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Southern Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2010

Business Monitor International, July 2010, Pages: 88


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Business Monitor International's Southern Africa Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, telecommunication associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Southern Africa's telecommunications industry.

The Southern Africa Telecommunications Report is growing. In the Q310 update, BMI has added Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Adding these significant and growing markets rounds out the picture of the region and highlights the range of different opportunities it offers.

Southern Africa comprises a range of particularly diverse telecoms markets. Mauritius, geographically removed from the rest of the market, is somewhat in a class of its own. A developed mobile market, like Botswana, it has lost a great deal of its energy. However, this not as true in Botswana. Unlike all of the others, Mauritius has a pretty high level of fixed-line penetration, which may explain why mobile growth has failed earlier than elsewhere, although BMI believes that this is also owing to a lack of competitiveness.

As mentioned, Botswana is fairly developed, with a mobile penetration over 100%. Fixed-line penetration is high for a mainland African country, at an estimated 7.2% at the end of 2009. Namibia has some parallels with Botswana, although the level of development in the fixed-line and broadband segments is not one of them, as Namibia is rather lacking in these areas. Mobile has grown strongly, and penetration is well over 50% if not yet quite approaching 100%.

Zambia and Zimbabwe both have a lot of development still to come in mobile as well as other areas of the telecoms market, like Angola and Mozambique, but BMI sees both of these newly included states as probably more exciting investment destinations than the latter two. Mozambique has been held back by extreme poverty, and Angola, while the incumbent has been privatised, does not offer a very open investment environment. Zimbabwe can also be criticised for being still quite unstable, which will frighten off many investors, but incredibly rapid growth has set in, and this is helping many enthusiastic companies to overcome their fears. Zambia is a surer bet, and there is certainly a good deal of opportunities to be had.


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