India Infrastructure Report Q3 2010
Business Monitor International, June 2010, Pages: 135
Business Monitor International's India Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, infrastructure associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on India's infrastructure industry.
India's Planning Commission has said that investment in the country's infrastructure sector has doubled over the last five years, from 4% of GDP to 8%. The commission member in charge of the infrastructure sector, BK Chaturvedi, said that the commission had targeted INR22.5trn (US$500bn) in investment for infrastructure development under the 11th five-year plan (2007-2012), and hopes to achieve this either within the stipulated time period or in the first year of the 12th five-year plan.
The major developments in India’s infrastructure sector over the previous quarter were:
- The announcement of the 12th Five Year Plan (2012-2017) infrastructure target of US$1trn invested in India’s infrastructure by the end of the period, with 50% coming from the private sector. This is more than double the target of the 11th Five Year Plan (2007-2012);
- The acquisition of 44% in power generation investment group Asian Genco (AGPL) by a consortium of global infrastructure funds;
- Launch of infrastructure funds from domestic players Tata and Larsen&Toubro and the stateowned India Infrastructure Debt Fund; and,
- Proposals have been tabled to audit the existing public-private partnership (PPP) legislation governing the sector and also allow pension and provident funds to invest some of their capital in infrastructure.
Recently released indicators for the final months of 2009 and the beginning of 2010, show that the infrastructure and construction sector growth in India accelerated towards the end of 2009. According to the Reserve Bank of India, growth in cement and steel output between November 2009 and January 2010 is indicative of an improvement in construction sector activity. Cement production increased by 10% year-on-year (y-o-y) to reach 132mn tonnes and consumption reached 130mn. The same data indicate that the entire construction industry avoided a steep decline during the downturn. Ongoing infrastructure building activity sustained the industry value from falling further. This has been filtered in to our forecasts, which estimate that infrastructure industry value increased over 2008 by 19%. The fact that India has managed to escape the worst economic crisis for generations relatively unaffected, underlines the growth prospects for the sector.
New official data for 2008/2009 indicate that the overall construction sector did not do as well as expected, though industry value real growth was still an enviable 5.9%, with industry value reaching INR4.3trn (US$95bn). For 2009/2010 we forecast that construction industry value real growth will be 6.5%, reaching INR5.2trn (US$110bn). Infrastructure industry value accounted for 45.7% over 2008/2009, as we had forecasted previously. Infrastructure industry value is forecast to register 5.2% industry value real growth over 2009/2010 reaching value of INR2.3bn (US$50bn).
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- India Infrastructure Industry SWOT
- India Infrastructure Project Finance SWOT
- India Economic SWOT
- India Political SWOT
Market Overview
- India
- Table: Project Investment in Infrastructure during 11th Five Year Plan – 2007/08 2011/12
- Table: India’s Infrastructure Funds
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data
- Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
- Table: Nuclear Capacity Present and Planned
- Transport Infrastructure
- Table: Transport Industry Data
- Transport Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Transport Infrastructure Overview
- Major Projects – New and Ongoing Projects
- Airports
- Ports
- Roads And Bridges
- Railways
- Major Projects Table – Transport
- Table: Major Infrastructure Projects – Transport
- Energy and Utilities Infrastructure
- Table: Energy & Utilities And Infrastructure Industry Data
- Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Overview
- Major Projects – New and Ongoing Projects
- Power Plants
- Oil And Gas Pipelines
- Water
- Major Projects Table – Energy and Utilities
- Table: Major Infrastructure Projects – Energy & Utilities
Business Environment
- India Business Environment
- Limits Of Potential Returns
- Risk To Realisation Of Potential Returns
- Regional Overview
- Asia Pacific Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Regional Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
- Project Finance Ratings
- India Project Finance Ratings
- Design and Construction
- Commissioning and Operating
- Overall Project Finance Rating
- Regional Overview
- Project Finance Ratings: Outlook For Asia Pacific
- Table: Design and Construction Rating
- Table: Commissioning and Operating Rating
- Table: Overall Project Finance Rating
Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: India – GDP By Expenditure, % Of GDP
- Political Outlook
- Domestic Politics
- Foreign Policy
- Long-Term Political Outlook
- The Naxalite Threat: Should Investors Be Worried?
Company Monitor
- Gammon India Ltd
- Reliance Infrastructure
Global Overview
- Global Project Finance Ratings
- Table: Design and Construction Rating
- Table: Commissioning and Operating Rating
- Table: Overall Project Finance Rating
- Global Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
- China And India Break Into Top 10
- Table: Global Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings, April 2010
Methodology
- New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors: Methodology
- Infrastructure Forecasts: Methodology
- Sources
- Industry Forecasts
- Construction Industry
- Data Methodology
- Construction
- Capital Investment
- Construction Sector Employment
- Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
- Ratings Overview
- Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
- Project Finance Ratings
- Table: Design And Construction Phase
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Commercial Construction
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Energy And Utilities
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Transport
- Sources
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