ROSM – Global Green Aircraft Engine Programs

Frost & Sullivan, November 2010, Pages: 57

This research service focusses on the future aircraft engines and the revenue opportunity of suppliers across the segment. The future aircraft engine programs are classified into core engine programs and technology programs in this research service. The engine programs discussed in this study are GEnx, COMAC, Re-engineing programs and the Gear Turbo Fan(GTF) program. The technology programs segment covers NEWAC and DREAM along with an opportunity analysis on the possibility and potential of these programs.

Research Overview
This Frost & Sullivan research service titled ROSM – Global Green Aircraft Engine Programs offers a comprehensive overview of green aircraft engine development programs including key drivers and restraints as well as industry challenges. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the following: technology programs and engine programs.

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Market Overview

Cost Pressures Coupled with Demand for Low Cost Travel Boost Market Prospects of Aircraft Engine Manufacturers

Engine technology programs are striving to encourage increased adoption of aircraft engines. Airbus and Boeing are set to face competition from Chinese manufactured aircraft, even as COMAC and MRJs offer significant opportunity for engine and allied component manufacturers of future aircraft engines. Investment in aircraft engine programs will be in excess of $3 billion. This will be towards developing technologies for engines of future aircraft. As investments double and orders for new generation aircraft rise after 2016, significant changes will be witnessed in overall global fleet composition. “Future aircraft engines are slowly moving from conventional turbofans to innovative turbo fan systems, like geared turbofan and open rotor,” states the analyst of this research. “Their ability to have increased by-pass ratios and reduced noise levels has given them an edge for use in future aircraft and opens up numerous market opportunities for participants involved.”

The need for advancements in aircraft engine technology and modifications to the core of the engine are the result of environmental norms and operating cost pressures. “Participants across the supply chain envisage wider adoption of such technologies, driving aircraft engine development programs through risk-sharing partnerships,” notes the analyst. “The future is likely to witness a progressive shift towards innovative turbofan systems that will gradually lengthen maintenance cycles and reduce operating costs.” The success of aircraft engine development programs will be measured by the adoption rate of aircraft integrators. The increasing number of risk and revenue-sharing partnerships testifies to such technological advancements. The market for future aircraft engines is mutually interrelated to the growth in air traffic. This rise in air traffic corresponds, in turn, to an increased demand for aircraft that enable low cost travel. The pressure to provide efficient aircraft that support low cost travel ultimately falls on airline operators and percolates thereafter, down to aircraft integrators.

Rapid Pace of Technological Change Poses a Challenge

One of the main concerns in the market relates to constant technological innovations. The rapid pace of technological development may result in the lack of adoption of a particular type of technology if it becomes outdated by the time it reaches the technology demonstrator stage. “Future aircraft technology and engine programs face the challenge of adoption and acceptance,” cautions the analyst. “This is likely to continue to remain a factor hampering extensive research.”

It is vital for the participants of future aircraft engine programs, particularly technology development programs, to involve OEMs through a risk- or revenue-sharing partnership. This strategy will help to minimize the risk of adoption - a vital factor that is expected to hamper the growth of overall investments. “Going forward, increased participation by government backed participants like the European Commission and aircraft integrator is seen as the best approach for such programs to succeed.”

Market Sectors

Expert Frost & Sullivan analysts thoroughly examine the following application sectors in this research:

- Technology programs
- Engine programs

- 1. Executive Summary

- 2. Market Definition

- 3. Market Driver and Restraints and Industry Challenges
- - 3.1. Industry Challenges
- - 3.2. Market Drivers and Restraints
- - 3.3. Market Drivers and Restraints - Impact Analysis

- 4. Genx20
- - 4.1. GEnx Implementation Roadmap
- - 4.2. Investment Mapping
- - 4.3. Stakeholder Mapping

- 5. Re-engineing Program
- - 5.1 Stakeholder Mapping
- - 5.2 Program Overview

- 6. COMAC and LEAP-X2929
- - 6.1. Investment Mapping
- - 6.2. Stakeholder Mapping
- - 6.3. COMAC Program Roadmap
- - 6.4. Opportunities from the COMEC Program
- - 6.5. Potential Forecasts

- 7. Gear Turbo Fan (GTF)
- - 7.1. GTF Development Roadmap
- - 7.2. Stakeholder Mapping
- - 7.3. Opportunities from GTF Program

- 8. NEWAC
- - 8.1. Program Overview
- - 8.2. Stakeholder Mapping

- 9. DREAM
- - 9.1. Program Overview
- - 9.2. Stakeholder Mapping

- 10. Total Market Share
- - 10.1. Total Investment Across Upcoming Engine Programs

- 11. Conclusion & Strategic Recommendations
- - 11.1. Conclusion
- - 11.2. Strategic Recommendation

- 12. Appendix

- 13. About Frost & Sullivan

List of Figures
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Market Drivers Ranked in Order of Impact (World), 2010-2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Market Restraints Ranked in Order of Impact (World), 2010-2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: List of Market Participants and Component Segments–GEnX(World), 2009
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: List of Market Participants and Component Segments– A320 (World),2009
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: List of Market Participants and Component Segments– B737 (World),2009
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: List of Market Participants and Component Segments– COMAC and LEAP-X (World),2009
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: List of Market Participants and Component Segments– GTF(World),2010
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: List of Market Participants and Component Segments– DREAM (World),2010
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Decision Support Database (World),2010-2018

List Of Charts
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Investment Snapshot (World), 2010- 2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Market Segmentation (World), 2010
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Industry Challenges (World), 2011- 2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Market Drivers and Restraints (World), 2011-2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: GEnx Engine’s Development Map (World), 2007-2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Investment Break-up of Participants GEnX (World), 2009
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Aircraft Fleet Structure (World), 2009
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Aircraft Deliveries Split (World), 2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Risk Sharing Ratio of Participants–COMAC and LEAP-X (World), 2010
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: COMAC Program Roadmap (World), 2008 -2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: COMACC919 and ARJ21 Aircraft Delivery Forecasts (World), 2010-2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: GTF Development Roadmap(World),2010-2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Risk Sharing Ratio of Participants–GTF(World), 2010
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Mitsubushi Regional Jet Aircraft Delivery Forecasts (World), 2010-2020
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Risk Sharing Ratio of Participants NEWAC (World), 2010
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: List of Market Participants and Component Segments–NEWAC (World), 2010
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Risk Sharing Ratio of Participants–DREAM (World), 2010
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Total Investment (World), 2008-2018
- Green Aircraft Engine Programs: Total Investment (World), 2008-2018

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