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Strategic Analysis of the Brazilian Electricity Industry
Frost & Sullivan, May 2011, Pages: 79
This study covers the state of the Brazilian electricity industry, examining market history in Brazil and evolution though years, regulation and policy framework and timeline, region economic outlook, industry metrics, challenges, drivers and restraints for growth, pricing and geographical trends. Following from these, market growth for regional and market end-user segments are forecasted, including investment program, renewable target and analysis of IPP (Independence Power Producers) and the status co-generation power plants. The base year is 2009 with forecast running through 2019.
In November 2009, Brazil suffered a huge electricity blackout that significantly affected the four main states of the Southeast region, causing disruption. Weather conditions and technical problems caused the initial problem.
In Brazil, hydroelectric power is the main source of electricity. This is expected to continue during the next decade. Due to Brazilian geography and abundance of water basins, hydroelectric power ensures low electricity prices and zero emissions. Environmental issues are related to the area of construction of the power plant and the surrounding communities impact. The Brazilian Government has implemented several programs to stimulate the building of new power plants, especially renewable ones. The Growth Acceleration Program (PAC) and the Incentive Program for Renewable Electric Energy (PROINFA) are examples of programs which focus on the electricity industry.
The Brazilian economy is expected to grow until 2019. Electricity consumption must grow coupled with GDP, in order to guarantee adequate electricity supply to industrial, commercial and residential sectors. The average income is expected to increase and accelerate electricity consumption.
Market Overview and Research Findings
Electricity generation and electricity distribution are low regulated and highly competitive markets in Brazil. Electricity transmission is a highly regulated market, with a concentration of less than ten market participants.
The second larger energy source in Brazil is thermal, fuelled by natural gas and biomass feedstock.
Industrial end-users are the biggest consumers of electricity, although they are less than in number of grid connections. Southeast region, the most developed and populated area.
Electricity installed capacity is expected to grow parallel to the Brazilian GDP between 2010 and 2019.
Hydroelectric power is still expected to be the main source of electricity in Brazil. Further investments to increase the participation of renewable sources in the electricity matrix such as wind power (Northwest region) and biomass (Centre West region) are to be made.
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