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Rhodium Market Outlook
CPM Group, Sep 2009, Pages: 100
Rhodium Market Outlook
A comprehensive study of the global rhodium market including projections through 2018 of rhodium supply by mine, demand by end-use, and prices.
The price of rhodium rose to average $9,493 in June 2008. By December, the price of rhodium averaged $1,050, down 89% from its June peak. Producers, consumers, refiners, and investors have been whipsawed by volatile rhodium prices and market conditions. This report is designed to provide a detailed explanation of the supply and demand forces driving rhodium prices as well as fundamental, statistically grounded projections of what may happen to rhodium prices over the next ten years.
This report addresses in detail the following specific fundamentals and issues supportive of this reports ten-year rhodium price outlook:
- Mining industry in South Africa
- Significance of mining in the rhodium rich Upper Group 2 (UG2) ore body
- South African PGM cash costs
- Market implications of the South African rand and U.S. dollar exchange rate
- Effect of the global recession on South African mining
- Global rhodium mine production
- Effect of the global economic slowdown on secondary recovery of rhodium
- Effect of auto scrappage schemes and other incentives
- Stricter emissions standards and median age
- Thrifting of metal
- Typical flow of scrapped vehicles in developed countries
- Rhodium fabrication demand
- Rhodium demand in automotive catalysts
- Global vehicle sales
- Trends in the US, BRIC, European, and Japanese auto markets
- Global emissions standards by major market
- Other end-uses
- Potential threats to the use of rhodium in auto catalysts, such as nano technology and alternatives to the traditional internal combustion engine
- Investment demand and consumer inventories
- High and low case alternate scenarios
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