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Mozambique - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Forecasts

Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd., May 2011, Pages: 28


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Third network expected to deliver boost to mobile market
This annual report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Mozambique’s telecommunications market. Subjects covered include:

One of the highest growth potential telecom markets in Africa;
Key statistics;
Market and industry overviews;
Government policies affecting the telecoms industry;
Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
The impact of the global economic crisis;
Telecoms operators – privatisation, IPOs, acquisitions, new licences;
Major players (fixed, mobile and broadband);
Infrastructure development;
Mobile voice and data markets, including 3G;
Average Revenue per User (ARPU) trends and analysis;
Internet and broadband development and pricing;
The impact of the country’s first international submarine fibre optic cables;
Convergence (voice/data, fixed/wireless/mobile).Almost two decades of peace and radical reforms have transformed Mozambique into one of the fastest and most consistently growing economies in the world. It escaped the global economic crisis with barely a dent in its GDP growth which is expected to stay above 7% from 2011 onwards.
The country was one of the first in the region to reform its telecommunications landscape, immediately after a long civil war ended in 1992. The mobile sub-sector has experienced excellent growth rates following the introduction of competition in 2003 between Vodacom Mozambique and mCel, the incumbent mobile subsidiary of the national telco, TDM.
However, market penetration is still well below the African average. The expected launch of Mobitel as the third mobile network in late 2011 is expected to deliver a boost to subscriber growth in the sector but also drive the average revenue per user (ARPU) lower again which had already stabilised following the introduction of mobile broadband services and higher tariffs.
The government is intent on introducing competition to the fixed-line sector as well, but it is hesitating to privatise TDM. All other services are open to competition, subject to licensing by the industry regulator, INCM.
Internet usage in the country has been hampered by the inadequate fixed-line infrastructure and the high cost of international bandwidth, but this market sector is now accelerating following the introduction of various kinds of broadband services including ADSL, cable modems, WiMAX and 3G mobile, and the landing of two international submarine fibre optic cables in the country (Seacom and EASSy). The lower cost of bandwidth has already led to drastic reductions in broadband retail prices. Further improvements can be expected from the ongoing rollout of a national fibre backbone network and plans for an alternative fibre infrastructure.
Market highlights:

Third mobile network expected to launch in late 2011;
Mobile market forecasts for 2013 and 2016;
Estimates for mobile, fixed-line and Internet market to end-2011 and 2012;
Profiles of major players in all market sectors;
National fibre rollout;
Alternative fibre infrastructure planned;
Pricing comparison of all major broadband services (ADSL, cable TV, WiMAX, EV-DO, 3G mobile);
Analysis of broadband price changes due to international fibre.Estimated market penetration rates in Mozambique’s telecoms sector – end 2011
MarketPenetration rate
Mobile35%
Fixed0.3%
Internet6%
()




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