Southern and Eastern Africa Mobile Telecoms Investment Review and Forecasts 2010-2014
Onda Analytics Limited, September 2010, Pages: 91
The mobile markets in Africa have been some of the fastest growing in the world, attracting interest from developed market operators in search of growth. Operators from Europe, the Middle East and India have all entered these markets, but have found difficulties in achieving profitability. While some markets have only one or two operators, many also have five or more, meaning a profitable network rollout is dependent on keeping costs low. The arrival of submarine cable capacity to Africa’s East coast has opened up a large opportunity in broadband to mobile operators, with little competition from fixed networks. However, the question of achieving a profitable network rollout is once again a challenge.
This report considers the evolution of the Southern and Eastern mobile markets, providing five year subscriber, penetration, ARPU and revenue forecasts for 16 markets across the region (Angola, Botswana, Burundi, Kenya, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, Rwanda, South Africa, Swaziland, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia and Zimbabwe). It looks at each market in turn, providing background on market dynamics and analysis of how these will impact on future market revenues.
The report also considers investment in network infrastructure. With profitability a key challenge, after surveying the current status of infrastructure rollouts, the report provides case studies and analysis of the issues surrounding key cost cutting measures, including network and tower sharing, outsourcing and use of green technologies.
The report highlights a number of new investment opportunities, including upcoming licences, privatisations and other equity stake sales. With a number of ownership changes likely over the short term, the report identifies clear opportunities, their current status and likely bidders.
- Executive summary
- Subscriber levels are due to double, while revenue will see modest growth
- SEA region total mobile subscriber forecast
- SEA region total mobile revenue forecast
- Operator consolidation is key to the evolution of SEA mobile market
- Upcoming opportunities
- Operators are facing a range of options to reduce their cost base
- Cost-saving opportunities
- Introduction
- Report introduction
- Countries included in the report
- Mobile forecasts by country
- Overall summary
- South and East Africa mobile subscriber forecast
- South and East Africa mobile revenue forecast
- Southern Africa mobile forecasts by country
- Southern Africa – Overview of region
- Southern Africa mobile subscriber forecast
- Angola
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Botswana
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Lesotho
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Namibia
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- South Africa
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Swaziland
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- South Eastern Africa mobile forecasts by country
- South Eastern Africa – Overview of region
- South Eastern Africa mobile subscriber forecast
- Madagascar
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Malawi
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Mozambique
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Zambia
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Zimbabwe
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Eastern Africa mobile forecasts by country
- Eastern Africa – Overview of region
- Eastern Africa mobile subscriber forecast
- Burundi
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Kenya
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Rwanda
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Tanzania
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- Uganda
- Mobile subscriber share by operator 1Q2010
- Mobile historical subscribers by operator 2006-2009
- Mobile subscribers and ARPU, 2006-2014
- M&A opportunities
- Introduction to opportunities
- Stake sales
- Mobile licences
- Privatisations
- Stake sales:
- Telecel Globe
- Opportunity details and KPIs
- Millicom Africa
- Opportunity details and KPIs
- Mobile licences:
- Malawi fourth licence
- Opportunity details and KPIs
- Mozambique third licence
- Opportunity details and KPIs
- Rwanda fourth licence
- Opportunity details and KPIs
- Privatisations:
- Botswana: BTC
- Opportunity details and KPI
- Burundi: Onatel
- Opportunity details and KPIs
- Mozambique: TDM
- Opportunity details and KPIs
- Zimbabwe: NetOne
- Opportunity details and KPIs
- Network rollout status
- 3G status in SEA region
- 3G licensing status country-by country
- Network rollout strategies
- Tower and network sharing
- Innovative base stations
- Network outsourcing
- Acronyms
- List of Acronyms
- Unitel
- Movicel
- Porturil Investments
- Bharti
- Zain
- Vodacom
- Mascom
- Orange
- BTC
- Econet
- MTC
- Leo
- Telecel Globe
- Orascom
- MTN
- Cell C
- SwaziMTN
- Telma Net
- Madamobile
- TNM
- GAIN
- mCel
- Zamtel
- NetOne
- Huawei
- Africell
- Onatel
- Lacell
- HiTS Telecom
- Safaricom
- Yu
- Orange Kenya
- MTN Rwanda
- RwandaTel
- Tigo
- LAP Green
- Zantel
- TTCL mobile
- Benson
- Warid
- UT mobile
- Millicom
- TDM
- Seacom
- NSN
- Ericsson
- Motorola
- ZTE
- Alcatel Lucent
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