Thin - Film Photovoltaic (PV) Cells Market Analysis to 2020 - CIGS (Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide) to Emerge as the Major Technology by 2020

GBI Research, June 2010, Pages: 78

The report provides key data, information and analysis on the current status and future outlook of Global Thin film industry. The report provides detailed volume and value forecasts to 2020 of the global thin-film PV market by technology type and geographic region. The global thin film photovoltaic (PV) market, despite of caution in the overall PV industry, is expected to experience an overwhelming growth in coming years. By 2020, the industry is set to transform itself to become the face of Solar PV industry.The study also addresses thin-film module production, production capacity, and competition among the industry players (as per technologies) along with the focus on development of emerging technologies in the thin film arena. The report entails comprehensive analysis of top 5 countries. The strongest growth for thin film, as per our analysis, will be in Europe and the US in the short to medium term. Asian countries like China, Japan, and India are also expected to speedup their escalation in the medium term. In Germany will remain strongest and the most important market for thin film PV industry.

Scope

- This comprehensive report gives a thorough analysis of global thin film photovoltaic (PV) market.
- The report covers top 5 countries – Germany, Japan, the US (United States), China and Republic of Korea.
- Cumulative and annual installed capacity from 2001 to 2009, with forecasts to 2020 for the Global Solar PV and Global Thin Film PV industry.
- Market share and comparative analysis of different thin film technologies along with forecast. Technologies covered include Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide (CIGS)
- Comparative analysis of traditional solar PV technology and thin film PV technology.
- Competitive landscape which also includes the detailed information of top 10 companies. Key companies covered include First Solar, Inc., United Solar Ovonic, LLC, Sharp Corporation, Kaneka Corporation, Trony Solar Corporation, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd.
- Key topics covered include the Market Drivers, Market Restraints, Market trends, emerging market and Investment status.

Reasons to buy

The report will enhance your decision making capability in more rapid and time sensitive manner. It will allow the user to:
- Identify key growth drivers and restrain, and competitive landscape in top 5 countries
- Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry's growth potential by developing strategies based on the industry’s emerging technologies and current market strategies adopted by the top players.
- Identify key established industry players along with start-up ventures while analyzing investment trends in the industry.
- Identify the drivers and restraints of global thin film industry along with its established technologies
- Facilitate decision making based on strong historic and forecast data.
- Understand how each technology, each at a different stage of development and adoption, are driven forward to the development path.

1.1 List of Tables
1.2 List of Figures

2 Global Energy Consumption Overview
2.1 The Breadth of Global Electricity Consumption
2.2 Emergence & Potential of Renewable Energy
2.3 Solar Energy: An Attractive Alternative

3 Global Solar Photovolataic (PV), Overview and Market Analysis, 2001-2020
3.1 Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Technology, Definition
3.2 Solar PV Value Chain
3.2.1 Silicon Feedstock
3.2.2 Ingots and Wafers
3.2.3 Solar PV Cells
3.2.4 PV Modules
3.2.5 PV System Integration/installation
3.3 Solar PV cell type
3.3.1 Crystalline Silicon (c-Si)
3.3.2 Thin Film Solar PV
3.4 Global Solar PV Market Analysis
3.4.1 Global Solar PV Market in 2009
3.4.2 Global Solar PV Market, Key factors driving the growth of the market
3.4.3 Global Solar PV Market, Key Issues Hindering Market Growth
3.4.4 Global Solar PV Installed Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity in MW, 2001-2020
3.5 Future Outlook

4 Global Thin Film Technology - Overview, Share Analysis, Efficiency and Cost Anlysis
4.1 Thin Film PV Technology Introduction & Evolution
4.1.1 Thin Film Technology, Definition
4.2 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si) Thin Film – Technology Overview, Market Analysis, and Cost – Conversion Efficiency Analysis
4.2.1 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Technology Overview
4.2.2 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Technology Evolution
4.2.3 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Cell structure
4.2.4 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Market Overview
4.2.5 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Factors Driving Technology Uptake
4.2.6 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Major Restrains Hindering the Technology Growth
4.2.7 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Cost and Conversion Efficiency analysis
4.2.8 Amorphous Silicon (a-Si), Key Industry Players
4.3 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe) Thin Film – Technology Overview, Market Analysis, and Cost – Conversion Efficiency Analysis
4.3.1 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Technology Overview
4.3.2 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Module Manufacturing Process and Other Related Details
4.3.3 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Market Overview
4.3.4 Cadmium telluride (CdTe), Key Factors Driving the Technology’s Uptake
4.3.5 Cadmium telluride (CdTe), Restraints Hindering the Technology’s Uptake
4.3.6 Cadmium Telluride (CdTe), Cost and Efficiency Analysis
4.3.7 Cadmium telluride (CdTe), Key industry players
4.4 Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide (CIGS) Thin Film - Technology Overview, Market Analysis, and Cost – Conversion Efficiency Analysis
4.4.1 CIGS, Technology Overview
4.4.2 CIGS Solar PV Cell Structure
4.4.3 CIGS Manufacturing Process
4.4.4 CIGS, Market Overview
4.4.5 CIGS, Major Factors Driving Technology Uptake
4.4.6 CIGS, Restraints Hindering Technology Uptake
4.4.7 CIGS, Cost and Efficiency Analysis
4.4.8 CIGS, Key Industry Players
4.5 Global Thin Film Solar Module Market Share by Technology
4.6 Comparative Analysis: Different Thin Film Solar PV Technologies vis-à-vis Traditional Solar PV Technology
4.6.1 Solar PV Technologies, Value Chain Analysis
4.6.2 Solar PV Technologies, Conversion Efficiency
4.6.3 Module Cost/Watt (in $) Comparative Analysis, Crystaline Silicon vis-à-vis Thin Film, 2009-2020
4.6.4 Conclusion
4.7 Thin Film Solar PV Technology, Market Segmentation by End-User

5 Global Thin Film Market – Market Analysis, Historical and Forecast Module Production and Installed Capacity, 2001-2020
5.1 Global Thin Film Market, Overview
5.2 Global Thin Film Market, Key Factors Driving Growth
5.2.1 Ambitious Expansion Plans
5.2.2 Key Properties, Advantages of Thin Film Technology Over Conventional Silicon Technology
5.2.3 Cost-effective Compared to Conventional PV Technology
5.2.4 Increase in Investment by Venture Capital Firms Driven by Technological Advances
5.2.5 Industry Leader has the Lowest Levelized Cost for Electricity (LCOE)
5.2.6 Government Support and Inclination Towards Clean Technology will Drive the Market Growth Potential
5.2.7 Global Economic Recovery
5.3 Global Thin Film Market, Restraints
5.3.1 Less Competitive – Inability to Compete with c-Si and Conventional Energy Sources on Cost
5.3.2 More Reliance on Government Subsidies and Incentives
5.3.3 Incompetent Properties
5.3.4 Easing of Silicon Shortage Leading to hike in Crystalline Silicon Demand
5.3.5 Reduction in Oil prices
5.4 Global Thin Film Solar PV Module Production in MW, 2001-2020
5.5 Global Thin Film Solar PV Installed Capacity in MW, Annual & Cumulative 2001-2020
5.6 Global Thin Film PV Technology – Increasing their Share in the Solar Photovoltaic Industry
5.7 Thin Film PV Technology Investment Scenario
5.8 Global Thin Film PV Industry Roadmap

6 Key Analysis of the Top Four Thin Film Module Producing Countries
6.1 Top Four Thin Film Producing Countries - Share in Global Thin Film Production in 2009
6.2 Germany, Thin Film Module Production – Market Overview, Historic and Forecast Production and Key Solar PV Policies
6.2.1 Germany, Thin Film Module Production, Market Overview
6.2.2 Germany, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production, 2007-2020
6.2.3 Germany, Solar Photovoltaic Regulatory Framework
6.3 Japan, Thin Film Module Production – Market Overview, Historic & Forecast Production and Key Solar PV Policies
6.3.1 Japan, Thin Film Module Production, Market Overview
6.3.2 Japan, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020
6.3.3 Japan, Solar PV Power Regulatory Framework
6.4 China, Thin Film Module Production – Market Overview, Historic & Forecast Production and Key Solar PV Policies
6.4.1 China, Thin Film Module Production, Market Overview
6.4.2 China, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020
6.4.3 China, Solar PV Power Regulatory Framework
6.5 The US Thin Film Module Production – Market Overview, Historic & Forecast Production and Key Solar PV Policies
6.5.1 The United States, Thin Film Module Production, Market Overview
6.5.2 The US, Historical and Forecast thin film module production in MW, 2001-2020
6.5.3 The US Solar PV Regulatory Framework

7 Global Thin Film Solar PV Technology, Competitive Landscape
7.1 Global Top Ten Thin Film Companies, Module Production Share, in 2009
7.2 Comparative Analysis, Major Thin Film Companies
7.2.1 Top 10 Thin Film Module Producers, Production Capacity and Production in MW, 2005-2009

8 Appendix
8.1 About the Research
8.2 Market Definition
8.2.1 Product Types covered
8.2.2 Geographies covered
8.2.3 Exchange Rate
8.2.4 Abbreviations
8.3 Methodology
8.3.1 Coverage
8.3.2 Secondary Research
8.3.3 Primary Research
8.3.4 Expert Panel Validation
8.4 Contact Us
8.5 Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: Electricity Consumption Trajectory, 1950-2050
Table 2: World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1990 – 2030, in Quadrillion Bt
Table 3: Global Solar PV market in MW, Installed Capacity (MW) 2001-2009, Key Countries
Table 4: Global Solar PV Cumulative Installed Capacity (MW), 2001-2020
Table 5: Amorphous Silicon (1X), Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020
Table 6: CdTe, Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020
Table 7: CIGS, Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020
Table 8: Thin Film Solar Module Market, by technology type, Market Share in %, 2001-2020
Table 9: Conversion Efficiency, Crystalline Silicon vis-à-vis Thin Film Solar PV, 2009-2020
Table 10: Module cost/Watt in $, Crystalline Silicon vis-à-vis Thin Film Solar PV, 2009-2020
Table 11: Global Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2001-2020
Table 12: Global Thin Film Solar PV Installed Capacity in MW, Annual and Cumulative, 2001-2020
Table 13: Thin Film Market Share in % (in Terms of Production), 2001-2020
Table 14: Major Investment in the Thin film Industry, in 2009, $m
Table 15: Germany, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020
Table 16: Germany, Solar PV Market, Digression Rates for Feed-In Tariffs, 2008-2011
Table 17: Germany, Solar PV Market, Sliding Scale for Digression Rates, 2008-2011
Table 18: Germany, Solar PV Market, Feed-in Tariffs for Ground-Mounted Installations, (cents/kWh), 2008-2015
Table 19: Germany, Payment Structure for Different Types of PV Installations, 2004
Table 20: Germany, Feed-in-Tariff, € / KWh, 2008-2009
Table 21: Japan, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020
Table 22: Japan, Solar PV Support Measures, 2008
Table 23: China, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020
Table 24: China, Solar PV Support Measures (as of 2008)
Table 25: The US, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020
Table 26: Top 10 Thin Film Companies in 2009, in Terms of Module Production Share, in MW and %
Table 27: Comparative Analysis, Major Thin Film Companies
Table 28: Top 10 Thin Film Module Producers, Module Production in MW, 2005-2009
Table 29: Top 10 Thin Film Module Producers, Production Capacities in MW, 2005-2013
Table 30: Exchange Rate Conversion to USD,2009
Table 31: Abbreviations

1.2 List of Figures

Figure 1: World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1990 – 2030, in Quadrillion Btu
Figure 2: Solar PV Value Chain
Figure 3: Solar PV Cell Type
Figure 4: Global Solar PV Market in MW, Installed Capacity (MW) 2001-2009, Key Countries
Figure 5: Global Solar PV Cumulative installed capacity (MW), 2001-2020
Figure 6: Thin Film Manufacturing Process
Figure 7: Evolution of a-Si technology
Figure 8: Amorphous Silicon Cell Structure, Single Junction
Figure 9: Amorphous Silicon Cell Structure, Triple Junction
Figure 10: Amorphous Silicon (1X), Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020
Figure 11: CdTe Solar PV Cell Structure, 2010
Figure 12: CdTe, Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020
Figure 13: CIGS, Cell Architecture
Figure 14: CIGS, Conversion Efficiency and Cost/watt in $, 2009-2020
Figure 15: Thin Film Solar Module Market, by technology type, Market Share in %, 2001-2020
Figure 16: Solar PV Technologies, Value Chain
Figure 17: Conversion Efficiency, Crystalline Silicon vis-à-vis Thin Film Solar PV, 2009-2020
Figure 18: Module Cost/Watt in $, Crystalline Silicon vis-à-vis Thin Film Solar PV, 2009-2020
Figure 19: Market segment suitability for thin film PV technologies
Figure 20: Global Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2001-2020
Figure 21: Global Thin Film Solar PV Installed Capacity in MW, Annual & Cumulative, 2001-2020
Figure 22: Thin Film Technology Share in % (in Terms of Module Production), 2001-2020
Figure 23: Solar PV Technologies, Market Penetration
Figure 24: Top Four Thin Film Producing Countries – Share in Global Thin Film Production in 2009, (Production in MW)
Figure 25: Germany, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020
Figure 26: Japan, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020
Figure 27: China, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020
Figure 28: The US, Historical and Forecast Thin Film Module Production in MW, 2007-2020
Figure 29: Top 10 Thin Film Companies in 2009, in Terms of Module production Share , %
Figure 30: Top 10 Companies, Production Capacity and Module Production in MW, 2009
Figure 31:GBI Research Methodology

“Thin - Film Photovoltaic (PV) Cells Market Analysis to 2020- CIGS (Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide) to Emerge as the Major Technology by 2020” provides key information and analysis on the market opportunities in the Global thin film Solar PV industry. The report covers the key market drivers, restrains and growth forecast for major thin film technologies – Amorphous silicon (a-Si), Cadium Telluride (Cdte), and Copper Indium Gallium Diselenide (CIGS). The report entails comprehensive analysis of thin-film module production, production capacity, key countries and key industry players. The key study focuses on the global thin film PV industry market outlook along with comparative analysis of different technologies.

The report is built using data and information sourced from proprietary databases, primary and secondary research, and in house analysis by a team of industry experts.

The Evolving Thin Film industry Growth Trajectory to Gain Pace Going Forward

Thin-film PV technology witnessed minimal research activities till the early 1980’s. Post this period, it witnessed a constant advancement, in terms of manufacturing technology and materials used. The pursuit of cost-effective electricity generating technology lured major corporations and investors towards the thin film PV industry. The industry saw more than 100 companies entering the market between 2001 and 2009. Thin film PV technology has seen a major development leap from only being associated with the little strip of PV cells used in power calculators to sophisticated Building Integrated PV or solar charges for mobile devices. From a mere 14 MW production in 2001 the market has grown to reach 2,141 MW in 2009, at a CAGR of 58%. The market outlook for the coming decade appears promising as the major thin film producing countries - Japan, China, and the US - are announcing aggressive support for renewable energy expansion through incentives and regulations. In retrospect, the thin film module production is projected to grow at the rate of 24% between 2009 and 2020, to reach 22,214 MW production by 2020.

Thin Film Technology Gaining Increasing Share in the Solar Photovoltaic industry

Over period of time, the thin film technology has been successful in grabbing a larger share of the PV market. Thin film production market share in the global solar PV market grew from a mere 2.8% in 2001 to 25% in 2009, thus dictating a growing share in the future. Thin film solar PV, as per GBI Research’s estimation, is set to increase its share to ~38% by 2020. Expectations are that, in the long-term, thin film solar PV technology would surpass the dominating conventional solar PV technology, thus enabling the long sought-after grid parity objective.

- Unisolar
- Kaneka
- Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
- Sharp
- Moser Baer
- Fuji Electric Systems
- First Solar
- Abound Solar, Inc.
- Wuerth Solar GmbH
- Avancis AG
- Solibro GmbH
- Showa Cell
- Global Solar
- Ascent Solar Technologies

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