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Hydro, Wave, and Tidal Power--Market Penetration and Roadmapping

Frost & Sullivan, March 2010, Pages: 78


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This research service analyzes disruptive technology, market penetration and technology roadmapping for wave, tidal and hydro energy across regions.

This Frost & Sullivan research service titled Hydro, Wave, and Tidal Power--Market Penetration and Roadmapping provides an in-depth analysis of market drivers and restraints, industry structure, and competitive environment, besides dealing with the challenges and issues faced by market participants. In addition, the current technology adoption cycle employed by various countries is examined. A technology roadmap for hydro, wave, and tidal energy is developed to determine their current and future status.

Market Overview

Hydro, Wave, and Tidal Power Market Outlook Positive as Renewable Energies are Propelled to the Forefront

Prospects for the hydro, wave, and tidal power market look upbeat as countries are investing in renewable energy sources to augment energy security. It is estimated that the worldwide wave resources is 6,000 TWh/year, twice as much as global nuclear production and 700 TWh/year for tidal power. In other words, the market potential for the wave industry is about $1 trillion worldwide. 'It is projected that commercialization of wave and tidal energy will take place in the next 5-10 years as the technology evolves and production costs decline,' notes the analyst of this research service. 'Wave and tidal energy are expected to be deployed on a commercial scale due to its large promising resource and high market potential; it is crucial for technology developers to push through into the commercialization phase.'

The future of wave and tidal energy depends heavily on financial funding from public, private, and government entities. The deployment of wave and tidal technology will not be easily achievable due to large initial installation cost. The United Kingdom has provided £8 million for European Marine Energy Research Centre (EMEC). This research centre will serve as a testing facility for technology developers to create their devices. In another example, the UK Government has set up £22 million funding to offset the large capital cost during the installation stage. In another case, Marine Current Turbines has raised sufficient funding to commercialize its 5-MW SeaGen technology. According to Alvin Smith, CEO of Dartmouth Wave Energy Ltd, the current cost for wave energy is estimated to be £2 million per MW. Apart from this, the policies and regulations set by the government and the lack of awareness on the potential of wave and tidal resources are stalling market momentum. The extremely harsh weather conditions of the ocean require the technology to be very robust. Pelamis Wave Power has halted its 2.5 MW wave farm in Portugal indefinitely. The reason cited for this is water leakage, which has severely affected their buoyancy device. Apart from this, the company is short on funds due to the recent economic recession.

'To ensure productive outcomes in this space, participants must accelerate their R&D efforts, conduct more sea trials and reduce overall material usage,' says the analyst. 'Participants must secure more funding from public, private and government sectors by developing prototypes for demonstrations or trial purposes.' By securing ample financial assistance, large-scale devices can be developed to generate more electricity (MW range) instead of prototype scale (kW range). Case in point, Pelamis Wave Power has managed to secure £4.8 million funding from the UK Government’s Marine Renewable Proving Fund (MRPF). Technology developers could collaborate with each other to accelerate the commercialization phase, while reducing the overall cost. Joint ventures between companies and governments will serve to boost future development in marine renewable energies. Seabased AB, one of the key competitors in the wave industry, has collaborated with Fortum Kellaniem to develop the largest wave farm in Sweden, capable of generating 10-MW capacity. Collaborations will not only ratchet down costs, but also help to compete with other renewable technologies, such as solar, hydro, and wind.

Technologies

The following technologies are covered in this research:

- Underwater turbines/generators
- Buoyant devices
- Micro turbines


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