China’s Livehog, Layers & Broilers Market Analysis and Forecast Report (2010-2011)
Beijing Shennong Kexin Agribusiness Consulting Co.,Ltd, February 2011
China’s live hog prices rose quickly and considerably after dropping to the lowest at May, live hog rearing profits become 250 RMB/head from loss; Because of tight supply, layer prices considerably rise in July and November, layers rearing profits were better in the second half of 2010; the trends of broiler market prices were basically similar as 2009, and the benefits fluctuated between profits and loss.
Under the support and encouragement of national policies, the proportion of livestock and poultry standardization and scale-rearing gradually rose. The proportion of scaled rearing for live hog(50-head slaughter per year), layer(2,000-bird inventories per year, broiler(2,000-bird slaughter per year) is about 60%, 60% and 85%. rearing, feed and slaughtering enterprises created the rearing model “Company + Farm”, extended the industrial chains, and the integration degree of livestock rearing kept on rising.
Under the complicated international situations, China’s Pork and poultry meat exports both increased slightly; after ending the 7-year trade dispute between USA and China, China begun to impose 5-year anti-dumping duty and countervailing duty on American broiler products from 2010.
According to the supply and demand characteristics of livestock and poultry products, this report studies the supply and demand balance of China’s pork, poultry meat, meat and poultry egg after systematically analyzing the production of domestic live hog, layer and broiler, and changes of poultry products prices and international trade.
This report is shown by clear views, detailed and accurate data. This report forecasts the market in 2011 based on analysis of China’s live hog, layer and broiler market developments and change characteristics in 2010.
Part One External Environment of 2010 China’s Animal Husbandry
1.1 2010China’s Macro-Economy Situations and Effects
1.1.1 CPI in the Second Half of 2010 Increased by More 3% Year on Year.
1.1.2 Per-Capita Disposable Income of UrbanResidents 3000 US Dollars per Year
1.1.3 Meat and Eggs Consumption Expenditure Accounted for 21.0% and 2.1% of Food Expenditure
1.2 Livestock Product Trade
1.2.1 Livestock Product Accounted for 15% of Agricultural Product Trade
1.2.2 Livestock Product Import and Export Values both Increased Year on Year
1.2.3 Livestock Product Trade Deficit Expanded
1.3 Changes of Feed Output and Price, and Effects
1.3.1 Changes of Industrial Feed Output and Structure for Major Livestock Products
1.3.2 Main Feed Raw Materials Corn, Soybean Meal Prices both Soared up
1.4 Animal Husbandry Development Policies and Effects
1.4.1 Reinforced Production Operations Management of Livestock Breeding
1.4.2 Accelerated the Scale and Standardization of Livestock Farming
Part Two 2010 China’s Meat Supply and Demand
2.1 China’s Meat Supply
2.1.1 Meat Output Structure
2.1.2 China’s Meat Output Exceeded 75 Million MT
2.1.3 Meat Products Output Surpassed 12 Million MT
2.1.4 Meat Products Output Structure
2.2 China’s Meat Consumption
2.2.1 Meat Consumption Increased Steadily
2.2.2 Meat Consumption Structure
2.2.3 Urban and Rural Meat Consumption Comparison
2.3 Analysis and Forecast of Meat Supply and Demand Balance
Part Three Analysis and Forecast of China’s Live Hog Market
3.1 2010 China’s Live Hog Production Analysis
3.1.1 Continued to Implement Supporting Policies to Fertile Sow Subsidy, etc.
3.1.2 Selected 16 Swine farms as National Core Breeding Farms
3.1.3 Live Hog Inventory and Slaughter First Decreased and then Increased
3.1.4 Fertile Sow Inventory Declined Slightly
3.1.5 Live Hog Production Distribution
3.1.6 Proportion of Live Hog Scaled Rearing Steadily Rose
3.1.7 Live Hog Rearing Quantity of Large Rearing Enterprises Ascended
3.2 2010 China’s Live Hog Rearing Market Analysis
3.2.1 Live Hog Price Fist Declined, and then Kept Rising
3.2.2 Piglet Prices Rose Slightly
3.2.3 Live Hog Rearing Profits Return to Higher Level After Dropping to Lowest
3.3 2010 China’s Live Hog Slaughter Market Analysis
3.3.1 Live Hogs Slaughter of Scaled Slaughterhouses Accounted for 3% of Total Slaughter
3.3.2 Live Hogs Slaughter of Large Slaughterhouses Moved up Rapidly
3.3.3 Ex-form Prices of Carcass Showed the Changes "Fall- Stabilize -Rise”
3.3.4 Slaughter Profits Fluctuated Between 30-100 RMB/Head
3.4 2010 China’s Pork Wholesale and Retail Market Analysis
3.4.1 Pork Wholesale Prices and Wholesale Profits
3.4.2 Pork Retail Prices and Retail Profits
3.5 2010 China’s Pork Import and Export Analysis
3.5.1 Fresh and Frozen Pork Imports Increased
3.5.2 Live Hog Exports Rose Slightly
3.5.3 Fresh and Frozen Pork Exports Moved up
3.6 2010 China’s Pork Supply and Demand
3.6.1 Pork Output Continued to Increase
3.6.2 Urban and Rural Pork Consumption Characteristics
3.6.3 In-door and Out-door Pork Consumption Characteristics
3.7 2011 China’s Live Hog Market Forecast
3.7.1 Live Hog Inventory and Slaughter both to Increase
3.7.2 Live Hog Prices to Rise Slightly, Rearing Profits to 100 RMB/head
3.7.3 China to Wash out 50% Backward Slaughter Capacity till 2015
3.7.4 Pork Trade to be Basically Stable
3.8 Analysis and forecast of Pork Supply and Demand Balance
Part Four Analysis and Forecast of China’s Egg Poultry and Layer Market
4.1 2010 China’s Breeding Layer Production Analysis
4.1.1 Characteristics of Grandparent Breeding Layer Introduction
4.1.2 Characteristics of Self-Breeding Grandparent Layer Introduction
4.1.3 Characteristics of Grandparent Breeding Layer Inventory
4.1.4 Sales and Prices of Parent Breeding Layer
4.2 2010 China’s Commercial Layer Production Analysis
4.2.1 Layer Inventory Declined
4.2.2 Layer Rearing Distribution
4.2.3 Proportion of Layers Scaled Rearing Continued to Rise
4.2.4 Egg Output of Main Layer Rearing Enterprises Basically Stable.
4.3 2010 China’s Layer Market Analysis
4.3.1 Hen Eggs Prices Rose Considerably in July and November
4.3.2 Culled Layer Prices Rose
4.3.3 Layers Rearing Profits Better in the Second Half of 2010
4.3.4 Hen Egg Wholesale Prices and Wholesale profits
4.3.5 Hen Egg Retail Prices and Retail profits
4.4 2010 China’s Poultry Egg Import and Export Analysis
4.4.1 Poultry Egg Exports with Shell Declined, Fresh Hen Egg Exports Accounted for 80%
4.4.2 Poultry Egg Products Exports Declines
4.4.3 Poultry Egg Product Imports Basically Stable
4.5 2010 China’s Poultry Egg Supply and Demand
4.5.1 Poultry Egg Output Remained Stable
4.5.2 Poultry Egg Production Structure
4.5.3 Poultry Egg Consumption Continued to Increase
4.5.4 Urban and Rural Poultry Egg Consumption Characteristics
4.5.5 In-door and Out-door Poultry Egg Consumption Characteristics
4.6 2011 China’s Layer Market Forecast
4.6.1 Poultry Egg Output to Increase Slightly
4.6.2 Hen Eggs Prices to Rise and to Take on Obvious Seasonal Characteristics
4.6.3 Poultry Egg Trade to Stable
4.7 Analysis and Forecast of Poultry Egg Supply and Demand Balance
Part Five Analysis and Forecast of China’s Meat Poultry and Broiler Market
5.1 2010 China’s Broiler Production Analysis
5.1.1 White-Feathered Broiler Production Characteristics (Variety, Introduction Volume, Major Large Enterprises)
5.1.2 Yellow-Feathered Broiler Production Characteristics (Variety, Introduction Volume, Major Large Enterprises)
5.1.3 Broiler Slaughter Increased
5.1.4 Broiler Rearing Distribution
5.1.5 Proportion of Broiler Scaled Rearing Approached to 90%
5.2 2010 China’s White-Feathered Broiler Market Analysis
5.2.1 Broiler Prices First Declined, and then Rose
5.2.2 Day Old Broiler Prices Highest of 3.0 RMB /Bird in March, August and November
5.2.3 Broiler Rearing Profits Reached 1.0 RMB/Bird
5.2.4 Chicken Wholesale Prices and Wholesale Profits
5.2.5 Chicken Retail Prices and Retail Profits
5.3 2010 China’s Poultry Meat Import and Export Analysis
5.3.1 China Imposed 5-Year Anti-dumping Duty and Countervailing Duty on American White-Feathered Broiler Products
5.3.2 Poultry Meat Imports Declined, Imports from United States Declined to 20%
5.3.3 Poultry Meat Exports Increased, Mainly Exported Whole Chicken and Frozen Cut Chicken
5.4 2010 China’s Poultry Meat Supply and Demand
5.4.1 Poultry Meat Output Increased Slightly
5.4.2 Poultry Meat Production Structure
5.4.3 Poultry Meat Consumption Continued to Increase
5.4.4 Urban and Rural Poultry Meat Consumption Characteristics
5.4.5 In-door and Out-door Poultry Meat Consumption Characteristics
5.5 2011 China’s Broiler Market Forecast
5.5.1 Broiler Slaughter to Keep on Increasing
5.5.2 Broiler Prices to keep on Fluctuant Rise, Rearing Profits to Fluctuate Slightly
5.5.3 Poultry Meat Imports to Decline
5.6 Analysis and Forecast of Poultry Meat Supply and Demand Balance
Figure Contents
Fig 1.1, CPI Growing Rate of National Total, Urban and Rural, 2008-2010
Fig 1.2, Urban and Rural Residents Income, 1990-2010
Fig 1.3, Meat and Egg Consumption in Different Income Levels
Fig 1.4, 2009 China’s Food Expenditure Structure
Fig 1.5, 2010 Livestock Import and Export Values by Month
Fig 1.6, China’s Industrial Feed Output, 2001-2010
Fig 1.7, Lie Hog Feed Product Structure, 2000-2010
Fig 1.8, Egg Poultry Feed Product Structure, 2000-2010
Fig 1.9, Meat Poultry Feed Product Structure, 2000-2010
Fig 1.10, China’s Corn and Soybean Meal Prices, 2007-2010
Fig 2.1, China’s Meat Output Structure
Fig 2.2, China’s Meat Output, 1990-2010
Fig 2.3, China’s Beef Output, 1990-2010
Fig 2.4, China’s Mutton Output, 1996-2010
Fig 2.5, China’s Meat Product Output, 2004-2010
Fig 2.6, China’s Meat Product Structure
Fig 2.7, Per Capita Meat Consumption of China’s Urban and Rural Residents, 1985-2010
Fig 2.8, China’s Meat Consumption Structure
Fig 3.1, China’s Live Hog Inventory, 1990-2010
Fig 3.2, China’s Live Hog Slaughter, 1990-2010
Fig 3.3, China’s Fertile Sow Inventory, 1990-2010
Fig 3.4, Regional Structure of Live Hog Inventory and Slaughter in Recent 5 Years
Fig 3.5, Regional Structure Changes of China’s Live Hog Slaughter, 1990-2010
Fig 3.6, Changes of China’s Live Hog Rearing Scale Structure, 1998-2010
Fig 3.7, China’s Live Hog Rearing Scale Structure
Fig 3.8, Live Hog Prices of Main Producing Provinces, 2007-2010
Fig 3.9, Piglet Prices of Main Producing Provinces, 2007-2010
Fig 3.10, Rearing Profits of Self-Breeding and Purchase Live Piglet, 2007-2010
Fig 3.11, China’s Live Hog Slaughter of Scaled Slaughterhouses, 2009-2010
Fig 3.12, Ex-factory Prices of Halved Carcass from Scaled Slaughterhouses, 2008-2010
Fig 3.13, Live Hog Slaughter Profits of Scaled Slaughterhouses, 2009-2010
Fig 3.14, Pork Wholesale Prices of 50 Key Wholesale Markets
Fig 3.15 2010 Pork Wholesale Profits
Fig 3.16, Retail Prices of Pure lean Meat in 36 Big and Middle Cities, 2008-2010
Pig 3.17, Pork Retail Price in the Supermarket and Bazaar
Fig 3.18, 2010 Pork Retail Profits
Fig 3.19, China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Imports and Import Price, 2000-2010
Fig 3.20, China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Imports by Original Country, 2000-2010
Fig 3.21, China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Imports by Province, 2008-2010
Fig 3.22, 2010 China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Imports by Original Country
Fig 3.23, China’s Live Hog Exports and Export Price, 2000-2010
Fig 3.24, China’s Live Hog Exports by Country of Destination, 2000-2010
Fig 3.25, China’s Live Hog Exports by Province, 2008-2010
Fig 3.26, China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Exports and Export Price, 2000-2010
Fig 3.27, China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Exports by Country of Destination, 2000-2010
Fig 3.28, 2010 China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Exports by Country of Destination
Fig 3.29, China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Exports by Province, 2008-2010
Fig 3.30, China’s Pork Output, 1990-2010
Fig 3.31, Per Capita Pork Consumption of China’s Urban Households, 1985-2010
Fig 3.32, Per Capita Pork Consumption of China’s Rural Households, 1985-2010
Fig 4.1, Grandparent Breeding Layer Introduction Volume, 2004-2010
Fig 4.2, Grandparent Breeding Layer Introduction Variety, 2008-2010
Fig 4.3, Main Countries of China’s Grandparent Breeding Layer Introduction, 2008-2010
Fig 4.4, China’s Layers Inventory, 2008-2010
Fig 4.5, Regional Structure of China’s Poultry Egg Output, 1990-2010
Fig 4.6, Regional Structure of China’s Poultry Egg Output, 2006-2010
Fig 4.7, 2009 China’s Layers Rearing Scale Structure
Fig 4.8, China’s Layers Scaled Rearing Changes, 1998-2010
Fig 4.9, Sales and Prices of Parent Breeding layers
Fig 4.10, Hen Egg Prices of Main Producing Provinces, 2008-2010
Fig 4.11, Culled Layer Prices of Main Producing Provinces, 2008-2010
Fig 4.12, Layers Rearing Profits of Main Producing Provinces, 2008-2009
Fig 4.13, Hen Egg Wholesale Prices of 50 Key Wholesale Markets
Fig 4.14, 2010 Hen Egg Wholesale Profits
Fig 4.15, Hen Egg Retail Prices in 36 Big and Middle Cities, 2008-2010
Fig 4.16, China’s Hen Egg Prices in the Supermarket and Bazaar, 2006-2010
Fig 4.17, 2010 Hen Egg Retail Profits
Fig 4.18, China’s Poultry Egg Exports with Shell, 2000-2010
Fig 4.19, China’s Poultry Egg Exports with Shell by Variety, 2000-2010
Fig 4.20, 2010 China’s Poultry Egg Exports with Shell by Variety
Fig 4.21, China’s Poultry Egg Exports with Shell by Country of Destination, 2000-2010
Fig 4.22, 2010 China’s Poultry Egg Exports with Shell by Country of Destination
Fig 4.23, China’s Poultry Egg Product Exports, 2000-2010
Fig 4.24, China’s Poultry Eggs Export by Country of Destination, 2000-2010
Fig 4.25, 2010 China’s Poultry Egg Product Exports by Country of Destination
Fig 4.26, China’s Poultry Egg Output, 1990-2010
Fig 4.27, China’s Poultry Egg Output Structure
Fig 4.28, Per Capita Poultry Egg Consumption in China, 1952-2010
Fig 4.29, Per Capita Poultry Egg Consumption of China’s Urban Households, 1985-2010
Fig 4.30, Per Capita Poultry Egg Consumption of China’s Rural Households, 1985-2010
Fig 5.1, China’s Grandparent Breeding Broiler Introduction Volume, 1997-2008
Fig 5.2, China’s Broiler Slaughter, 1998-2010
Fig 5.3, Regional Structure of China’s Poultry Meat Output, 1990-2010
Fig 5.4, Regional Structure of China’s Average Poultry Meat Output, 2006-2010
Fig 5.5, China’s Broiler Scaled Rearing Changes, 1998-2010
Fig 5.6, 2009 China’s Broiler Scaled Rearing Structure
Fig 5.7, Broiler Prices of Main Producing Provinces, 2008-2010
Fig 5.8, Day Old Broiler Prices of Main Producing Provinces, 2008-2010
Fig 5.9, Broiler Rearing Profits of Main Producing Provinces, 2008-2010
Fig 5.10, Chicken Wholesale Prices of 50 Key Wholesale Markets
Fig 5.11, 2010 Chicken Wholesale Profits
Fig 5.12, Chicken Retail Prices in 36 Big and Middle Cities, 2008-2010
Fig 5.13, China’s Chicken Prices in the Supermarket and Bazaar
Fig 5.14, 2010 Chicken Retail Profits
Fig 5.15, China’s Poultry Meat Imports and Import Price, 2000-2010
Fig 5.16, 2010 China’s Poultry Meat Imports by Variety
Fig 5.17, China’s Poultry Meat Imports by Original Country, 2000-2010
Fig 5.18, 2010 China’s Poultry Meat Imports by Original Country
Fig 5.19, China’s Poultry Meat Imports by Province, 2008-2010
Fig 5.20, China’s Poultry Meat Exports and Export Price, 2000-2010
Fig 5.21, 2010 China’s Poultry Meat Exports by Variety
Fig 5.22, China’s Poultry Meat Exports by Country of Destination, 2000-2010
Fig 5.23, 2010 China’s Poultry Meat Exports by Country of Destination
Fig 5.24, China’s Poultry Meat Exports by Province, 2008- 2010
Fig 5.25, China’s Poultry Meat Output, 1990-2009
Fig 5.26, China’s Poultry Meat Output Structure
Fig 5.27, Per Capita Poultry Meat Consumption in China, 1985-2010
Fig 5.28, Per Capita Poultry Meat Consumption of China’s Urban Households, 1985-2010
Fig 5.29, Per Capita Poultry Meat Consumption of China’s Rural Households, 1985-2010
Attached Tables
Table1, China’s Meat Output by Province, 2006-2010
Table2, China’s Meat Beef by Province (2006-2010)
Table3, China’s Mutton Output by Province, 2006-2010
Table4, China’s Meat Supply and Demand Balance
Table5, China’s Live Hog Inventory by Province, 2006-2010
Table6, China’s Live Hog Slaughter by Province, 2006-2010
Table7, China’s Fertile Sow Inventory by Province, 2006-2010
Table8, Annual Fatty Pig Slaughter Capability of Main Rearing Enterprises
Table9, China’s Live Hog, Piglet and Pork Prices in Main Producing Provinces, 2007-2010
Table10, Ex-farm Prices of China’s Live Hog by Month, 2007-2010
Table11, Ex-farm Average Prices of China’s Piglet by Month, 2008-2010
Table12, Annual Live Hog Slaughter Capability of Main Slaughter Enterprises
Table13, China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Imports by Original Country/Region, 2005-2010
Table14, China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Imports by Province, 2008-2010
Table15, China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Exports by Country of Destination/Region, 2006-2010
Table16, China’s Fresh and Frozen Pork Exports by Province, 2008-2010
Table17, China’s Live Hog Exports by Country of Destination /Region, 2006-2010
Table18, China’s Live Hog Exports by Province, 2008-2010
Table19, China’s Pork Output by Province, 2006-2010
Table20, China’s Live Hog Inventory Forecast
Table21, China’s Live Hog Slaughter Forecast
Table22, Pork Supply and Demand Balance
Table23, 2010 Breeding Layer Introduction Volume and Variety of Main Enterprises
Table24, Self-Breeding Layer Enterprises, Grandparent Breeding Layer Inventory and Variety per Year
Table25, Layers Inventory and Hen Eggs Output of Large Rearing Enterprises
Table26, China’s Hen egg and Culled Layer Prices in Main Producing Provinces, 2008-2010
Table27, Average Egg Ex-farm Price by Month in China, 2008-2010
Table28, Average Culled Layer Ex-farm Price by Month in Producing areas, 2008-2010
Table29, China’s Poultry Egg Exports with Shell by Variety, 2005-2010
Table30, China’s Poultry Egg Exports with Shell by Country of Destination, 2004-2010
Table31, China’s Poultry Egg Product Exports by Country of Destination, 2004-2010
Table32, China’s Poultry Egg Output by Province, 2006-2010
Table33, Poultry Egg Supply and Demand Balance
Table34, China’s Poultry Slaughter by Province, 2006-2010
Table35, Broiler and Day Old Broiler Prices in Main Producing Provinces, 2008-2010
Table36, Average Day Old Broiler Ex-farm by Month in Main Producing Areas, 2008-2010
Table37, Average Broiler Ex-farm Price by Month in Main Producing Areas, 2008-2010
Table38, China’s Poultry Meat Imports by Variety, 2008-2010
Table39, China’s Poultry Meat Imports by Original Country, 2006-2010
Table40, China’s Poultry Meat Exports by Variety, 2008-2010
Table41, China’s Poultry Meat Exports by Country of Destination, 2006-2010
Table42, China’s Poultry Meat Output by Province, 2006-2019
Table43, Poultry Meat Supply and Demand Balance
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