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North American Next Generation Wireless Networks Market
Frost & Sullivan, May 2011, Pages: 47
This research covers the 2010 North American next generation mobile network technology market. Analysis is provided for the competitive ecosystem, LTE and Mobile WiMax growth, other 2G and 3G technologies, and forecasts for POPs by technology and carrier. Market share analysis will also be provided based on total POP coverage by carrier. Forecasts in this research will span from 2010 until 2015 (with 2010 serving as the base year). Additional information is included regarding company bio/strategy information, and technology deployment roadmap by carrier.
This research service titled North American Next Generation Wireless Networks Market analyzes long-term evolution (LTE), mobile Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access (WiMAX) growth, the competitive ecosystem, in the market, and it provides forecasts for points of presence (POPs) by technology and carrier. The study also includes information regarding company bio/strategy information and technology deployment roadmap by carrier. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the following technologies: 4G, 3G, and 2G.
North American Next Generation Wireless Networks Market Evolving at a Fast Pace as Competition Intensifies among Tier-one Carriers
Deploying 4G Technology Will be Important for All Tier-1 Carriers
North American mobile carriers are concerned about their bandwidth capabilities and network coverage due to intense competition in the mobile network market. At present, none of the next-generation network technologies are officially classified as 4G. Tier-one carriers are all labeling their current versions of LTE and mobile WiMAX as 4G technology, regardless of their capabilities. “Following the launch of 4G, data usage applications are expected to see significant uptake,” observes the analyst. “This increased bandwidth will attract new business opportunities for the use of devices that consume significantly more data than the average smart phone.”
Due to similar bandwidth performance between the current 4G and 3G technologies, end users are not likely to notice a significant advantage in using 4G. With the strong coverage of 3G technology and advancing speed capabilities through the deployment of new network technologies, most mobile handsets on tier-one networks are likely to remain 3G devices. 3G and 4G technologies are projected to exceed 300,000,000 POPs. By 2012, 3G technology’s adoption numbers are likely to outstrip the 2010 U.S. population figures, and 4G technology is expected to exceed these numbers by 2015. This is possible, because the U.S. population is also forecast to grow significantly, possibly by 13 percent or higher.
Despite the lack of perceivable benefits, facilitating 4G technology, with its supposedly higher speeds, will be important for all tier-one carriers to help market their networks to end users. This is particularly important, as smartphones continue to gain market share over feature phones, making bandwidth a key concern for users. With the launch of new systems-on-a-chip (SOC) and high-definition (HD) displays, smart phones are likely to get better and, thereby, more popular, adding significantly more traffic over mobile networks. “Each tier-1 carrier has a complex roadmap of technologies to seamlessly increase their network performance and coverage,” says the analyst. “This has created a highly competitive and dynamic landscape for mobile operators.”
Technologies
The following technologies are covered in this research:
- 4G
- 3G
- 2G
Market Segments:
Tier 1 Mobile Network operators
All data presented in this study is representative of tier 1 mobile network operators for the United States only. These companies include: Verizon Wireless, AT&T, Sprint, and T-Mobile.
4G Technology
Much controversy currently exists with network operators labeling current LTE, Mobile WiMAX, and even some HSPA+ technologies as 4G. However, for this study, Frost & Sullivan will only be applying this term to LTE and Mobile WiMAX, in any form (not including HSPA+, as it has previously been labeled as a 3G technology by carriers). Additionally, although current LTE and Mobile WiMAX technologies may not fit the 4G definition perfectly, they will be classified as 4G to allow them to be differentiated from 3G for comparative purposes.
3G Technology
3G technologies are still extremely popular with most carriers, and more than adequate for most applications. For the purpose of this research, the 3G category will be applied to all EVDO and HSPA technologies. Thus, even if a EVDO or HSPA deployment is able to match LTE and Mobile WiMAX in performance, they will still be categorized as 3G to differentiate the technologies.
2G Technology
2G technologies are most common for voice applications as well as M2M and are thus widely in use. For the purpose of this research, these technologies include: CDMA, Edge, and iDEN. Additionally, these technologies may also be used for data, although they are generally not considered ideal for this purpose on modern smartphones.
4G Technology
- Currently, none of the “next-generation” network technologies are officially classified as 4G.
- However, Verizon Wireless, AT&T, and Sprint are all labeling their current versions of LTE and Mobile WiMAX as 4G technologies.
- T-Mobile has currently re-branded its HSPA+ network technology as 4G as well (despite previously being labeled as 3G). This will likely change if their acquisition by AT&T is approved.
- Thus, all tier 1 mobile operators will have a technology that is labeled as 4G regardless of their capabilities.
- HSPA+ and EVDO Rev A networks are capable of matching LTE and Mobile WiMAX in terms of bandwidth for the near future (although LTE and Mobile WiMAX have significantly more potential).
Strategy
- Verizon Wireless and AT&T are in the process of deploying advanced LTE networks. LTE will likely be the most popular 4G network technology in the United States.
- AT&T is currently reserving its 4G network for nonmobile handset devices, due to its strong HSPA+ network.
- Sprint is currently the only tier 1 mobile network provider to adopt Mobile WiMAX technology (through Clearwire). Sprint's partnership with Clearwire has also allowed the company to be the first carrier to offer 4G to consumers.
- Sprint also owns the majority share of Clearwire. - T-Mobile has not released any public plans to deploy a
4G network and is instead re-branding its 3G network. However, if they are acquired by AT&T, some of their HSPA+ spectrum may be used for LTE.
1. Market Overview and Forecast
2. Technology Analysis by Carrier
3. Points of Presence Forecast
4. 4G, 3G, and 2G Technology Breakdown By Mobile Operator
5. Company Profiles
6. Key Conclusions
7. Glossary
List of Charts:
4G Network Market: Market Engineering and Measurements (The United States), 2010
Next Generation Networks Market: POP Count by Technology (North America), 2010-2015)
Next Generation Networks Market: POP Count by Technology (North America), 2010
Next Generation Networks Market: Verizon Wireless POP Count by Technology (North America), 2010-2015
Next Generation Networks Market: AT&T POP Count by Technology (North America), 2010-2015
Next Generation Networks Market: AT&T POP Count by Technology, with Approved T-Mobile Acquisition (North America), 2010-2015
Next Generation Networks Market: Sprint (and Clearwire) POP Count by Technology (North America), 2010-2015
Next Generation Networks Market: T-Mobile POP Count by Technology (North America), 2010-2015
Next Generation Networks Market: T-Mobile POP Count by Technology, with Approved T-Mobile Acquisition (North America), 2010-2015
Next Generation Networks Market: POP Count for 4G Technology by Mobile Operator (North America), 2010-2015
Next Generation Networks Market: POP Count for 3G Technology by Mobile Operator (North America), 2010-2015
Next Generation Networks Market: POP Count for 2G Technology by Mobile Operator (North America), 2010-2015
Next Generation Networks Market: Verizon Wireless Technology Breakdown (North America), 2010
Next Generation Networks Market: AT&T Technology Breakdown (North America), 2010
Next Generation Networks Market: Sprint Technology Breakdown (North America), 2010
Next Generation Networks Market: T-Mobile Technology Breakdown (North America), 2010
Next Generation Networks Market: 4G POP Coverage Comparison (North America), 2010
Next Generation Networks Market: 3G POP Coverage Comparison (North America), 2010
- Verizon Wireless
- AT&T
- Sprint
- Clearwire
- T-Mobile
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