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Italian RMBS Index Report Q3 2009?Performance Metrics Begin To Diverge While Cash Reserve Draws Increase Nov 09
Standard & Poors, Nov 2009
Abstract Standard & Poor's Ratings Services' Q3 performance metrics for Italian residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) show the emergence of a dichotomy between a reduction of shorter term arrears, and longer term arrears and defaults remaining steady. In our opinion, improved affordability conditions (due the low interest rate environment), and adverse wage and unemployment dynamics, explain this performance split. Some transactions backed by riskier portfolios (as measured by leverage, underwriting standards, mortgage loan products, etc.) continue to underperform the rest of the Italian RMBS market. Overall, the current macroeconomic environment continues to be consistent with structurally lower short-term arrears and higher default levels, in our view. We believe that the challenging economic conditions pose more problems for riskier portfolios. This could lead...
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