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Refinery Hydrogen Review: Outlook for Growth to 2030

Hart Energy Publishing, Aug 2011


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This outlook provides forecasts of global incremental refinery hydrogen requirements through 2030. Hydrogen demand is forecast by geographic regions (North America, Latin America, Europe, Russia/CIS, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa) over 5-year increments from 2010 through 2030. The incremental hydrogen demand is also characterized in terms of source of demand: hydrocracking, distillate hydrotreating and other hydroprocessing. The forecast also quantifies anticipated change in supply from gasoline reforming versus on-purpose refinery / merchant production.

Highlights of the report:

- The refining industry will require more than 14 trillion SCF of on-purpose hydrogen to meet processing requirements between 2010 and 2030.

- Asia Pacific and the Middle East will represent nearly 40% of global requirements.

- Despite completion of most ultra low sulfur on-road transportation fuel requirements, North America and Europe will represent the largest portion of incremental hydrogen demand during the first half of this decade.

- Nearly 2/3 of incremental refinery hydrogen demand will be for expanding hydrocracking operations.



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