Kazakhstan Commercial Banking Report Q3 2010
Business Monitor International, July 2010, Pages: 55
Kazakhstan Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Kazakhstan's commercial banking industry.
Since Q108, we have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. We do this through our Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures we capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of our insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the Limits of Potential Returns includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the Limits of Potential Returns, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the Risks to the Realisation of Returns also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI’s assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that takes into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.
Further details on how we calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the Limits of Potential Returns are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the Limits of Potential Returns, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the Risks to the Realisation of Returns category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it, and Moody’s Investors Service’s ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI’s long-term risk rating.
Executive Summary
Table: Levels (KZTbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At December 2009
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2010-2014 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2010
Table: Projected Levels (KZTbn)
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)
SWOT Analysis
Kazakhstan Commercial Banking SWOT
Kazakhstan Political SWOT
Kazakhstan Economic SWOT
Business Environment Outlook
Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Table: Kazakhstan Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
Europe Banking Sector Outlook
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2010
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn)
Table: Comparison Of US$ Per Capita Deposits (Late 2009)
Table: Interbank Rates & Bond Yields
Islamic Banking Sector Outlook
Kazakhstan Banking Sector Outlook
Economic Outlook
Table: Kazakhstan Economic Activity, 2005-2014
Competitive Landscape
Market Structure
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In Kazakhstan’s Commercial Banking Sector
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: Commercial Banks In Kazakhstan
Company Profiles
BTA Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (KZTmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Kazkommertsbank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (KZTmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (KZTmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
Alliance Bank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (KZTmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
HSBC Kazakhstan
Table: Key Statistics For HSBC Kazakhstan, 2007-2008
KZI Bank
Table: Key Statistics For KZI Bank, 2007-2008
KazInvestBank
Table: Stock Market Indicators
Table: Balance Sheet (KZTmn, unless stated)
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
Table: Key Ratios (%)
BMI Banking Sector Methodology
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators An
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- BTA Bank
- Kazkommertsbank
- Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan
- Alliance Bank
- HSBC Kazakhstan
- KZI Bank
- KazInvestBank
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