India Tourism Report Q1 2011
Business Monitor International, December 2010, Pages: 68
Business Monitor International's India Tourism Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, tourism associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on India's tourism industry.
Visitor Arrivals Poised For Strong 2010
Data released by the Indian Ministry of Tourism in September 2010 showed that tourist arrivals continued to grow strongly into the third quarter of the year. Arrivals totalled 3.8mn in the first nine months of the year, representing year-on-year (y-o-y) growth of 10.0%. Growth appears to be accelerating throughout the year, with y-o-y growth in September reaching 12.6%, compared to 9.0% in August, 4.1% in July and 8.0% in June.
These figures suggest that India is returning to its usual cycle of strong growth towards the end of the end during the high tourist season. Although figures have not yet been released for October, when the Commonwealth Games were held, we believe that the September arrivals bode well for strong growth in October. Although arrivals may then dip in November, following many visitors choosing to take holidays during the Games, the Christmas season should continue the trend for recovering arrivals.
Commonwealth Games Passed Off Successfully
New Delhi hosted the 19th Commonwealth Games between 3 and 14 October 2010. The run-up to the Games was marred by concerns about whether preparations were completed on time, particularly with regard to the unfinished athletes’ village. Several countries stated that they would not send their teams to the Games unless the conditions were improved. In the end, preparations were largely finished in time and all countries sent their teams. The games were generally agreed to be a success, but the bad publicity surrounding the preparations has been negative for India, undermining the impression of organisation and modernity that the country had hoped to project. The games therefore were probably not as productive in terms of attracting potential as the government had hoped, meaning that tourist arrivals are unlikely to receive a long-term boost from the games.
Air India Considers Renaming Carriers
Struggling national carrier Air India is considering renaming several of its constituent companies and relocating them in an attempt to improve operational finances. Air India has stated that it will rename its parent company National Aviation Company of India Limited (NACIL). Its regional low-cost service, Air India Express, will be renamed, potentially as India Hopper, and be relocated from Mumbai to Thiruvananthapuram, in Kerala. As most of the carrier’s customers are from Kerala, this relocation is intended to reduce costs and improve staff efficiency.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- India Tourism SWOT
- India Political SWOT
- India Economic SWOT
- India Business Environment SWOT
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Arrivals
- Table: Arrivals Data, 2006-2014
- Expenditure
- Table: Tourist Expenditure & Economic Impact, 2006-2014
- Inbound Tourism
- Table: Tourists Arrivals By Region, 2006-2014
- Table: Tourist Arrivals By Country, 2006-2014 (‘000)
- Outbound Tourism
- Table: Outbound Tourism Data, 2006-2014
- Table: Resident Departures By Destination Country, 2006-2014 (‘000)
Market Overview – Travel
- Commercial Airlines
- Focus On Jet Airways
- Focus On Kingfisher Airlines
- Focus On Low-Cost Carriers
- Table: Airlines’ Domestic Market Share, 2010
- Improving Infrastructure
- Cruise Sector
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
- Table: Oil Products Price Assumptions, 2010 (US$/bbl)
- Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2008-2015 (US$/bbl)
Market Overview – Hospitality
- Hotels
- Table: Hotels Data, 2006-2014 (‘000)
- Accommodation Developments
- Gaming
- Special Focus: 2010 Commonwealth Games
- Special Focus: Medical Tourism
- H1N1 And H5N1 Virus Updates
- Business Environment Outlook
- Table: Asia Travel & Tourism Business Environment Ratings
BMI’s Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- India’s Security Ratings
- India Tourism Report Q1 2
- City Terrorism Ratings
- Table: BMI’s Asia City Terrorism Index
- South Asia Security Overview
- Currency Forecast
Global Assumptions
- Table: Global Assumptions, 2009-2014
- Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth And Exchange Rates, 2009-2012
- Table: BMI And Consensus Forecasts, 2010-2011 (%)
- Table: Developed States Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2009-2012 (%)
- Table: Emerging Markets Aggregate Growth, 2009-2012 (%)
Company Profiles
- Jet Airways
- Taj Hotels
- National Aviation Company of India (Air India)
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Tourism Industry
- Tourism Ratings – Methodology
- Table: Tourism Business Environment Indicators
- Table: Weighting Of Components
- City Terrorism Ratings
- Table: City Terrorism Ratings Methodology
- Sources
- Jet Airways
- Taj
- National Aviation Company of India (Air India)
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