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Bangladesh Telecommunications Report Q1 2011

Business Monitor International, Nov 2010, Pages: 88


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The Bangladesh Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, telecommunication associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Bangladesh's telecommunications industry.

Based on the latest figures released by the Bangladesh Telecommunication Regulatory Commission and mobile operators, BMI has made some revisions to our forecasts. We revised our 2010 mobile subscriber forecast upwards to 71.464mn with a penetration rate of 43.46%. We have also extended our forecast period to 2015 and we expect 194.990mn subscribers by 2015, representing a mobile penetration rate of 110.59%, surpassing the 100% for the first time. Meanwhile, the industry’s average ARPU saw a slight upward revision due to Banglalink’s increasing postpaid subscriber base but we continue to foresee a downtrend due to intense competition and aggressive pricing tactics from operators to gain market share. Lastly, we have retained our forecasts for Bangladesh’s fixed-line and internet forecasts due to the lack of new information.

Plans to transform Bangladesh into a digital country by 2021 are gaining traction after the Bangladeshi government announced plans in September 2010 to implement seven projects at a cost of BDT64.34bn (US$923.75mn). The seven projects will focus on rolling out next-generation technologies such as broadband wireless and fibre optic cable networks in order to improve Bangladesh's inadequate broadband infrastructure. The key objective is to lower operating costs and provide affordable broadband services to the population through the unification and standardisation of the country's broadband networks.

Operators continued to increase the value-added services offerings to mitigate declining mobile revenues. Banglalink signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the Agriculture Information Service and UNDP-supported Access to Information Programme in September 2010 to educate and create awareness among farmers through the use of telecoms and information technology tools. Under the MoU aimed to enhance technological support to Bangladesh’s agricultural sector, Banglalink would deliver beneficial information to all the stakeholders. The operator also announced a partnership with mobile VAS developer Comviva in October 2010. Comviva will deliver mWallet services that will enable Banglalink to offer integrated financial payment services such as mobile transactions, international and domestic remittance, utility payments and mobile ticketing.

Bangladesh’s Telecoms Rating fell to 46.5 from 47.6 in the previous quarter due to a decrease in the country’s Industry Rewards score, which fell back to 50 from 52.5. There were no changes to the Bangladesh’s Country Rewards, Industry Risks and Country Risk scores. Nevertheless, the country fell to 15th place from 13th place.


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