|
|
 |
|
Viewing report
|
|
|
|
Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q3 2010
Business Monitor International, July 2010, Pages: 86
The Nigeria Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, telecommunication associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Nigeria's telecommunications industry.
The Q3 2010 Telecommunications Report on Nigeria contains updated forecasts that anticipate the development of the country’s fixed-line, internet, broadband and mobile sectors through to the end of 2014. Our new internet forecast for Nigeria incorporates the latest figures for internet use in Nigeria from the International Telecommunications Union (ITU) and other sources. It shows a rapid increase in internet penetration in the country between 2007 and 2009. This is indicative of the overall progress made in the ICT sector in Nigeria following the strong growth of the telecoms sector in the last decade. The mobile sector grew faster in Q110 than in the same period a year earlier. However, for the 12 months to March 2010, the market recorded a significantly slower growth than in any other year since the full liberalisation of the telecoms sector, growing in the first quarter of 2010, albeit at a slower rate than the previous quarter. According to the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), the country’s mobile market gained only 12.5mn subscribers in the 12 months to March 2010, reflecting a 19.5% y-o-y growth. This was significantly lower than the 19.5mn new subscribers in the 12 months to March 2009, which reflected a 44.1% y-o-y growth. BMI believes this could be an early sign of a tailing off in the Nigerian mobile market given the near saturation of mobile services in urban and semi-urban areas. By contrast, the majority of rural areas are still underserved. High roll-out cost, low revenue intake and poor levels of security are some of the factors limiting rural roll-out in Nigeria. To this end, BMI believes that the market will see slower growth going forward even though mobile penetration still hovers around just 50%.
Perhaps the biggest development in the mobile sector in the last few months is the introduction of SIM registration. After many months of uncertainty, the regulator, with full backing from the government, commenced the exercise on May 1 2010. Buyers of new SIMs in the country are now required to register their personal and biometric data with their preferred service provider for onward storage in a central database that can be accessed by the regulator and some security agencies in the country. Registration of existing SIMs is expected to start in August 1 2010 and will last for six months, according to the NCC. Meanwhile, the NCC is mulling the introduction of number portability before the end of 2010. However, BMI is pessimistic that this will take effect as scheduled given in view of the considerable resources that will be channelled towards SIM registration in Nigeria. We expect both regulations to have a significant impact on mobile growth in Nigeria given the high incidence of multiple ownership.
The fixed-line sector continues to underperform in Nigeria. Despite signs of growth in the latter part of 2009, fixed-line subscriptions declined in Q110, almost wiping out the entire gains of the previous quarter. Meanwhile, the sale of fixed-line incumbent Nitel continues to be covered in controversy. A seven-man committee set up by President Goodluck Jonathan to investigate the much criticised auction in March 2010 only submitted its report to the National Council on Privatisation in June 2010, almost three months behind schedule. New Generation Communications Ltd had emerged as the preferred bidder with a total bid of US$2.5bn.
Product samples
A sample for this product is available. Please Login/Register to download this sample.
Customers who bought this item also bought
Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q4 2010
Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q4 2011
Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q1 2011
Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q2 2012
Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q1 2012
Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q2 2011
Kuwait Telecommunications Report Q1 2012
Bahrain Telecommunications Report Q4 2010
Kuwait Telecommunications Report Q3 2011
Kuwait Telecommunications Report Q4 2011
|
|
|
|
