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Bangladesh Telecommunications Report Q3 2011

Business Monitor International, May 2011, Pages: 85


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The Bangladesh Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, telecommunication associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Bangladesh's telecommunications industry.

Scope:

BMI's update of the Bangladesh Telecommunications Report includes the latest data as provided by market leader Grameenphone and Axiata's Robi for the end of 2010. Orascom Telecom-owned Banglalink has not yet published figures the same period, resulting in this report estimating figures for the operator along with the few smaller companies in the sector.

Although the Bangladesh Telecommunications Regulatory Commission (BTRC) published YE10 and Q111 figures (despite none of the operators publishing their Q111 data), these figures remain at odds with those provided by operators and the report refrained from using the BTRC's data to base its forecasts.

As a result, the estimate for the end of 2010 for the mobile sector indicates there were a total of 72.992mn, revealing a penetration rate of 44% and offering plenty of room for growth. With 75% of Bangladesh's population residing in rural areas and with more than 30% of the population young, this offers substantial room for additional growth in the sector. This report forecasts that at the end of 2011, penetration rates could reach 56% following further strong double digit growth before ending 2015 on almost 118%.

Trends:

Meanwhile, there continues to be no signs of 3G development in the sector although operators continue to invest in developing value-added services. The latest are mobile banking services provided by Banglalink and Citycell for up to nine banks in Bangladesh. Meanwhile, Grameenphone, launched its web browsing service Opera Mini in April 2011, offering mobile internet services.

Despite the apparent room for growth, competition among the industry's six operators remains tough. This has been clearly demonstrated by the upcoming renewal of licences expected this November 2011, and could lead to higher fees being paid. The result would see many operators increasing their price plans to end users which could place them at a disadvantage to operators such as Airtel, which does not have to renew its licence until 2020, and thereby continue to offer competitively priced tariffs.

The country rose once again in this quarter's BMI Asia Pacific Business Environment Ratings table to 11th place from 13th, as a result of a fall in the scores of the Philippines and Pakistan. Bangladesh, although retaining an Industry Rewards score comparable to Singapore, notes it requires greater investment in its telecoms industry if required to attract greater foreign direct investment. It continues to push for the digitalisation of its ICT services although this will be insufficient if prices do not also decrease at the same time.


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