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Assessment of China's Market for Gas-insulated Switchgear
GCiS, December 2009, Pages: 140
This Limited Publication Study provides an in-depth understanding of the market for Gas-insulated Switchgear (GIS), excluding other types of switchgear with sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) breakers in Mainland China. There are ten separate voltage ratings in the market, which are categorized as medium voltage (also referred to as cabinet GIS) and high voltage. The report is based on a study of the production, sales, distribution and application of these products across all regions of China, in their predominant customer industry sectors (target market). Included is a quantitative and qualitative assessment of the market’s size, trends, development, key participants and opportunities.
China’s market for gas-insulated switchgear has grown steadily throughout 2009 and continues to grow its share of the world’s total demand. Despite, tightening restrictions on sulphur-hexafluoride, the insulating gas, the next few years will witness a further expansion of this market as China’s grid is modernized and expanded to meet the nation’s power needs and supply constraints. Almost all of the major international players are in this market and within the competing blocs of Japan, Europe and the U.S.A., GIS suppliers are forging alliances with local companies with ties to state owned production and T&D.
This market study draws on a three month, in-depth primary survey of around 100 of the market’s supply side and channel players. A detailed understanding of 10 medium and high voltage products across five applications in Mainland China. A comprehensive map of the competitive landscape is provided to those needing knowledge of the accessible parts of this giant market.
Major areas covered include:
- Market size and shares
- Five-year Projections
- Market Structure
- Multiple Segmentation Schemes
- Pricing trends
- Distribution
- Consumption
- Assessment of key suppliers
Products Mentioned:
Products with maximum voltage ratings 12 kV, 24 kV and 40.5 kV are MV; while 72.5 kV, 126 kV, 252 kV, 363 kV, 550 kV, 800 kV, and 1100 kV are HV.
Chapter 1 Introduction
I. Introduction
LPS Overview
Sections of the Study
Sampling
Figure 1.1: Total Sampling by Target Group
Supplier Sampling
Figure 1.2: Supplier Sample Representation
Channel and Influencer Sampling & Segmentation
Definition
Sampling - Channel Players
Figure 1.3: Channel Player Sample Representation
Product Definitions
End-user Industry Definitions
Figure 1.5: Customer Demographic Data by Industry (2008)
II. Definitions and Process
Abbreviations
Figure 1.6: Glossary of Industry Terms in English and Chinese
Open and Closed Questions
GCiS China Segmentation
Figure 1.7: GCiS Standard China Geographic Segmentation
GCiS Regional Segmentation
Locations by Tier in China
A Note on China’s Key Industrial Output Areas
Pearl River Delta
Figure 1.8: Overview: The Pearl River Delta
Yangtze River Delta
Figure 1.9: Overview: The Yangtze River Delta
Bohai Rim Economic Zone
Figure 1.10: Overview: The Bohai Rim
About Limited Publication Studies
Chapter 2: Total Analysis
I. Executive Summary
Market in Sum
Figure 2.1: Summary of Key Market Figures- China GIS
Figure 2.2: GIS Market Size and Share by Aspect
Figure 2.3: Key Benchmark Data- China GIS Market
Market Entry Issues
Figure 2.4: Snapshot of Key Market Entry Issues
Key Findings
Market Drivers, Inhibitors
Key Market Inhibitors for hina’s GIS market:
Figure 2.5: Drivers and Inhibitors – Chart
Figure 2.6: Relevant Government Bodies
Figure 2.7: Related Bodies and Organizations
Government Enforcement
Market Opportunities in Target Market
Figure 2.8: GCiS China Market Opportunities Assessment (by Market Segment)
Opportunity Matrix
Figure 2.9: Market Opportunities for Foreign / Quality Suppliers by application
Figure 2.10: Opportunity Qualitative & Quantitative Assessment – Industry
Figure 2.11: Product Opportunities for Foreign/Quality Suppliers by product
Figure 2.12: Opportunity Qualitative & Quantitative Assessment – Product
Corporate and Regulatory News
Figure 2.13: On-going UHV projects in China (2009)
Expert Views
Recommendations
Particularly for HV Suppliers
Particularly for MV Suppliers
II. Market Figures
Key Findings
Market Figures Overview
Figure 2.14: GIS Market Segmentation
Figure 2.15: Summary of Market Size Figures (Bn RMB) – Chart
Supply-end Market
Figure 2.16: Total Market Revenues by Product (Mn RMB)
Figure 2.17: Total Market Revenues by Product – Chart
Locations: Sales by Region / Exports
Figure 2.18: Weighted Average of Exports (%), Average Export Revenues of
Suppliers
Figure 2.19: GIS Domestic and Export Revenue Breakdown (Bn RMB)
Domestic Market Revenues by Application
Figure 2.20: Total Revenues by Application (Mn RMB)
Figure 2.21: Total Revenues by Product
Domestic Market Revenues by Application – Cont.
Figure 2.22: Total GIS Sales by Application
Figure 2.23: Customer Demographic Data by Industry (2008)
Market Shares
Figure 2.24: Estimated Market Share of GIS by Company (Mn RMB)
Figure 2.25: Estimated Market Share of GIS by Company (Mn RMB) – Chart
Regional Sales
Figure 2.26: Sales by Industry and Region
Pricing Trends
Figure 2.27: Pricing and Pricing Trends – Chart
Growth Rates and Forecasts
Figure 2.28: GIS China Market Size (2006-2014)
Figure 2.29: GIS China Market Size –Chart (2006-2014)
Figure 2.30: Year-on-Year Growth Rates
Forecast Analysis
Figure 2.31: State Grid Electricity Demand used in Forecast by Year
Figure 2.32: Change in Sales GIS and SG Electricity Growth Rates (`07-14)
III. Competitive Analysis
Key Points
Dynamics of this Market
Concentration of Suppliers
Foreign vs. Domestic Suppliers
Figure 2.33: Foreign and Domestic Market Shares of GIS
Key Recent Local Innovations
Figure 2.34: Recent Local Innovations
Gas-insulated Switchgear Suppliers
Multinationals and JVs
ABB
Hyundai
Ping Gao Toshiba
Siemens
Domestic Suppliers
Xi‘an Xidian
Ping Gao Group
Qualitative Summary of Customers
End-User Industries
Figure 2.35: End-user Spending on GIS Product by Industry
State Grid Corporations
Utility Power Plants
Industry Power Plants
Subway
Alliances and Competitive Gray Areas
Figure 2.36: Japanese HV Supplier Alliances
Figure 2.37: European HV Supplier Alliances
Five-Forces Analysis
Figure 2.38: Five Forces Analysis
Market by Tier
Figure 2.39: Revenues and Sales Penetration by Tier
Figure 2.42: Revenue Market Share by Tier
IV. Channel Analysis
Key Findings
Summary of GIS Channel Players
Agents
Engineering Companies
Influential Participants
Research / Design Institutes
Bidding Houses
Figure 2.40: Key Channel Players Listed and Compared
Channel Player Sales
Figure 2.41: Average Weighted Percentage Channel Sales – Chart
Examples of channel work include:
Market Value Chain
Figure 2.42: China GIS Market Value Chain
Value Chain Explained
Channel Revenues
Figure 2.43: Average Total and Target Revenues in 2009 (Mn RMB)
Figure 2.44: Average Target Revenues in 2009 (Mn RMB)-Chart
Revenues by Region and Application – Supplier Comparison
Figure 2.45: Percentage of Revenues by Application – Suppliers and Channel
Supply-side Relations
Figure 2.46: Details of Supplier Relationships
Scope of Services
Figure 2.47: Average Percentage Providing Services - Chart
Chapter 3: Segment Analysis
I. Medium Voltage
Key Findings
Figure 3.1: Revenues, Output, Growth and Pricing by Market Tier
Segment Summary
Figure 3.2: MV GIS Revenue and Output Breakdown
Supplier Overview
Top Suppliers - MV GIS 3.4
Figure 3.3: 2009 Market Leaders – MV GIS (RMB Bn)
Supplier Comparison 3.5
Figure 3.4: Key Comparison Percentages – MV GIS
Figure 3.5: MV GIS Sales by Region
Figure 3.6: MV GIS Sales by Industry
Customers in this Market
Share by Revenues and Output
Figure 3.7: Market Shares in the China GIS MV Market (2009)
Figure 3.8: Market Share by Revenues and Output –MVGIS
Exports
Figure 3.9: Export Revenues and Percentages – MV GIS
Figure 3.10: Export Revenues and Percentages – MV GIS – Chart
Growth and Projections
Figure 3.11: 2009 - 2014 MV GIS Market Forecasts (Bn RMB)
Figure 3.12: Market Share Change in 2009 and 2011 – MV GIS
Figure 3.13: Market Share Change in 2009 and 20110 – MV GIS – Chart
Capacity Addition
Figure 3.14: Figure 3.14: Average Capacity and Output (Units) – MV GIS
Applications and Customers
Figure 3.15: Total MV GIS Market Revenues by Application (Bn RMB)
Figure 3.16: Total MV GIS Market Revenues by Application (Mn RMB) – Chart
Purchase Process
MV GIS Purchase Criteria
Figure 3.17: Suppliers Weighting of Purchase Criteria – MV GIS
Channel and Influencers
Market Dynamics
Sales Channels – MV GIS
Figure 3.18: Channel Breakdown for MV GIS
Figure 3.19: Channel Breakdown for MV GIS - Chart
Product and Price Comparison
Figure 3.20: Pricing Examples – MV GIS
Figure 3.21: Pricing List – MV GIS
Pricing Trends
Figure 3.22: Pricing Trends – MV GIS
Figure 3.23: Pricing Trends – MV GIS – Chart
Market Outlook
Opportunity Ratings
Figure 3.24: Opportunity Ratings by Application – MV GIS
II. High Voltage
Key Findings
Figure 3.25: Revenues, Output, Growth and Pricing by Market Tier
Segment Summary
Figure 3.26: HV GIS Revenue and Output Breakdow
Supplier Overview
Top Suppliers - HV GIS
Figure 3.27: 2009 Market Leaders – HV GIS (RMB Bn)
Supplier Comparison
Figure 3.28: Key Comparison Percentages – HV GIS
Figure 3.29: HV GIS Sales by Region
Figure 3.30: HV GIS Sales by Industry
Customers in this Market
Share by Revenues and Output
Figure 3.31: T Market Shares in the China GIS HV Market
Figure 3.32: Market Share by Revenues and Output – HVGIS
Exports
Figure 3.33: Export Revenues and Percentages – HVGIS
Figure 3.34: Export Revenues and Percentages – HV GIS – Chart
Growth and Projections
Figure 3.35: 2009 - 2014 HV GIS Market Forecasts (Bn RMB)
Figure 3.36: Market Share Change in 2009 and 2011 – HV GIS
Figure 3.37: Market Share Change in 2009 and 2011 – HV GIS - Chart
Capacity Additions
Figure 3.38: Average Capacity and Output (Units) – HV GIS
Applications and Customers
Figure 3.39: Total HV GIS Market Revenues by Application (Bn RMB)
Figure 3.40: Total HV GIS Market Revenues by Application (Bn RMB) – Chart
Purchase Process
HV GIS Purchase Criteria
Figure 3.41: Suppliers Weighting of Purchase Criteria – HV GIS
Channel and Influencers
Market Dynamics
Figure 3.42: Market Flow for HV GIS
Figure 3.43: Market Flow for HV GIS - Chart
Product and Price Comparison
Figure 3.44: HV GIS Pricing Examples
Pricing Trends
Figure 3.45: Pricing Trends – HV GIS
Figure 3.46: Pricing Trends – MV GIS – Chart
Market Outlook
Opportunity Ratings
Figure 3.47: Opportunity Ratings by Application – HV GIS
Appendix I: Supplier Profiles
Grid Modernization will make China the Largest Gas-insulated Switchgear Market in the World after 2010
GCiS China Strategic Research has published a study of the China market for Gas-insulated Switchgear (GIS). Medium and high-voltage sulphur hexafluoride-insulated switchgear is quantified for multiple industry and regional segments nationwide between 2009 and 2014.
The study finds that market demand, currently estimated at a third of the world’s total, will grow by an average of 12% per year over the next five years on the massive modernization package that the Chinese government is rolling out for the nation’s grid. At this growth rate, the Chinese market is expected to become the world’s largest after 2010.
How much of this market is available to all suppliers is harder to quantify. European and Japanese GIS manufacturers, some of which received a nearly one billion dollar antitrust fine from the EC in 2006, enjoy close relationships with state-owned T&D entities like the State Grid Corp. “Much of the existing grid has been built on technology transfer from European and Japanese power giants,” said Edward Barlow, GCiS senior analyst and author of the study. “With the next phase of modernization underway, the customers at the Grid and in the government will turn to these companies for the tenders,” Barlow added. “Typically in a Chinese quasi-monopsony, market share is often predetermined.”
- Areva
- Xi‘an Xidian
- Ping Gao Group
- ABB
- Shengao
- Hyundai
- Xikai
- Toshiba
- Luneng AE
- Siemens
- Taikai
- SH Zhongfa
- Hongda Nissin
- Mitsubishi
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