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Credit and Credibility
The Emerging Trends Report, July 2009, Pages: 672
The result of more than 8 months of research, Credit & Credibility is the authors comprehensive assessment of today's financial markets and what we consider to be the five most pressing issues the global economy will face in the years ahead.
The first five chapters of the eBook, which we have made available below as free downloads, explore the following critical issues:
Chapter 1: 'Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain!' discusses fiat currency, the financial excesses and abuse it engenders, interventionist policy response to perpetuate it, and the role of the US dollar going forward;
Chapter 2: 'Nobody's right when everybody's wrong' develops our contention that all fiat currencies today have become derivatives of the US dollar;
Chapter 3: 'May you live in interesting times' explores the extent to which emerging markets can decouple from 'consumer' economies and the role of China as the litmus test for the thesis;
Chapter 4: 'The report of my death was an exaggeration' (please click to read) details our contention the world has had its fill of 'financial innovation,' and the only way the US economy will recover will be through its traditional strengths in agriculture, manufacturing, invention, and hard work; and
Chapter 5: 'Passing laws, just because' (please click to read) offers our assessment of the anthropogenic global warming debate and pending legislation.
Credit & Credibility then delineates the investment approach demanded in this 'brave new world,' identifying potential pitfalls to recovery, asset classes likely to become candidates for bubble-dom, a set of leading indicators we believe will be effective in the years ahead, and how these five issues will affect each of our investment themes.
In order to facilitate the comparison and update of our nine themes within this context, Credit & Credibility includes complete copies of all nine of our original reports on coal, gold, water & food, nuclear energy, silver, the electric grid, transportation fuels, scrap metals and material science, and natural gas and has appended substantial commentary updating the performance of each trend going forward, including a ranking of the nine themes by viability in the current environment and stock recommendations for each.
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