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Global Middle Distillate/Diesel Fuel Outlook to 2030

Hart Energy Publishing, July 2010


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Middle distillates, which include on-road, off road diesel, marine gas oils and Number 2 heating oil, represent the largest and a growing market share of refined petroleum products. Following the recession retraction in demand, middle distillate demand will rebound strongly as economies recover. On-road diesel is projected to show the strongest rate of growth among all products. The global distillate market will be the primary market and margin driver for refiners over the next two decades. Distillate supplies will eventually tighten, especially in the ultra clean diesel market.

Middle Distillate/Diesel Fuel Outlook examines past and future trends in the distillate market and provides a long-term view on the demand, alternate supply, quality requirements and impacts of government energy and environmental initiatives.

The outlook includes insight on:

- Growth in road diesel and outlook for penetration in passenger vehicle markets,
- Role of biodiesel and renewable fuels,
- Role of Gas-to-Liquid and Coal-to-Liquid components
- Growing low sulfur requirements,
- Global shift from gasoline to diesel,
- Marine fuel quality and demand.

The outlook covers 7 regions of the world with additional breakdown for major consuming countries.

Projections are provided in 5 year increments from 2010 through 2030



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