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Balloon of Revenue Projections Popped, U.S. State Budgets Fall to Earth Jul 02

Standard & Poors, July 2002


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Abstract
While the recent recession has hit a lot of Americans in their wallets, it has also hit U.S. states in their balance sheets, due to a reduction of individual income tax receipts. Forty states reported individual income taxes for the four months to April 2002, below forecasted levels. Although there have been signs of an economic recovery, it is considered shaky. Even a solid recovery will not help in the near term, as there is a lag of 12 to 18 months between economic performance and its effect on state budgets. Most estimates put the states in a combined funding deficit of $40 billion-$50 billion. Aggravating this state of affairs is a simultaneous increase in tax refund amounts. The states...

Standard and Poors RatingsXpress Credit Research provides in-depth coverage of international corporates, financial institutions, insurance companies, utilities, sovereigns and structured finance programs. RatingsXpress Credit Research lets users determine the credit rating of holdings and identify key factors underlying an issuer's creditworthiness, distinguishes the different risk exposures for new and existing deals, and provides an understanding of how their analysts interpret key regulatory, political and environmental events and their economic impact.

Research Type: Commentary
Criteria articles describe the thought process and methodology Standard & Poor's analysts use in determining ratings. These commentary pieces discuss both the quantitative (economic and financial) and qualitative (business analysis and caliber of management) aspects of the analysis, as well as legal issues.




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