Indonesia Mining Report Q1 2011
Business Monitor International, January 2011, Pages: 62
Business Monitor International's Indonesia Mining Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, mining associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Indonesia's mining industry.
Indonesia is endowed with a wide range of key minerals. It is the world's second largest producer of tin and nickel and the fourth largest copper producer. The country also produces significant quantities of gold, bauxite, phosphates and iron sand, and has the potential for alluvial diamond production. The mining industry accounted for 10.8% of Indonesia's GDP in 2009, with minerals and related products contributing one-fifth of the country's total exports.
Indonesia's mining industry looks set to post strong average annual double-digit growth of 11.2% in real terms over the forecast period to reach US$149.8bn in 2015, as weak growth in tin and nickel output should be offset by robust growth in copper, coal and gold production. Going into 2011, we expect to see two pertinent themes: the continued influx of foreign investment and the depletion of onshore reserves.
Regulatory Environment Mining activity in Indonesia is regulated by the Ministry of Mines and Energy. Like other industries in Indonesia, the mining sector has been plagued by perennial allegations of corruption. In addition, the sector also suffers from a lack of infrastructure and rampant illegal mining. Furthermore, projects have been delayed due to inconsistent interpretations of regulations at local level. We believe that the government's continued efforts to improve the country's business environment will only benefit the sector in years to come.
Key Players Indonesia's mining sector is dominated by Bumi Resources, which owns Indonesia's largest and fourthlargest coal miners Kaltim Prima Coal (KPC) and Arutmin. State-owned PT Timah Tbk is the world's largest integrated tin mining company. It is the tin-rich Bangka region's biggest operator, followed by PT Koba Tin. Timah has a 25% share in Koba Tin while the remaining stake is held by the Malaysian Smelting Corporation. PT Freeport Indonesia and PT Newmont Nusa Tenggara are the only copper mining players in Indonesia, carrying out mining activities at the Grasberg and Batu Hijau copper mines. Freeport and Newmont are also engaged in the production of gold and silver.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Indonesia Political SWOT
- Indonesia Economic SWOT
- Indonesia Business Environment SWOT
Global Mining Outlook
- Monthly Roundup: Continued Exploration Due To Strong Earnings
- Table: Expansion Plans
- Table: Tax Developments
- Table: Mining Sector Developments
Industry Trends And Developments
- Strong Growth Ahead
- Table: Mining Industry,2007-2015
- Coal: Slight Fall In Output In 2010, Strong Growth Ahead
- Table: In The Pipeline: Major Indian Coal Investments In Indonesia
- Table: Indonesia Hard Coal, 2004-2014
- Tin: Downward Revision In 2010, But Modest Growth Ahead
- Table: Indonesia Tin, 2003-2014
- Nickel: Upward Revision To 2010 Production Forecast, Flat Growth Ahead
- Table: Indonesia Nickel, 2004-2014
- Copper: Output To Grow From 2012
- Table: Copper Mines
- Table: Planned Copper Projects
- Table: Growth In Copper Output, 2008-2015
- Short-Term Decline, Long-Term Expansion
- Table: Major Expansion Plans
- Table: Gold Production, 2008-2015
- Regulatory Development
Business Environment
- Asia Pacific Mining Business Environment Ratings
- Asia Pacific Mining Risk/Reward Ratings - Q111
- Economic Outlook
- Table: Indonesia - Economic Activity, 2006-2015
Political Outlook
- Domestic Politics
- Foreign Policy
- Long-Term Political Outlook
Competitive Landscape
- Table: Company Financial Data (US$M)
Company Monitor
- PT Timah (Persero) Tbk
- Key Company Data (Five-Year Summary)
- PT Antam
- Bumi Resources
- Newmont Mining
Global Assumptions
- Table: Global Assumptions
- Table: Global & Regional Real Gdp Growth % Chg Y-O-Y
- Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecast
- Table: Emerging Markets Aggregate Growth
- Table: Consensus Forecasts
Business Environment Ratings Methodology
- Table: Mining Business Environment Indicators
- Table: Weighting Of Components
- PT Antam
- Bumi Resources
- Newmont Mining
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