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Executive Analysis of the European Market for Gasoline Engine Exhaust After-treatment Technologies

Frost & Sullivan, July 2010, Pages: 43


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This study covers the state of the European gasoline exhaust after treatment technologies market, examining drivers and restraints for growth, pricing, distribution, technology, legislation and demand. Following from these scenario analysis for the different gasoline exhaust after treatment technologies has been performed. In addition an in depth analysis of Original Equipment Manufacturers' positions (OEMs) is performed and revenue potential of the different technologies is also carried out. The base year is 2009 with forecasts running through 2016. The market for gasoline exhaust after treatment systems is explained for the 3 different technologies namely catalytic converter, EGR and PM filters.

This Frost & Sullivan research service titled Executive Analysis of the European Market for Gasoline Engine Exhaust After-treatment Technologies provides a detailed overview of the different trends in this market. This research service analyses various gasoline exhaust after-treatment technologies and their pricing for the coming years and provides the key original equipment manufacturer (OEM) positions to meet the Euro 6 regulations. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the following technologies: catalytic converters, exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) and particulate matter (PM) filters.

Euro 6 Regulations Focusing on Reducing NOx Emissions to Spur Growth of the European Market for Gasoline Exhaust After-treatment Technologies

The need to reduce nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions is a key focus of the Euro 6 regulations that is poised to spur growth of the European market for gasoline exhaust after-treatment technologies. OEMs are anticipated to adopt PM filters for gasoline engines by 2014, along with a 15 per cent penetration by 2016. With increasing penetration of direct injection in gasoline engines, there will be a necessity for PM filters to counter the rise in PM. “The requirement to reduce NOx emissions in gasoline engine exhaust drives the European market for gasoline exhaust after-treatment technologies,” say the analysts of this research. “Emission regulation norms such as Association des Constructeurs Européens d'Automobiles (ACEA) carbon dioxide (CO2) norms have created a need for emission reduction technologies such as gasoline direct injection (GDI) resulting in PM and NOx issues that in turn enhance growth in this market.” NOx concerns arising from lean combustion GDI, downsizing and turbo charging will drive the demand for EGRs and PM count in GDI engines, catalysing the growth of PM filters. Greater sales volume of small-segment vehicles will boost the demand for tri-metal catalysts.

However, gasoline engines have higher exhaust temperature than that of diesel engines. Therefore, materials used in gasoline engine exhaust after-treatment systems should be more temperature resistant, thereby leading to high cost. There will be an increasing need for high temperature-resistant materials with downsizing and turbo charging of gasoline engines. “The costs pertaining to the development and manufacture of exhaust systems are high,” explains the analyst. “An end consumer will pay more for a hybrid vehicle, but not more for a regular gasoline vehicle fitted with an extra PM filter.”

Market participants should develop and fit nano metal catalyst in catalytic converters to reduce their cost. Nano technology-based applications can bring down the price of exhaust system by about 70 per cent. This will help manufacturers optimise the extra cost incurred by a PM filter. “With the anticipated introduction of PM filters, suppliers should tap the potential by developing efficient filters and establishing strategic OEM relationships,” concludes the analyst.

Technologies:

The following technologies are covered in this research:

- Catalytic converters
- Exhaust gas recirculation (EGR)
- Particulate matter (PM) filters


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