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Renewable Energy - Ground and Air Source Heat Pumps Market - UK 2010-2020

AMA Research, July 2010, Pages: 74


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In the UK, the market for Heat Pumps is currently underdeveloped, but the government’s target of 15% of energy to be derived from renewables by 2020 assumes significant growth of ground and air source heat pumps in order to meet this commitment.

This report contains:

- MARKET OVERVIEW – market size, review of key market influences and analysis of current developments.
- PRODUCT REVIEW –types of product, mix of GSHP/ASHP, residential/non-residential
- REVIEW OF THE SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE
- FORECASTS FOR MARKET DEVELOPMENTS UP TO 2020 – volumes/product and sector mix

Heat pumps are used to heat buildings and water in the commercial, industrial and residential sectors in the UK. In many European countries, heat pumps have been an accepted system and technology for over 20 years but volume production is still relatively low. Most leading players are parts of major groups involved in the heating industry, with international operations. In the medium term, capacity will need to increase - not only in terms of production, but also in terms of installation capability.

Ares of particular interest include:

- UK market development compared with activity in key European markets.
- Government incentives to stimulate developments in the renewable energy sector.
- Review of different types of pumps and their applications.
- New build versus retro-fit – comparison of issues involved.
- Market forecasts up to 2020 – volumes, barriers to growth.

Key areas of coverage in the report include:-

KEY MARKET INFLUENCES
- Housing market structure, UK dwelling stock, housing stock mix by age (2007/2050).
- Growth in proportion of owner-occupied housing.
- Government Incentives - Low Carbon Buildings Programme (LCBP). Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI) scheme, Feed-In-Tariffs (FIT’s), The Code for Sustainable Homes.
- Provision of financial support – impact of change in government.

CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUES
- Strategies to combat climate change: the EU Renewable Energy Directive, the UK Renewable Energy Strategy, Code for Sustainable Homes, Warmer Homes Standard.
- Establishment of Renewable Energy Deployment programme.
- Overview of Renewable Energy market in UK – alternative options.

HEAT PUMP MARKET
- UK Heat pumps market overview – product definitions, market values 2007-10, mix by material and installation cost.
- Types of heat pump – ground to water, ground to air, air to water etc. key elements in the system, how systems operate, efficiency meausures (CoP values) etc.
- European market overview – market size by volume, trends, share by major country, established markets provide measure for current UK developments. European and UK growth rates.
- UK market overview – background to recent growth in demand – market size by unit sales and value, drivers of growth.
- Product mix – comparison of ground source and air source heat pumps. Share mix by value 2009.
- Analyis by sector – residential, industrial, commercial – share by sector 2010 and 2020, trends, mix of GSHP and ASHP in each sector.
- Barriers to growth – electricity supply requirements, payback periods, installation, new build/replacement, performance, consumer awareness, space availability etc.
- Forecasts up to 2020 – alternative views, volumes from 2007-20, mix by GSHP/ASHP, key influencing factors. Forecasts of growth rates in residential, commercial and industrial sectors up to 2020.

SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE
- Key players – designers, suppliers, manufactures, installers.
- UK distribution structure – key routes to market.




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