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Retail Futures Q3 2010: Composite

Datamonitor, September 2010, Pages: 124

Introduction
Retail Futures is a unique forecasting tool providing dynamic forecasts and analysis of market demand and price pressures every three months. A Sector Summary Report and seven UK sector and two UK channel forecasts are available (Clothing & Footwear, DIY & Gardening, Electricals, Furniture & Floorcoverings, Food & Grocery, Health & Beauty, Homewares, e-Retail, DIY Superstores).

Scope of this research
Brief review of economic trends and how they impact retail, explaining how we believe key economic metrics will evolve over the next two years. Forecasts of how overall retail and retail sectors will fare over the next nine quarters, examining volume, inflation and overall growth rates. This unique service provides constantly updated forecasts than ensures you are making the right decisions, based on the latest data. The reliable and accurate data exposes opportunities for growth and is a key operational planning tool to aid tactical and strategic decision-making. It allows you to benchmark performance with confidence and set effective targets to help maximise performance. Research and analysis highlights
Growth trending upwards -Driven by higher inflation in food & grocery. -Volumes continue to improve – returning to growth in non-food – though this is against extremely weak comparatives.

Non-food growth improves. -Nonetheless, clothing & footwear and health & beauty remain the only non-food sectors experiencing growth. -… driven by inflation, with the return of VAT to 17.5%, the weakness of sterling and rising cotton prices.

Home related sectors continue to struggle. -The housing market remains stagnant and is showing no imminent signs of meaningful uplift. -Weakening consumer confidence, high unemployment and squeezed disposable income is further impacting discretionary demand.

Key reasons to purchase this research
What impact will public sector cuts have on the retail sector? How will individual sectors perform in 2011, compared with total retail? What effect will inflationary pressures have on individual sector?

SETTING THE SCENE
Economic synopsis
Retail synopsis

TOTAL RETAIL EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS
Overview
Growth drivers this quarter
Growth trends

RETAIL SECTOR EXPENDITURE SUMMARY
Market Values (Current Prices)
£m
Growth rates
Market Volumes (2004 Constant Prices)
£m
Growth rates
RETAIL SECTOR EXPENDITURE ANALYSIS
Food & Grocery
Clothing & Footwear
DIY & Gardening
DIY Superstores
Electricals
Furniture & Floorcoverings
Health & Beauty
Homewares
E-Retail

APPENDIX
Methodology
Principle sources
Definitions
Help & tips to use the Quarterly Forecasts
Bespoke forecasts & consulting

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