The World Market for Cigarettes: A 2011 Global Trade Perspective

This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for cigarettes. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for cigarettes for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying cigarettes? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of cigarettes vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of cigarettes? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported cigarettes. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of cigarettes, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of cigarettes for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of cigarettes to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in cigarettes (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Cigarettes" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "cigarettes" is 1222 . SHOW LESS READ MORE >

1 METHODOLOGY
1.1 Our Approach
2 THE WORLD MARKET
2.1 Exports
2.1.1 The World Market: Cigarettes Export Supplies in 2011
2.2 Imports
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Cigarettes in 2011
3 EXPORTS
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Cigarettes
3.1.1 Executive Summary
3.1.2 Angola
3.1.3 Benin
3.1.4 Cote d'Ivoire
3.1.5 Egypt
3.1.6 Kenya
3.1.7 Mali
3.1.8 Nigeria
3.1.9 South Africa
3.1.10 Zimbabwe
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Cigarettes
3.2.1 Executive Summary
3.2.2 Bangladesh
3.2.3 Burma
3.2.4 Cambodia
3.2.5 China
3.2.6 Hong Kong
3.2.7 India
3.2.8 Indonesia
3.2.9 Japan
3.2.10 Malaysia
3.2.11 Philippines
3.2.12 Singapore
3.2.13 South Korea
3.2.14 Sri Lanka
3.2.15 Taiwan
3.2.16 Thailand
3.2.17 Vietnam
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Cigarettes
3.3.1 Executive Summary
3.3.2 Austria
3.3.3 Belgium
3.3.4 Bosnia and Herzegovina
3.3.5 Bulgaria
3.3.6 Croatia
3.3.7 Cyprus
3.3.8 Czech Republic
3.3.9 Denmark
3.3.10 Estonia
3.3.11 Finland
3.3.12 France
3.3.13 Georgia
3.3.14 Germany
3.3.15 Greece
3.3.16 Hungary
3.3.17 Ireland
3.3.18 Italy
3.3.19 Kazakhstan
3.3.20 Latvia
3.3.21 Lithuania
3.3.22 Luxembourg
3.3.23 Macedonia
3.3.24 Norway
3.3.25 Poland
3.3.26 Portugal
3.3.27 Romania
3.3.28 Russia
3.3.29 Spain
3.3.30 Sweden
3.3.31 the Netherlands
3.3.32 Ukraine
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Cigarettes
3.4.1 Executive Summary
3.4.2 Argentina
3.4.3 Bolivia
3.4.4 Brazil
3.4.5 Chile
3.4.6 Colombia
3.4.7 Costa Rica
3.4.8 Ecuador
3.4.9 El Salvador
3.4.10 Guatemala
3.4.11 Honduras
3.4.12 Mexico
3.4.13 Nicaragua
3.4.14 Panama
3.4.15 Paraguay
3.4.16 Uruguay
3.4.17 Venezuela
3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Cigarettes
3.5.1 Executive Summary
3.5.2 Canada
3.5.3 Cuba
3.5.4 Dominica
3.5.5 Dominican Republic
3.5.6 Jamaica
3.5.7 the United States
3.6 Oceana: Export Supplies of Cigarettes
3.6.1 Executive Summary
3.6.2 Australia
3.6.3 New Zealand
3.6.4 Tonga
3.7 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Cigarettes
3.7.1 Executive Summary
3.7.2 Armenia
3.7.3 Israel
3.7.4 Jordan
3.7.5 Kyrgyzstan
3.7.6 Saudi Arabia
3.7.7 Turkey
3.7.8 Uzbekistan
3.7.9 Yemen
4 IMPORTS
4.1 Africa: Cigarettes Imports in 2011
4.1.1 Executive Summary
4.1.2 Botswana
4.1.3 Burundi
4.1.4 Cape Verde
4.1.5 Cote d'Ivoire
4.1.6 Egypt
4.1.7 Ethiopia
4.1.8 Kenya
4.1.9 Madagascar
4.1.10 Malawi
4.1.11 Mauritius
4.1.12 Senegal
4.1.13 South Africa
4.1.14 Togo
4.1.15 Tunisia
4.1.16 Uganda
4.1.17 Zambia
4.2 Asia: Cigarettes Imports in 2011
4.2.1 Executive Summary
4.2.2 China
4.2.3 Hong Kong
4.2.4 Indonesia
4.2.5 Japan
4.2.6 Malaysia
4.2.7 Maldives
4.2.8 Mongolia
4.2.9 Seychelles
4.2.10 Singapore
4.2.11 South Korea
4.2.12 Thailand
4.3 Europe: Cigarettes Imports in 2011
4.3.1 Executive Summary
4.3.2 Austria
4.3.3 Belarus
4.3.4 Belgium
4.3.5 Bosnia and Herzegovina
4.3.6 Croatia
4.3.7 Cyprus
4.3.8 Czech Republic
4.3.9 Denmark
4.3.10 Estonia
4.3.11 Finland
4.3.12 France
4.3.13 Georgia
4.3.14 Germany
4.3.15 Greece
4.3.16 Iceland
4.3.17 Ireland
4.3.18 Italy
4.3.19 Latvia
4.3.20 Lithuania
4.3.21 Luxembourg
4.3.22 Macedonia
4.3.23 Malta
4.3.24 Moldova
4.3.25 Norway
4.3.26 Romania
4.3.27 Russia
4.3.28 Slovakia
4.3.29 Slovenia
4.3.30 Sweden
4.3.31 the Netherlands
4.4 Latin America: Cigarettes Imports in 2011
4.4.1 Executive Summary
4.4.2 Argentina
4.4.3 Belize
4.4.4 Bolivia
4.4.5 Brazil
4.4.6 Colombia
4.4.7 Ecuador
4.4.8 El Salvador
4.4.9 Guatemala
4.4.10 Honduras
4.4.11 Mexico
4.4.12 Panama
4.4.13 Peru
4.4.14 Uruguay
4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Cigarettes Imports in 2011
4.5.1 Executive Summary
4.5.2 Anguilla
4.5.3 Barbados
4.5.4 Canada
4.5.5 Greenland
4.5.6 Jamaica
4.5.7 St. Lucia
4.5.8 the Bahamas
4.5.9 the United States
4.6 Oceana: Cigarettes Imports in 2011
4.6.1 Executive Summary
4.6.2 Australia
4.6.3 Fiji
4.6.4 New Caledonia
4.6.5 New Zealand
4.7 the Middle East: Cigarettes Imports in 2011
4.7.1 Executive Summary
4.7.2 Armenia
4.7.3 Azerbaijan
4.7.4 Bahrain
4.7.5 Israel
4.7.6 Kyrgyzstan
4.7.7 Pakistan
4.7.8 Saudi Arabia
4.7.9 Yemen
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions