments, Base Stations by Technology (2/2.5G, 3G, 3.5G/4G)
8.5 Deployments of MSCs and BSCs/RNCs
8.6 Cell Site Deployments and Average Base Stations per Site
8.7 Base Stations with Access to Fiber
8.8 Mobile Wireless Subscriber Data, Voice and Total ARPU
8.9 Base Stations by Backhaul Capacity
8.10 Base Station Sites by Total Backhaul Capacity
8.11 BSC/RNC and MSC Links by Backhaul Capacity
8.12 Backhaul Links by Fiber, Copper, Coax, Microwave, Free Space Optics and Others
8.13 Ethernet vs. TDM/Mixed-Services Backhaul Links
8.14 Total Operating Expenses, US Mobile Carriers
8.15 Network Operating Expenses for the US Operator
8.16 Mobile Network Backhaul Expenditures for the US Operator
8.17 Edge of Network Backhaul Expenses for the US Operator
9.0 Additional Driver: Spectrum
9.1 Established 3.5G and 4G Spectrum
9.2 New 3.5G and 4G Spectrum
9.2. 1 700 MHz Spectrum
10.0 Appendix A: 3.5G and 4G Air Interfaces
10.1 HSPA and HSPA plus Defined
10.1.1 HSPA plus Status
10.1.2 HSPA plus Time to Market
10.1.3 HSPA plus Market Factors
10.1.3.1 HSPA plus Upgrade Complexity
10.1.3.2 HSPA plus Existing Networks
10.1.4 HSPA plus Backwards Compatibility
10.1.5 Proven Air Interface
10.1.6 HSPA plus With MIMO
10.1.7 HSPA plus Economies of Scale
10.1.8 The HSPA plus Low Risk Option
10.2 LTE
10.2.1 Definitions: LTE and SAE
10.2.2 Drivers: LTE and SAE
10.2.3 LTE Design Goals
10.2.4 LTE Enabling Technologies
10.2.5 LTE Current Tests, Deployment Status and Time to Market
10.2.6 LTE Backers
10.2.7 LTE Contract, Carrier Announcements and Deployments in 2010
10.3 Mobile WiMAX
10.3.1 802.16 and WiMAX, Background
10.3.2 Standards and Task Groups of Note
10.3.3 WiMAX Frequency Allocations
10.3.4 Summary of Mobile WiMAX (802.16e) Limitations
10.3.5 Mobile WiMAX Base Station and CPE Pricing
10.3.6 Mobile WiMAX Certification Expectations
10.3.7 Mobile WiMAX Interoperability
10.3.8 Proprietary and Competing Solutions to WiMAX, both Fixed and Mobile
10.3.9 United States Mobile WiMAX carrier Clearwire Communications
10.3.10 Mobile WiMAX carriers UQ Communications and Yota
TABLES AND FIGURES
Table 1 - Cellular Base Stations Utilizing Backhaul by Cable Operators and Total Base Stations Deployed United States 2009 - 2015
Table 2 - Cellular Base Stations Utilizing Backhaul by Cable Operators Fiber vs.Coaxial Cable and Total Links United States 2009 - 2015
Table 3 - Cable Operators Mobile Wireless Backhaul Service Revenues and Average Revenue per Month United States 2009 - 2015
Table 4 - Cable Operators and Mobile Wireless Backhaul in the Middle Network Total Lines Serving BSCs, RNCs, and LTE Gateways United States 2009 - 2015
Table 5 - Cable Operator Revenues from Mobile Wireless Backhaul Services Middle of Network and Edge of Mobile Network United States 2009 - 2015
Table 6 - Homes Passed by Fiber to the Home (FTTH) United States 2009-2016
Table 7 - Commercial Buildings Passed by Fiber Buildings Greater than 5,000 Sq Ft. of Space United States 2009-2016
Table 8 - Mobile Subscribers and Penetration Rate All Technologies United States 2008-2015
Table 9 - 3.5G and 4G Mobile Subscribers vs. All Mobile Subscribers United States 2008-2015
Table 10 - Cumulative and Annual Mobile Base Station Deployments All Technologies United States 2008-2015
Table 11 - Base Stations Deployed, Total Mobile Subscribers and Average Number of Subscribers per Base Station All Technologies United States 2008-2015
Table 12 - Base Stations Deployed by Technology 2G/2.5G, 3G, 3.5/4G and Total United States 2008-2015
Table 13 - Mobile Switching Center/Central Switching Center and Base Station Controller/Radio Network Controller Deployments United States 2008-2015
Table 14 - Mobile Base Station Sites in Use United States 2008-2015
Table 15 - Average Number of Base Stations per Site United States 2008-2015
Table 16 - Mobile Wireless Base Stations Connected by Fiber vs. All Base Stations Deployed All Technologies United States 2008-2015
Table 17 - Voice, Data and Total Average Revenue per Unit and Voice and Data Share of Total ARPU All Technologies United States 2008-2015
Table 18 - Base Station Deployments by Backhaul Capacity > 24 Mbps; 18 Mbps to 1,000 Mbps; 622 Mbps to < 1,000 Mbps; 155 Mbps to < 622 Mbps; and < 155 Mbps BSC/RNC, MSC and Collector Points United States 2008-2015
Table 21 - Wireline, Wireless and Total Backhaul Links For MSC, BSC/RNC, Collector Point and BTS Connections United States 2008 - 2015
Table 22 - Backhaul Links for Middle Network Elements in Use by Technology Microwave, Fiber, Copper, Coaxial Cable, Free Space Optics and Others United States 2008 - 2015
Table 23 - Backhaul Links by Access Technology Ethernet vs. TDM/Multi Service Systems United States 2008-2015
Table 24 - Mobile Carrier Total Operating Expenditures Total Expenditures and Expenditures per Subscriber United States 2008-2015
Table 25 - Wireless Network Operating Expenditures Total Expenditures and Expenditures per Subscriber US Market 2008-2015
Table 26 - Wireless Network Operator Average Backhaul Operating Expense and Backhaul Cost per Subscriber United States 2008-2015
Table 27 - Wireless Operator Base Station Backhaul Expense and Average Backhaul Expense Per Base Station United States 2008-2015
- AT&T Wireless
- Sprint and Clearwire
- T-Mobile
- Verizon Wireless
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