Mexico Infrastructure Report Q4 2010
Business Monitor International, October 2010, Pages: 84
The Mexico Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, infrastructure associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Mexico's infrastructure industry.
The National Infrastructure Plan’s implementation continues to disappoint and the latest data from the national statistics agency show that the construction industry is not going to avoid a recession in 2010. With some tenders under way there is scope for activity to resume in 2011 and low base effects largely account for the strong growth in the coming years.
- The SCT launched the tender for the concession of the Riviera Maya airport after a delay of two years. It is the first greenfield public-private partnership (PPP) in Mexico's airport sector, but interest thus far has been low – understandable, given the volatile dynamics still underlying the sector.
- We highlight the opportunities in the water infrastructure segment, one of the most under invested in, in recent years. A plethora of new contracts for pipelines, water treatment plants and desalination plants will drive growth in the sector the main factor for our bullish outlook for the water infrastructure industry.
- Revised historical data series dating back to 2003 indicate a much more robust construction sector in terms of industry value than previously estimated. Mexico’s construction industry value in 2009 was MXN797bn (US$59bn), compared to the previous estimate of MXN556bn (US$41bn). Low base effects from 2010 will accentuate industry value growth in 2011, which will in turn moderate in 2012 onwards, in line with BMI’s forecasts of a deceleration in gross fixed capital formation real growth.
- We believe that the government will continue to push through projects in the pipeline and public works contracts spell opportunities for the infrastructure and construction builders in the country, particularly the majors Empresas ICA and IDEAL, which spearhead Mexico’s infrastructure development.
A BMI core view is being fully mirrored in Mexico that an increasing number of projects will be going after a limited pool of available capital. Mexico's government has expressed great hopes for infrastructure investments in 2010. However, much of these investments are predicated on getting private capital in the sector. Investor interest is reviving, but the available capital available is dwarfed by the government's ambitions.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Mexico Infrastructure SWOT
- Mexico Infrastructure Project Finance SWOT
- Mexico Economic SWOT
- Mexico Political SWOT
Market Overview
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Mexico Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data
- Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Transport Infrastructure
- Table: Mexico Transport And Infrastructure Industry Data
- Transport Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
- Table: Federal Investments in Transport, MXNbn
- Transport Infrastructure Overview
- Major Projects – New And Ongoing Projects
- Airports
- Ports
- Roads
- Railways
- Major Projects Table – Transport
- Table: Major Infrastructure Projects – Transport
- Energy And Utilities Infrastructure
- Table: Mexico Energy & Utilities Infrastructure Data
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
- Table: Federal Investments In Utilities, MXNbn
- Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Overview
- Major Projects – New And Ongoing Projects
- Power Plants And Transmission Grids
- Oil And Gas Pipelines
- Water
- Major Projects Table – Energy And Utilities
- Table: Major Infrastructure Projects – Energy & Utilities
Business Environment
- Mexico Business Environment
- Rewards
- Risks
Regional Overview
- Latin America Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Regional Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings
- Project Finance Ratings
- Mexico Project Finance Ratings
- Design And Construction
- Commissioning And Operating
- Overall Project Finance Rating
Regional Overview
- Project Finance Ratings: Outlook For Americas
- Table: Design And Construction Rating
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Rating
- Table: Overall Project Finance Rating
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Mexico – Economic Activity
Political Outlook
- Domestic Politics
- Long-term Politics
Company Monitor
- Cemex
- Empresas ICA
- Global Overview
- Core Views
- BMI's Core Views For Infrastructure Sector
Methodology
- New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors: Methodology
- Infrastructure Forecasts: Methodology
- Sources
- Industry Forecasts
- Construction Industry
- Data Methodology
- Construction
- Capital Investment
- Construction Sector Employment
- Infrastructure Business Environment Rating
- Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
- Project Finance Ratings
- Table: Design And Construction Phase
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Commercial Construction
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Energy And Utilities
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase – Transport
- Sources
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