1Q11 Indonesia Mobile Operator Forecast, 2010 - 2015: Indonesia to have over 300 million mobile subscriber connections in 2015

IE Market Research Corp, February 2011

Mobile Operator Forecast on Indonesia provides over 50 operational and financial metrics for Indonesia’s wireless market and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. We provide five-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2015. We also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 1Q2003 and ending in 4Q2012. Operators covered for Indonesia include: PT Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel), PT Indosat Tbk (PT Satelit Palapa Indonesia (Satelindo)), PT XL Axiata Tbk (PT Excelcomindo Pratama Tbk), PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (Telkom Flexi), PT. Bakrie Telecom Tbk, 3 Indonesia (PT Hutchison CP Telecommunications), PT Natrindo Telepon Seluler (Axis), PT Mobile-8 Telecom Tbk, Smart Telecom Indonesia, and PT Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia. Our Mobile Operator Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers 50+ metrics on 800+ mobile operators in 200+ countries. Our forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.

Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast
PT Telekomunikasi Selular (Telkomsel)
PT Indosat Tbk (PT Satelit Palapa Indonesia (Satelindo))
PT XL Axiata Tbk (PT Excelcomindo Pratama Tbk)
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (Telkom Flexi)
PT. Bakrie Telecom Tbk
3 Indonesia (PT Hutchison CP Telecommunications)
PT Natrindo Telepon Seluler (Axis)
PT Mobile-8 Telecom Tbk
Smart Telecom Indonesia
PT Sampoerna Telekomunikasi Indonesia

(For Bakrie Telecom, Smart Telecom and Sampoerna, only the subscriber data is available)

Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2001-CY 2015. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: March 2003 - December 2012

PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)
SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR
NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR --
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR --
POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) --
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR --
PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR --
POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR --
PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR --
POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR --
POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) --
PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR --
PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR --
MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR
MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)
DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR -
MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR -
DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) -
MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR -
VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) -
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR -
VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) -
MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH) -
MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %) -
SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE
SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR --
SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR --
SHARE OF GROSS ADDS BY OPERATOR --
SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE
YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) -
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY) --
SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY) -
EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR -
EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR -
EBITDA/INCREMENTAL SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR -
CAPEX/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR --
CAPEX/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR --
(EBITDA-CAPEX)/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR --
EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION/CONTRACTION BY OPERATOR -
REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD)
DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR (USD) -
VOICE REV/MINUTE BY OPERATOR (USD) -
SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (USD)
EBITDA BY OPERATOR (USD) -
CAPEX BY OPERATOR (USD) --

- Available only for Telkomsel, Satelindo (Indosat), and XL Axiata
-- Available only for Telkomsel and Satelindo (Indosat)

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