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10GBASE-T to Dominate Gigabit Ethernet...But When?
Lightcounting, Jan 2011, Pages: 80+
10GBASE-T (or IEEE 802.3an-2006) is the copper PHY (or Physical Layer) interconnect, which transforms logical data packets into raw bits that can be transmitted onto a wire, for 10-Gigabit Ethernet (10GbE) that the market has been waiting to mature and find the right power, interoperability, and latency targets to reach high volume shipments of 10GbE into the marketplace.
The standard was finally ratified in 2006, but the rollout has been spotty. Now that the 40nm versions of 10GBASE-T PHYs are sampling, the publisher believes that 10GBASE-T will begin to drive major growth in 10GbE ports in servers and switches, but not nearly as quickly as some believe.
Because the publisher believes that integrated controller/10GBASE-T PHY chips will not be ready for the next Intel-based server platform design cycle (code named Romley) that will ship in the latter half of 2011, the publishers forecast for 10GBASE-T does not expect 10GbE shipments to surpass 1GbE shipments until 2014.
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