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The Swedish Defense Sector – Market Opportunities and Entry Strategies, Analyses and Forecasts to 2015

iCD Research, January 2011, Pages: 148

This report offers insights into the market opportunities and entry strategies adopted by foreign OEMs (original equipment manufacturers) to gain a market share in the Swedish defense industry. In particular, it offers in-depth analysis of the following:

- Market opportunity and attractiveness: detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations during 2010–2015, including highlights of the key growth stimulators. It also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and provides detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.
- Procurement dynamics: trend analysis of imports and exports, together with its implications and impact on the Swedish defense industry.
- Industry structure: five forces analysis to identify various power centers in the industry and how these are likely to develop in the future.
- Market entry strategy: analysis of possible ways to enter the market, together with detailed descriptions of how existing players have entered the market, including key contracts, alliances, and strategic initiatives.
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of competitive landscape of the defense industry in Sweden. It provides an overview of key defense companies (both domestic and foreign), together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.
- Business environment and country risk: a range of drivers at country level, assessing business environment and country risk. It covers historical and forecast values for a range of indicators, evaluating business confidence, economic performance, infrastructure quality and availability, labor force, demographics, and political and social risk.

Synopsis

- Top level overview of the Swedish defense industry
- A breakdown of the Swedish defense industry by spend pattern valued from 2004 through 2009 and forecasted from 2010 through 2015
- A breakdown of the markets by segment valued from 2004 through 2009 and forecasted from 2010 through 2015
- Details of top companies active across the Swedish defense industry
- Emerging trends and opportunities in the Swedish defense industry in the last 12 months

Scope of the report:

- Analysis of Defense industry market size from 2004 through 2009 and forecasts till 2015
- Analysis of defense budget allocation
- Benchmarking with key global markets
- Market opportunities
- Defense procurement dynamics
- Industry dynamics
- Market entry strategy
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights
- Business environment and country risk

Reasons to buy:
- Gain insight into the Swedish defense industry with current, historic and forecast market values
- Get insight on market opportunity and attractiveness
- Get insight on industry procurement dynamics
- Gain insight on industry structure
- Gain insight into the regulations governing the Swedish defense industry and the potential market entry strategies with an expert analysis of the competitive structure
- Identify top companies of the Swedish defense industry along with profiles of all those companies

Key Highlights

Defense expenditure of Sweden, estimated to be US$5.3 billion during 2010, registered a CARC of -1.93% during the review period. During the forecast period, the defense expenditure of the country is expected to grow at a CAGR of 0.36% to reach US$5.4 billion by 2015. Over the next five years, the country’s defense expenditure will be influenced largely due factors such as a strained relationship with Russia, acquisition of new defense systems and the country’s participation in international peacekeeping missions.

The country spent an average of 1.4% of its GDP towards defense expenditure during the review period. However, military spending as a percentage of GDP is expected to come down to an average of 1.1% during the forecast period as the annual GDP growth rate is higher than the defense budget growth rate of the country. An average of 47% of the total budget was earmarked for capital expenditure during 2004-08, but this share came down to 44% in 2009 due to a reduction in the purchase of defense equipment. During the forecast period, however capital expenditure is expected to increase to an average of 45% of the total defense expenditure due to a reduction in the total troop size of the armed forces resulting in a lesser revenue expenditure need.

1 Introduction
1.1 About this Report
1.2 Definitions
1.3 Methodology
1.3.1 Secondary research
1.3.2 Primary research
1.3.3 Conventions
1.4 ICD Research Terrorism Index
1.5 About ICD Research
1.6 About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1 Defense Market Size and Forecast
3.1.1 Swedish defense expenditure expected to register a CAGR of 0.36% during the forecast period
3.1.2 Peacekeeping missions, strained relationship with Russia, and modernization initiatives is expected to drive the Swedish defense expenditure
3.2 Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1 Share of capital expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.2 Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP expected to decline during the forecast period
3.3 Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1 Swedish police budget estimated to be US$2.6 billion in 2010
3.3.2 Homeland security expenditure to be driven by the country’s efforts to counter organized crime
3.3.3 Sweden faces minimal threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.4 Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1 Compared to leading defense spenders, Swedish defense expenditure is expected to remain modest during the forecast period
3.4.2 Swedish defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP lowest when compared to leading spenders
3.4.3 The country emerged as the tenth largest arms exporter in the world during the review period
3.4.4 Sweden faces no known threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5 Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1 Demand for land defense systems expected to increase
3.5.2 Defense communication systems will witness a surge in demand
3.5.3 Modernization of air force will create a demand for fighter aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1 Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1 Defense imports registered a decline in 2009
4.1.2 The country is seeking to diversify its arms imports
4.1.3 Missiles accounted for a majority of defense imports in 2009
4.2 Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1 Swedish defense exports decreased in 2009
4.2.2 Sweden is trying to venture into non-European defense markets
4.2.3 Aircraft comprises a majority of Swedish defense exports

5 Industry Dynamics
5.1 Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1 Bargaining power of supplier: low
5.1.2 Bargaining power of buyer: high
5.1.3 Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4 Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5 Threat of substitution: high

6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1 Market Regulation
6.1.1 Swedish government encourages offsets in order to form defense ties with different countries
6.1.2 Sweden’s defense sector is open to foreign direct investment
6.2 Market Entry Route
6.2.1 Acquisition of a domestic defense firm is a preferred entry route
6.2.2 Foreign OEMs gain industry access through joint research and development programs
6.2.3 Foreign investors can venture into the market through direct sales
6.3 Key Challenges
6.3.1 Cancellation of projects due to defense budget cuts deters investors from entering the market
6.3.2 Procurement from foreign defense firms poses a challenge to domestic suppliers

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1 Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2 Key Public Sector Companies
7.2.1 SAAB: overview
7.2.2 SAAB: products and services
7.2.3 SAAB: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4 SAAB: alliances
7.2.5 SAAB: recent contract wins
7.2.6 SAAB: financial analysis
7.3 Key Private Sector Players
7.3.1 BAE Systems AB: overview
7.3.2 BAE Systems AB: products and services
7.3.3 BAE Systems AB: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4 BAE Systems AB: alliances
7.3.5 BAE Systems AB: recent contract wins
7.3.6 BAE Systems AB: financial analysis
7.3.7 Kockums AB: overview
7.3.8 Kockums AB: products and services
7.3.9 Kockums AB: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.10 Kockums AB: alliances
7.3.11 Kockums AB: recent contract wins
7.3.12 Kockums AB: financial analysis
7.3.13 NAMMO AS: overview
7.3.14 NAMMO AS: products and services
7.3.15 NAMMO AS: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.16 NAMMO AS: alliances
7.3.17 NAMMO AS: recent contract wins
7.3.18 NAMMO AS: financial analysis
7.3.19 CybAero: overview
7.3.20 CybAero: products and services
7.3.21 CybAero: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.22 CybAero: alliances
7.3.23 CybAero: recent contract wins
7.3.24 CybAero: financial analysis
7.3.25 DYNASAFE AB: overview
7.3.26 DYNASAFE AB: products and services
7.3.27 DYNASAFE AB: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.28 DYNASAFE AB: alliances
7.3.29 DYNASAFE AB: recent contract wins
7.3.30 DYNASAFE AB: financial analysis
7.3.31 Patria Helicopter AB: overview
7.3.32 Patria Helicopter AB: products and services
7.3.33 Patria Helicopter AB: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.34 Patria Helicopter AB: alliances
7.3.35 Patria Helicopter AB: recent contract wins
7.3.36 Patria Helicopter AB: financial analysis
7.3.37 Volvo Aero: overview
7.3.38 Volvo Aero: products and services
7.3.39 Volvo Aero: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.40 Volvo Aero: alliances
7.3.41 Volvo Aero: recent contract wins
7.3.42 Volvo Aero: financial analysis
7.3.43 Scanjack AB: overview
7.3.44 Scanjack AB: products and services
7.3.45 Scanjack AB: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.46 Scanjack AB: alliances
7.3.47 Scanjack AB: recent contract wins
7.3.48 Scanjack AB: financial analysis
7.3.49 Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB: overview
7.3.50 Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB: products and services
7.3.51 Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.52 Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB: alliances
7.3.53 Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB: recent contract wins
7.3.54 Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB: financial analysis
7.3.55 Logica: overview
7.3.56 Logica: products and services
7.3.57 Logica: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.58 Logica: alliances
7.3.59 Logica: recent contract wins
7.3.60 Logica: financial analysis
7.3.61 Niscayah: overview
7.3.62 Niscayah: products and services
7.3.63 Niscayah: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.64 Niscayah: alliances
7.3.65 Niscayah: recent contract wins
7.3.66 Niscayah: financial analysis

8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1 Business Confidence
8.1.1 Business confidence indicator
8.1.2 Market capitalization trend – NASDAQ OMX Stockholm, Sweden
8.1.3 FDI inflows by sector
8.1.4 Deployment of credit by sector
8.2 Economic Performance
8.2.1 GDP at constant prices (US dollars)
8.2.2 GDP per capita at constant prices (US dollars)
8.2.3 GDP at current prices (US dollars)
8.2.4 GDP per capita at current prices (dollars)
8.2.5 GDP split by key segments
8.2.6 Agriculture net output at current prices (Swedish Krona)
8.2.7 Agriculture net output at current prices (US dollar)
8.2.8 Agriculture net output at current prices as percentage of GDP
8.2.9 Manufacturing net output at current prices (Swedish Krona)
8.2.10 Manufacturing net output at current prices (US Dollar)
8.2.11 Manufacturing net output-current prices as percentage of GDP
8.2.12 Mining, manufacturing and utilities net output at current prices (Swedish Krona)
8.2.13 Mining, manufacturing, utilities at current prices (US dollars)
8.2.14 Mining, manufacturing, utilities at current prices, as percentage of GDP
8.2.15 Construction net output at current prices, (Swedish Krona)
8.2.16 Construction net output-current prices, (US dollars)
8.2.17 Construction net output-current prices as a % of GDP
8.2.18 Crude steel production
8.2.19 Crude oil consumption
8.2.20 Inflation rate
8.2.21 Fiscal balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.22 Current account balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.23 Exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.24 Imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.25 Exports growth
8.2.26 Imports growth
8.2.27 External debt as a percentage of GDP
8.2.28 Annual average exchange rate US$--SEK
8.2.29 End of the period exchange rate US$--SEK
8.3 Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.3.1 Total airports and seaports
8.3.2 Railways and highways
8.3.3 Passenger vehicle production volume
8.3.4 Commercial vehicle production volume
8.3.5 Automotive products export trend
8.3.6 Automotive products import trend
8.3.7 Passenger car penetration
8.3.8 Total installed capacity for electricity generation
8.3.9 Installed capacity for the generation of conventional thermal electricity
8.3.10 Electricity production
8.3.11 Installed capacity for the generation of hydro-electricity
8.3.12 Installed capacity for renewable electricity generation
8.3.13 Electricity consumption
8.3.14 Electricity exports
8.3.15 Electricity imports
8.3.16 Healthcare expenditure
8.3.17 Healthcare expenditure as percentage of GDP
8.3.18 Healthcare expenditure per capita
8.3.19 Total internet subscribers
8.3.20 Broadband internet subscribers
8.3.21 Personal computer penetration rate
8.3.22 Mobile phone penetration rate
8.3.23 Research and development expenditure as a percentage of GDP
8.4 Labor Force
8.4.1 Labor force
8.4.2 Unemployment rate
8.5 Demographics
8.5.1 Annual disposable income
8.5.2 Annual per capita disposable income
8.5.3 Annual consumer expenditure on food
8.5.4 Annual per capita consumer expenditure on food
8.5.5 Total population
8.5.6 Urban and rural population
8.5.7 Female percentage of population
8.5.8 Male percentage of population
8.5.9 Mean age of population
8.5.10 Median age of population
8.5.11 Population density
8.5.12 Age distribution – total population
8.5.13 ge distribution-male population
8.5.14 Age distribution-female population
8.5.15 Number of households
8.6 Political and Social Risk
8.6.1 Political stability
8.6.2 Terrorism index
8.6.3 Transparency index

9 Appendix
9.1 Contact Us
9.2 About ICD Research
9.3 Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: Top Twenty Global Arms Exporters, 2005–09*
Table 2: ICD Research Intelligence Terrorism Index
Table 3: Swedish Defense Offset Regulations
Table 4: SAAB - Alliances
Table 5: SAAB – Recent Contract Wins
Table 6: BAE Systems AB - Alliances
Table 7: BAE Systems AB – Recent Contract Wins
Table 8: Kockums AB – Recent Contract Wins
Table 9: NAMMO AS - Alliances
Table 10: CybAero – Alliances
Table 11: CybAero – Recent Contract Wins
Table 12: DYNASAFE AB – Recent Contract Wins
Table 13: Patria Helicopter AB - Alliances
Table 14: Patria Helicopter AB – Recent Contract Wins
Table 15: Volvo Aero - Alliances
Table 16: Volvo Aero – Recent Contract Wins
Table 17: Scanjack AB – Recent Contract Wins
Table 18: Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB - Alliances
Table 19: Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB – Recent Contract Wins
Table 20: Logica - Alliances
Table 21: Logica – Recent Contract Wins
Table 22: Niscayah - Alliances
Table 23: Niscayah – Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures

Figure 1: Swedish Defense Market Size (US$ Billion), 2004–15
Figure 2: Swedish Defense Budget Allocation for Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2004–15F
Figure 3: Swedish Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2004–15
Figure 4: ICD Research Terrorism Heat Map

- SAAB
- BAE Systems AB
- Kockums AB
- NAMMO AS
- CybAero
- DYNASAFE AB
- Patria Helicopter AB
- Volvo Aero
- Scanjack AB
- Åkers Krutbruk Protection AB
- Logica
- Niscayah

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