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Turkey Defence and Security Report Q1 2011

Business Monitor International, January 2011, Pages: 104

Business Monitor International's Turkey Defence and Security Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, defence and security associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Turkey's defence and security industry.

Geographically, Turkey straddles the Bosphorus and therefore lies on the border between Europe and Asia. Politically, it lies on the border between Europe and the Middle East. It borders Greece and Bulgaria on the west, Syria, Iraq and Iran on the East. Conventionally thought of as European, Turkey is a member of NATO and has been a secular, Western-oriented country since it creation under the first president, Mustafa Kemal Atatürk.

Recently though, the current Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has been working to place greater emphasis on Turkey’s role as a Muslim nation. There has, for instance been a much more critical attitude towards Israel. The strains placed on Turkey’s relations with Israel following Israel’s attack on the Turkish flotilla to Gaza in May 2010 flow from this new perspective.

Turkey is one of the world’s largest arms importers and the Turkish armed forces rank among the 10 largest armies of the world. The country is moving, logically, from being a simple importer to a position that demands local involvement. The Ministry of National Defence Undersecretariat for Defence Industries (SSM) is responsible for the development and modernisation of the Turkish defence industry. The SSM is seeking to consolidate the defence industry in order to make it more competitive and reduce the reliance on defence imports. Most import contracts are now awarded to multinational firms that have entered into partnership with local companies. Not surprisingly, there have been strains in the procurement process, especially with regards to the level and nature of the technology transfers. At least three defence projects have been cancelled as a result.

Politically, we see Turkey’s institutions continuing to develop. A growing and increasingly influential middle class will keep driving the shift away from traditional stakeholders, most notably the military, towards parliament and political parties.

Economically, Turkey's economic integration with faster growing markets in Central and Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa and the CIS will keep expanding. This will only reinforce the movement in orientation away from Western Europe and in turn continue to drive the shift in foreign policy priorities. At the same time though, we stress that our core view is for Turkey to continue working along the EU accession path"

Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
- Turkey Security SWOT
- Turkey Defence Industry SWOT
- Turkey Political SWOT
- Turkey Economic SWOT
- Turkey Business Environment SWOT

Global Political Outlook
- Global Hotspots
- Latin America: More Of The Same
- Western Europe
- Central Europe
- South Eastern Europe
- Russia And The Former Soviet Union
- Middle East: Mostly The Same Old Challenges
- Sub-Saharan Africa: Definitive Elections Pending
- Asia: Accommodating A More Powerful China
- Wild Cards

Global Security Outlook
- Middle East Security Overview
- The Middle East In A Global Context
- Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
- The Outlook For The Middle East
- Political Risk Analysis
- The Future Of NATO: Fundamental Questions Still Unanswered
- The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s

Security Risk Analysis
- BMI’s Security Ratings
- Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings
- Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Turkey’s Security Risk Ratings
- Table: BMI’s Middle East And North Africa City Terrorism Index
- Table: BMI’s Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia City Terrorism Index
- Political Overview
- Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- Table: Insurgent Groups
- External Security Situation
- Table: Background Brief – Cyprus

Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- International Deployments
- Table: Foreign Deployments
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
- Market Structure
- Arms Trade Overview

Industry Trends And Developments
- Table: Key Players In Turkey’s Defence Sector
- Procurement Trends And Developments
- Latest Developments
- Forecast Scenario
- Defence Outlook
- Table: Turkey’s Armed Forces, 2000-2008 (‘000 personnel)
- Table: Government Defence Expenditure, 2008-2015
- Table: Economic Activity

Company Profiles
- Aselsan Military Electronics Industry Inc

BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: Methodology
- Sources

- Aselsan Military Electronics Industry Inc
- Havelsan AS

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