Qatar Telecommunications Report Q2 2011
Business Monitor International, March 2011, Pages: 76
The Qatar Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, telecommunication associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Qatar's telecommunications industry.
The Q211 update on the Qatar telecoms market incorporates data from fixed line incumbent operator Qatar Telecom (Qtel) and alternative operator Vodafone Qatar, a subsidiary of UK-based Vodafone Group Plc, for the 12 months to December 31 2010. Our latest five-year forecasts for the country’s mobile, fixed-line and internet sectors, which extend to 2015, is based on recent developments in Qatar's telecoms sector, as well as our view of the country's macroeconomic environment during the next five years.
Qatar's mobile market grew by 11.7% in 2010 (46.9% in 2009) to reach 2.763mn subscribers. This represented a market penetration of 183%. The report notes that overall subscriber growth in 2010 was tempered by successive quarterly subscriber losses in the second half of the year by market leader Qtel. The analyst attributes subscriber losses by Qtel to the disconnection of inactive lines and fewer subscriber uptakes on the back of increased competition in the market. Second operator Vodafone produced another strong performance in the fourth quarter of 2010 to take its customer base above the 700,000 subscriber mark two years earlier than it previously anticipated.
Qtel reported a 9.5% y-o-y decline in mobile revenues for the 12 months to December 2010 due to intense price competition in the mobile sector. Mobile tariffs have been declining since early 2009 following the entry of Vodafone into the mobile market. Vodafone adopted a value-led strategy to build its subscriber base, while Qtel responded with a similar strategy to defend its market share. Meanwhile, in May 2010 Qtel and UK-based Virgin Mobile signed a brand licensing to offer prepaid mobile services under the brand Qatar Virgin Mobile Service (QVMS). The service targeted young consumers with low prepaid tariffs, further adding pressure mobile ARPUs.
It is, therefore, not surprising that Qtel's ARPU, which believe is the highest in the market by virtue of market position, fell by 41% in the two years to December 2010 from QAR192.3 to QAR112.6. We believe declining ARPU levels and, consequently, mobile revenues, support our view that Qatari operators need to focus on higher value services, such as data, and improve their subscriber mixes to offset revenue losses from the voice segment. This does not appear to be case yet as both Vodafone and Qtel reported a contraction to their postpaid subscriber bases in Q410.
In December 2010, Vodafone contracted Alcatel-Lucent to deploy an FTTH network based on gigabit passive optical network (PON) and point-to-point gigabit Ethernet technology. In January 2011, QTel successfully completed the first phase of a trial fibre-to-the-home (FTTH) project in Doha, serving approximately 1,000 customers with high-speed internet access, high-definition TV and voice telephony services. We expect these developments to boost competition and drive growth in the fixed sector. By 2015, we expect Qatar's fixed voice and broadband penetration to be just under 23%.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Qatar Mobile SWOT
Qatar Wireline SWOT
Qatar Political SWOT
Qatar Economic SWOT
Qatar Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Middle East And North Africa
Table: Regional Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Qatar
Industry Forecast Scenario
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2008-2025
Fixed Line
Table: Telecoms Sector – Fixed Line – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2008-2015
Internet
Table: Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts, 2008-2015
Market Data Analysis
Mobile
Table: Qatar Mobile Market, Q410
Table: Qtel And Vodafone Prepaid Vs Postpaid Customers, Q309-Q410
ARPU
Virgin Mobile
Mobile Data
Mobile Contract Wins
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
Mobile Content
Regional Outlook
Country Outlook
Value-Added Services Timeline
Table: Selected VAS Services
Mobile Operator Data
Table: Qatar Mobile Market Overview
Table: Vodafone Qatar
Table: Q-Tel
Fixed Line
Wireline Revenues
Table: Qtel Fixed Line Revenues, Q409 – Q410 (QARmn)
VoIP
Internet
WiMAX
FTTx
Wireline Contract Wins
Table: Wireline Contract Wins
Regulatory Environment
Table: Qatar Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Legislation And Market Liberalisation
Regulation
Licensing And Spectrum
Industry Developments
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Table: Key Players – Qatar Telecoms Markets
Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators
Company Monitor
Middle East & Africa Vendor Profile: Alcatel-Lucent: Slowly Raising Profile In Africa & Middle East
Table: : Alcatel-Lucent Q310 Results (EURmn)
Table: Alcatel-Lucent - Key Contracts, 2009-2010
Company Profiles
Qatar Telecom (Qtel)
Vodafone Qatar
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
Mobile
Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
Broadband
Table: Regional Broadband Penetration Overview
Country Snapshot: Qatar Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2004
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2001-2005
Glossary Of Terms
Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Ratings Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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