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Contents: |
CARDIOVASCULAR THERAPY US MARKET SURVEY… ANALYSIS AND FORECASTS - TECHNOLOGY, SALES, AND COMPANY PROFILES
TABLE OF CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY................................................................................................................................... i SECTION 1 INTRODUCTION TO CARDIOVASCULAR THERAPY............................................................9 1.1 SCOPE AND OBJECTIVES OF RESEARCH INVESTIGATION.....................................................................9 1.2 METHODOLOGY OF INVESTIGATION...............................................................................................................9 1.3 LIMITATIONS OF INVESTIGATION...................................................................................................................10 1.4 OVERVIEW OF INDICATIONS REVIEWED IN THIS REPORT.................................................................11 1.5 MAJOR PHARMACOLOGIC CLASSES AND THEIR ROLES IN TREATING CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE...........................................................................................................................................................................13 SECTION 2 ACUTE CORONARY SYNDROMES .......................................................................................... 19 2.1 INTRODUCTION TO THE DISEASE STATE .....................................................................................................19 2.1.1 Background............................................................................................................................................................19 2.1.2 Etiology ..................................................................................................................................................................19 2.1.3 Pathophysiology....................................................................................................................................................19 2.1.4 Epidemiology ........................................................................................................................................................21 2.1.5 Treatment...............................................................................................................................................................21 2.2 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY .....................................................................22 2.2.1 Technology Analysis ............................................................................................................................................22 2.2.2 New Product and Pipeline Direction.................................................................................................................30 2.3 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE MARKET...............................................................................................34 2.3.1 Market Characteristics .........................................................................................................................................34 2.3.2 Market Drivers and ..............................................................................................................................................38 2.4 THERAPY PENETRATION.......................................................................................................................................38 2.5 NEW PRODUCT INTRODUCTIONS.....................................................................................................................39 2.6 PATENT ISSUES............................................................................................................................................................39 2.7 COST OF THERAPY.....................................................................................................................................................39 2.7.1 Recent Events in ACS Management..................................................................................................................39 SECTION 3 ANGINA PECTORIS.................................................................................................................... 43 3.1 INTRODUCTION TO THE DISEASE STATE .....................................................................................................43 3.1.1 Background............................................................................................................................................................43 3.1.2 Etiology ..................................................................................................................................................................43 3.1.3 Pathophysiology....................................................................................................................................................44 3.1.4 Epidemiology ........................................................................................................................................................44 3.1.5 Treatment...............................................................................................................................................................44 3.2 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY .....................................................................45 3.2.1 Technology Analysis ............................................................................................................................................45 3.2.2 New Product and Pipeline Direction.................................................................................................................50 3.3 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE MARKET...............................................................................................51 3.3.1 Market Characteristics .........................................................................................................................................51 3.3.2 Market Drivers and Forecast..............................................................................................................................54 3.4 THERAPY PENETRATION.......................................................................................................................................54 3.5 NEW PRODUCT INTRODUCTIONS.....................................................................................................................55 3.6 PATENT ISSUES............................................................................................................................................................56 3.7 COST OF THERAPY.....................................................................................................................................................56 3.7.1 Recent Events in Treatment of Angina and Post-AMI..................................................................................56 SECTION 4 ARRHYTHMIA............................................................................................................................ 57 4.1 INTRODUCTION TO THE DISEASE STATE .....................................................................................................57 4.1.1 Background............................................................................................................................................................57 4.1.2 Etiology ..................................................................................................................................................................57 4.1.3 Pathophysiology....................................................................................................................................................57 4.1.4 Epidemiology ........................................................................................................................................................60 4.1.5 Treatment...............................................................................................................................................................60 4.2 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY .....................................................................62 4.2.1 Technology Analysis ............................................................................................................................................62 4.2.2 New Product and Pipeline Direction.................................................................................................................68 4.3 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE MARKET...............................................................................................70 4.3.1 Market Characteristics .........................................................................................................................................70 4.3.2 Market Drivers and Forecast..............................................................................................................................73 4.4 THERAPY PENETRATION.......................................................................................................................................73 4.5 NEW PRODUCT INTRODUCTIONS.....................................................................................................................74 4.6 PATENT ISSUES............................................................................................................................................................75 4.7 COST OF THERAPY.....................................................................................................................................................75 4.7.1 Recent Events in...................................................................................................................................................75 SECTION 5 ATHEROSCLEROSIS AND HYPERLIPIDEMIA ..................................................................... 77 5.1 INTRODUCTION TO THE DISEASE STATE .....................................................................................................77 5.1.1 Background............................................................................................................................................................77 5.1.2 Etiology ..................................................................................................................................................................77 5.1.3 Pathophysiology....................................................................................................................................................77 5.1.4 Epidemiology ........................................................................................................................................................79 5.1.5 Treatment...............................................................................................................................................................79 5.2 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY .....................................................................80 5.2.1 Technology Analysis ............................................................................................................................................80 5.2.2 New Product and Pipeline Direction.................................................................................................................85 5.3 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE MARKET...............................................................................................89 5.3.1 Market Characteristics .........................................................................................................................................89 5.3.2 Market Drivers and Forecast..............................................................................................................................93 5.4 THERAPY PENETRATION.......................................................................................................................................93 5.5 NEW PRODUCT INTRODUCTIONS.....................................................................................................................93 5.6 PATENT ISSUES............................................................................................................................................................94 5.7 COST OF THERAPY.....................................................................................................................................................94 5.7.1 Recent Events in Atherosclerosis......................................................................................................................94 SECTION 6 CONGESTIVE HEART FAILURE.............................................................................................. 97 6.1 INTRODUCTION TO THE DISEASE STATE .....................................................................................................97 6.1.1 Background............................................................................................................................................................97 6.1.2 Etiology ..................................................................................................................................................................97 6.1.3 Pathophysiology....................................................................................................................................................97 6.1.4 Epidemiology ..................................................................................................................................................... 100 6.1.5 Treatment............................................................................................................................................................ 100 6.2 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY .................................................................. 102 6.2.1 Technology Analysis ......................................................................................................................................... 102 6.2.2 New Product and Pipeline Direction.............................................................................................................. 110 6.3 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE MARKET............................................................................................ 114 6.3.1 Market Characteristics ...................................................................................................................................... 114 6.3.2 Market Drivers and Forecast........................................................................................................................... 118 6.4 THERAPY PENETRATION.................................................................................................................................... 118 6.5 NEW PRODUCT INTRODUCTIONS.................................................................................................................. 118 6.6 PATENT ISSUES......................................................................................................................................................... 118 6.7 COST OF THERAPY.................................................................................................................................................. 119 SECTION 7 HYPERTENSION......................................................................................................................121 7.1 INTRODUCTION TO THE DISEASE STATE .................................................................................................. 121 7.1.1 Background......................................................................................................................................................... 121 7.1.2 Etiology ............................................................................................................................................................... 121 7.1.3 Pathophysiology................................................................................................................................................. 122 7.1.4 Treatment............................................................................................................................................................ 126 7.2 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY .................................................................. 127 7.2.1 Technology Analysis ......................................................................................................................................... 127 7.2.2 New Product and Pipeline Direction.............................................................................................................. 135 7.3 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE MARKET............................................................................................ 138 7.3.1 Market Characteristics ...................................................................................................................................... 138 7.3.2 Market Drivers and Forecast........................................................................................................................... 143 7.4 THERAPY PENETRATION.................................................................................................................................... 143 7.5 NEW PRODUCT INTRODUCTIONS.................................................................................................................. 143 7.6 PATENT ISSUES......................................................................................................................................................... 143 7.7 COST OF THERAPY.................................................................................................................................................. 144 7.7.1 Recent Events in Hypertension ....................................................................................................................... 144 SECTION 8 RESTENOSIS ............................................................................................................................. 149 8.1 INTRODUCTION TO THE DISEASE STATE .................................................................................................. 149 8.1.1 Background......................................................................................................................................................... 149 8.1.2 Etiology ............................................................................................................................................................... 149 8.1.3 Pathophysiology................................................................................................................................................. 150 8.1.4 Epidemiology ..................................................................................................................................................... 151 8.1.5 Treatment............................................................................................................................................................ 151 8.2 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY .................................................................. 152 8.2.1 Technology Analysis ......................................................................................................................................... 152 8.2.2 New Product and Pipeline Direction.............................................................................................................. 159 8.3 ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE MARKET............................................................................................ 161 8.3.1 Market Characteristics ...................................................................................................................................... 161 8.3.2 Market Drivers and Forecast........................................................................................................................... 164 8.4 THERAPY PENETRATION.................................................................................................................................... 164 8.5 NEW PRODUCT INTRODUCTIONS.................................................................................................................. 164 8.6 PATENT ISSUES......................................................................................................................................................... 164 8.7 COST OF THERAPY.................................................................................................................................................. 164 8.7.1 Recent Events in Management of Restenosis ............................................................................................... 165 SECTION 9 ANALYSIS OF THE EVOLVING COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT IN THE PHARMACEUTICAL SEGMENT OF THE U.S. CARDIOVASCULAR MARKET.......... 167 9.1 INTRODUCTION....................................................................................................................................................... 167 9.2 DETERMINANTS OF MARKETPLACE SUCCESS ......................................................................................... 167 9.3 COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS OF PARTICIPATING MANUFACTURERS ................................................. 168 9.3.1 Marketing Expertise Determines Success...................................................................................................... 169 9.3.2 Technological/Trial Expertise and Innovation ............................................................................................ 169 9.3.3 Summary Analysis of Determinants of Success............................................................................................ 170 SECTION 10 PHARMACEUTICAL COMPANY PROFILES ....................................................................... 173 10.1 ABBOTT LABORATORIES..................................................................................................................................... 173 10.2 AKZO/ORGANON................................................................................................................................................... 174 10.3 AMERICAN HOME PRODUCTS ........................................................................................................................... 175 10.4 ASTRAZENECA.......................................................................................................................................................... 176 10.5 AVENTIS ....................................................................................................................................................................... 177 10.6 BAYER............................................................................................................................................................................ 178 10.7 BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM................................................................................................................................. 179 10.8 BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB...................................................................................................................................... 179 10.9 DUPONT ....................................................................................................................................................................... 180 10.10 ELI LILLY...................................................................................................................................................................... 181 10.11 GLAXOSMITHKLINE.............................................................................................................................................. 181 10.12 JOHNSON & JOHNSON.......................................................................................................................................... 183 10.13 MERCK & CO. ............................................................................................................................................................. 184 10.14 NOVARTIS.................................................................................................................................................................... 185 10.15 PFIZER........................................................................................................................................................................... 186 10.16 PHARMACIA CORP................................................................................................................................................... 187 10.17 PROCTER & GAMBLE............................................................................................................................................. 187 10.18 ROCHE........................................................................................................................................................................... 188 10.19 SANOFI-SYNTHELABO.......................................................................................................................................... 189 10.20 SCHERING AG............................................................................................................................................................ 190 10.21 SCHERING-PLOUGH............................................................................................................................................... 190 10.22 SOLVAY......................................................................................................................................................................... 191 SECTION 11 BIOTECHNOLOGY / OTHER COMPANY PROFILES....................................................... 193 11.1 ALEXION...................................................................................................................................................................... 193 11.2 BIO-TECHNOLOGY GENERAL.......................................................................................................................... 193 11.3 CENTOCOR ................................................................................................................................................................. 193 11.4 CHIRON......................................................................................................................................................................... 194 11.5 CORVAS......................................................................................................................................................................... 194 11.6 CV THERAPEUTICS.................................................................................................................................................. 194 11.7 DAIICHI SEIYAKU.................................................................................................................................................... 195 11.8 EMISPHERE TECHNOLOGIES............................................................................................................................ 195 11.9 ESPERION THERAPEUTICS................................................................................................................................. 195 11.10 GENENTECH.............................................................................................................................................................. 195 11.11 GILEAD SCIENCES .................................................................................................................................................. 196 11.12 ICOS 196 11.13 MILLENNIUM PHARMACEUTICALS ................................................................................................................. 197 11.14 MITSUI ........................................................................................................................................................................... 197 11.15 NATIONAL INSTITUTES OF HEALTH (NIH)................................................................................................. 197 11.16 TEXAS BIOTECHNOLOGY................................................................................................................................... 198
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 2.1 US Forecast For ACS Management by Technology Platform......................................................................23 Figure 2.2 Historic and Forecast Sales of ACS Agents by Technology 2000 - 2005 - 2010.......................................37 Figure 3.1 US Forecast For Stable Angina and Post-MI Management by Technology Platform..............................45 Figure 3.2 Historic and Forecast Sales of Angina Agents by Technology 2000 - 2005 - 2010 ..................................53 Figure 4.1 US Forecast For Management by Technology Platform................................................................................62 Figure 4.2 Historic and Forecast Sales of Arrhythmia Agents by Technology 2000 - 2005 - 2010 .........................72 Figure 5.1 US Forecast For Atherosclerosis and Hyperlipidemia Management By Technology Platform..............80 Figure 5.2 Historic and Forecast Sales of Atherosclerosis Agents by Technology 2000 - 2005 - 2010...................91 Figure 6.1 US Forecast For Congestive Heart Failure Management By Technology Platform...............................102 Figure 6.2 Historic and Forecast Sales of Congestive Heart Failure Agents by Technology 2000 - 2005 - 2010.......................................................................................................................................................................116 Figure 7.1 US Forecast For Hypertension Management By Technology Platform ...................................................128 Figure 7.2 Historic and Forecast Sales of Hypertension Agents by Technology 2000 - 2005 - 2010....................140 Figure 8.1 US Forecast For Restenosis Management by Technology Platform .........................................................153 Figure 8.2 Historic and Forecast Sales of Restenosis Agents by Technology 2000 - 2005 - 2010 .........................163
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1.1 Major Cardiovascular Diagnoses and Conditions ...........................................................................................11 Table 2.1 Number of Product Development Programs for ACS by Technology Platform......................................31 Table 2.2 Number of Product Development Programs for ACS by Company ..........................................................31 Table 2.3 Product Development Activity for ACS Therapy Sorted by US Status/Rating ........................................32 Table 2.4 US Market Forecast for ACS ..............................................................................................................................34 Table 2.5 US Forecast by Technology ACS .......................................................................................................................36 Table 2.6 US Factory Sales of ACS Products by Manufacturer and Brand 1998-2001..............................................38 Table 3.1 Number of Product Development Programs for Angina by Technology Platform.................................50 Table 3.2 Number of Product Development Programs for Angina by Company......................................................50 Table 3.3 Product Development Activity for Angina Therapy Sorted by US Status/Rating ..................................51 Table 3.4 US Market Forecast for Angina.........................................................................................................................52 Table 3.5 US Market Forecast for Angina.........................................................................................................................53 Table 3.6 US Factory Sales of Angina Products by Manufacturer and Brand 1998-2001 .........................................55 Table 4.1 Number of Product Development Programs for Arrhythmia by Technology Platform.........................69 Table 4.2 Number of Product Development Programs for Arrhythmia by Company..............................................69 Table 4.3 Product Development Activity for Arrhythmia Therapy Sorted by US Status/Rating...........................70 Table 4.4 US Market Forecast - Arrhythmia.....................................................................................................................71 Table 4.5 US Market Forecast for Arrhythmia ..................................................................................................................72 Table 4.6 US Factory Sales of Arrhythmia Products by Manufacturer and Brand 1998-2001 ................................74 Table 5.1 Number of Product Development Programs for Atherosclerosis by Technology Platform..................86 Table 5.2 Number of Product Development Programs for Atherosclerosis by Company .......................................87 Table 5.3 Product Development Activity for Atherosclerosis Therapy Sorted by US Status/Rating....................88 Table 5.4 US Market Forecast - Atherosclerosis ...............................................................................................................90 Table 5.5 US Market Forecast by Technology for Atherosclerosis ...............................................................................91 Table 5.6 US Factory Sales of Atherosclerosis Products by Manufacturer and Brand 1998-2001 ..........................93 Table 6.1 Number of Product Development Programs for Congestive Heart Failure by Technology Platform ...............................................................................................................................................................111 Table 6.2 Number of Product Development Programs for Congestive Heart Failure by Company....................112 Table 6.3 Product Development Activity for CHF Therapy Sorted by US Status/Rating .....................................113 Table 6.4 US Market Forecast by Technology for Congestive Heart Failure ............................................................115 Table 6.5 US Market Forecast by Technology for Congestive Heart Failure ............................................................115 Table 6.6 US Factory Sales of Congestive Heart Failure Products by Manufacturer and Brand 1998-2001 .......117 Table 7.1 Number of Product Development Programs for Hypertension by Technology Platform ...................135 Table 7.2 Number of Product Development Programs for Hypertension by Company ........................................136 Table 7.3 Product Development Activity for Hypertension Therapy Sorted by US Status/Rating.....................137 Table 7.4 US Market Forecast by Technology for Hypertension.................................................................................138 Table 7.5 US Market Forecast by Technology for Hypertension.................................................................................139 Table 7.6 US Factory Sales of Hypertension Products by Manufacturer and Brand 1998-2001 ..........................141 Table 8.1 Number of Product Development Programs for Restenosis by Technology Platform.........................159 Table 8.2 Number of Product Development Programs for Restenosis by Company..............................................160 Table 8.3 Product Development Activity for Restenosis Therapy Sorted by US Status/Rating ..........................160 Table 8.4 US Market Forecast for Restenosis..................................................................................................................161 Table 8.5 US Market Forecast by Technology for Restenosis......................................................................................162 Table 9.1 Company Competitive Rankings......................................................................................................................171 Appendix 1 Cardiovascular Alliances and Merger/Acquisition Activity 2001-2000.....................................................199 |
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