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The 2011 Import and Export Market for Animal or Vegetable Fertilizers in Malawi
ICON Group International, May 2010, Pages: 12
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on animal or vegetable fertilizers in Malawi face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying animal or vegetable fertilizers to Malawi? How important is Malawi compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of animal or vegetable fertilizers vary from one country of origin to another in Malawi? On the supply side, Malawi also exports animal or vegetable fertilizers. Which countries receive the most exports from Malawi? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for animal or vegetable fertilizers in Malawi. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for animal or vegetable fertilizers for those countries serving Malawi via exports, or supplying from Malawi via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Malawi fits into the world market for imported and exported animal or vegetable fertilizers. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Malawi in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that Malawi is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Malawi compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of animal or vegetable fertilizers, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving Malawi. A “major” market is defined as a country where Malawi represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to Malawi, one can thus observe how important Malawi is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of animal or vegetable fertilizers originating from Malawi, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that Malawi has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for Malawi. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of animal or vegetable fertilizers to and from Malawi to and from all other major countries in the world. "Animal or Vegetable Fertilizers" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "animal or vegetable fertilizers" is 2721 .
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
2 MALAWI AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1 Imports in Malawi in 2011
2.2 Exports from Malawi in 2011
3 IMPORTS IN MALAWI
3.1.1 South Africa
4 EXPORTS FROM MALAWI
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions