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Outlooks: The Sovereign Credit Weathervane, 2010/2011 Update May 11 Product Image

Outlooks: The Sovereign Credit Weathervane, 2010/2011 Update May 11

  • ID: 1786024
  • May 2011
  • Standard & Poors

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Abstract
Standard & Poor's Ratings Services has found that its outlooks and CreditWatch listings on sovereign ratings have been useful indicators of future rating actions. Since we began assigning outlooks to our ratings in 1989, we have never lowered a sovereign rating with a positive outlook. On the other hand, we have raised 148 out of 209 sovereign ratings with positive outlooks. (The ratings we refer to throughout this article are long-term foreign-currency sovereign credit ratings.) Similarly, we have raised only one sovereign rating with a negative outlook, and we have lowered 131 out of 232 sovereign ratings with negative outlooks. Of the ratings on CreditWatch with negative implications, we have lowered 59 out of 83. We found that historically, we...

Standard and Poors RatingsXpress Credit Research provides in-depth coverage of international corporates, financial institutions, insurance companies, utilities, sovereigns and structured finance programs. RatingsXpress Credit Research lets users determine the credit rating of holdings and identify key factors underlying an issuer's creditworthiness, distinguishes the different risk exposures for new and existing deals, and provides an understanding of how their analysts interpret key regulatory, political and environmental events and their economic impact.

Research Type: Commentary
Criteria articles describe the thought process and methodology Standard & Poor's analysts use in determining ratings. These commentary pieces discuss both the quantitative (economic and financial) and qualitative (business analysis and caliber of management) aspects of the analysis, as well as legal issues.

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