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Indonesia Telecommunications Report Q4 2010
Business Monitor International, Aug 2010, Pages: 96
The Indonesia Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, telecommunication associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Indonesia's telecommunications industry.
BMI’s latest update on the telecommunications market in Indonesia reveals that there were some 184.55mn mobile subscribers at the end of March 2010, based on operator figures and BMI estimates. While this revealed penetration rates of 76.8%, the market continued to reveal double-digit growth despite the maturity of the sector. In the year ended Q110, the market rose by 28.5%, comparable to 2009’s annual growth of 25.4%.
Behind this rate of growth has been the aggressive competition among the price plans of the leading operators, together with network expansions. Among the major operators, Smart Telecom selected Chinese telecoms equipment vendor ZTE Corporation in June 2010, as an exclusive supplier for the delivery of mobile network infrastructure equipment. Under the terms of the contract, ZTE will be responsible for delivering more than 6,000 base stations with capacity to support 25mn mobile subscribers. However, increasingly taking centre stage among these network improvements is the need for infrastructure capable of bringing about and supporting mobile broadband/data services. In the same month of June, Indosat selected Nokia Siemens Networks to upgrade its network, to enable the operator to provide data transmission speeds of up to 42Mbps.
Encouragingly, the growth in mobile broadband services is beginning to show in terms of ARPU, with Indosat and Excelcomindo noting increases of 7.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) and 20.7% y-o-y ended Q110 respectively, although on the whole prepaid dominates meaning that we continue to report an overall decline in ARPU for the market in general.
The telecoms regulator, meanwhile, is considering allowing WiMAX licence holders to launch mobile WiMAX services, which given the country’s geographic terrain perhaps is more compatible. We believe that the regulator’s change in attitude is a result of huge demand for mobile broadband services, a lack of existing WiMAX deployments (so far only Telkom and First Media have commercially launched services) as well as pressure from operators such as Indosat. The operator announced in April 2010 that it would not expand its WiMAX services under current concession restrictions, calling for licences to allow mobile WiMAX.
The launch of mobile WiMAX combined with current mobile broadband services would certainly provide a much needed boost to broadband coverage in the country. BMI estimates that broadband penetration at the end of 2010 was just 1.4% and forecasts will reach just 5% as of 2014, emphasising the exceptionally high potential for growth.
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