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The World Market for Smoking Tobacco: A 2011 Global Trade Perspective

ICON Group International, May 2010, Pages: 100

This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for smoking tobacco. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for smoking tobacco for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying smoking tobacco? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of smoking tobacco vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of smoking tobacco? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported smoking tobacco. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports, Chapter 3 details the exports of smoking tobacco, for each individual country. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of smoking tobacco for all countries in the world. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of smoking tobacco to and from all major countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in smoking tobacco (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Smoking Tobacco" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "smoking tobacco" is 12232 .

1 METHODOLOGY
1.1 Our Approach
2 THE WORLD MARKET
2.1 Exports
2.1.1 The World Market: Smoking Tobacco Export Supplies in 2011
2.2 Imports
2.2.1 The World Market: Imported Smoking Tobacco in 2011
3 EXPORTS
3.1 Africa: Export Supplies of Smoking Tobacco
3.1.1 Executive Summary
3.1.2 Egypt
3.1.3 Mali
3.1.4 South Africa
3.1.5 Tunisia
3.1.6 Zimbabwe
3.2 Asia: Export Supplies of Smoking Tobacco
3.2.1 Executive Summary
3.2.2 Bangladesh
3.2.3 China
3.2.4 Hong Kong
3.2.5 India
3.2.6 Indonesia
3.2.7 Japan
3.2.8 Malaysia
3.2.9 Philippines
3.2.10 Singapore
3.2.11 South Korea
3.2.12 Thailand
3.2.13 Vietnam
3.3 Europe: Export Supplies of Smoking Tobacco
3.3.1 Executive Summary
3.3.2 Albania
3.3.3 Austria
3.3.4 Belgium
3.3.5 Bosnia and Herzegovina
3.3.6 Bulgaria
3.3.7 Croatia
3.3.8 Czech Republic
3.3.9 Denmark
3.3.10 Estonia
3.3.11 Finland
3.3.12 France
3.3.13 Germany
3.3.14 Greece
3.3.15 Hungary
3.3.16 Ireland
3.3.17 Italy
3.3.18 Luxembourg
3.3.19 Norway
3.3.20 Poland
3.3.21 Portugal
3.3.22 Russia
3.3.23 Slovakia
3.3.24 Spain
3.3.25 Sweden
3.3.26 the Netherlands
3.3.27 Ukraine
3.4 Latin America: Export Supplies of Smoking Tobacco
3.4.1 Executive Summary
3.4.2 Argentina
3.4.3 Brazil
3.4.4 Chile
3.4.5 Colombia
3.4.6 Ecuador
3.4.7 Mexico
3.4.8 Nicaragua
3.4.9 Paraguay
3.4.10 Venezuela
3.5 North America & the Caribbean: Export Supplies of Smoking Tobacco
3.5.1 Executive Summary
3.5.2 Canada
3.5.3 Dominican Republic
3.5.4 the United States
3.6 Oceana: Export Supplies of Smoking Tobacco
3.6.1 Executive Summary
3.6.2 Australia
3.6.3 New Zealand
3.7 the Middle East: Export Supplies of Smoking Tobacco
3.7.1 Executive Summary
3.7.2 Armenia
3.7.3 Azerbaijan
3.7.4 Jordan
3.7.5 Kyrgyzstan
3.7.6 Lebanon
3.7.7 Saudi Arabia
3.7.8 Turkey
4 IMPORTS
4.1 Africa: Smoking Tobacco Imports in 2011
4.1.1 Executive Summary
4.1.2 Botswana
4.1.3 Cote d'Ivoire
4.1.4 Kenya
4.1.5 Madagascar
4.1.6 Mauritius
4.1.7 South Africa
4.1.8 Tunisia
4.2 Asia: Smoking Tobacco Imports in 2011
4.2.1 Executive Summary
4.2.2 China
4.2.3 Hong Kong
4.2.4 Indonesia
4.2.5 Japan
4.2.6 Malaysia
4.2.7 Mongolia
4.2.8 Singapore
4.2.9 South Korea
4.2.10 Thailand
4.3 Europe: Smoking Tobacco Imports in 2011
4.3.1 Executive Summary
4.3.2 Austria
4.3.3 Belarus
4.3.4 Belgium
4.3.5 Bosnia and Herzegovina
4.3.6 Croatia
4.3.7 Cyprus
4.3.8 Czech Republic
4.3.9 Denmark
4.3.10 Estonia
4.3.11 Finland
4.3.12 France
4.3.13 Georgia
4.3.14 Germany
4.3.15 Greece
4.3.16 Iceland
4.3.17 Ireland
4.3.18 Italy
4.3.19 Latvia
4.3.20 Lithuania
4.3.21 Luxembourg
4.3.22 Malta
4.3.23 Moldova
4.3.24 Norway
4.3.25 Romania
4.3.26 Russia
4.3.27 Slovakia
4.3.28 Slovenia
4.3.29 Sweden
4.3.30 the Netherlands
4.4 Latin America: Smoking Tobacco Imports in 2011
4.4.1 Executive Summary
4.4.2 Argentina
4.4.3 Bolivia
4.4.4 Brazil
4.4.5 Colombia
4.4.6 Ecuador
4.4.7 Honduras
4.4.8 Mexico
4.4.9 Uruguay
4.5 North America & the Caribbean: Smoking Tobacco Imports in 2011
4.5.1 Executive Summary
4.5.2 Canada
4.5.3 Greenland
4.5.4 the United States
4.6 Oceana: Smoking Tobacco Imports in 2011
4.6.1 Executive Summary
4.6.2 Australia
4.6.3 Fiji
4.6.4 New Caledonia
4.6.5 New Zealand
4.7 the Middle East: Smoking Tobacco Imports in 2011
4.7.1 Executive Summary
4.7.2 Bahrain
4.7.3 Israel
4.7.4 Jordan
4.7.5 Saudi Arabia
4.7.6 Yemen
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions

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