China Commercial Banking Report Q3 2011
Business Monitor International, May 2011, Pages: 59
The China Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on China's commercial banking industry.
Since Q108, the report describes numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed. The publisher did this through our Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures we capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of our insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the Limits of Potential Returns includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the Limits of Potential Returns, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the Risks to Realisation of Returns also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI's assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that takes into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.
Further details on how the publisher calculated the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the Limits of Potential Returns are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the Limits of Potential Returns, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country.
Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the Risks to Realisation of Returns category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it and the Moody's ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI's long-term risk rating.
Executive Summary
- Table: Levels (CNYbn)
- Table: Levels (US$bn)
- Table: Levels At November 2010
- Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections, 2011-2015 (%)
- Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011
- Table: Projected Levels (CNYbn)
- Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)
SWOT Analysis
- China Commercial Banking SWOT
- China Political SWOT
- China Economic SWOT
- China Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment Outlook
- Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
- Table: China's Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating
- Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
- Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Global Commercial Banking Outlook
- Asia Banking Sector Outlook
- Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios
- Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios
- Table: Anticipated Developments In 2011
- Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits, 2009-2010 (US$bn)
- Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits, 2010e (US$)
- Table: Interbank Rates And Bond Yields, 2010-2011
China Banking Sector Outlook
- Economic Outlook
- Table: China Economic Activity, 2008-2015
Competitive Landscape
- Market Structure
- Protagonists
- Table: Protagonists In China's Commercial Banking Sector
- Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe
- List Of Banks
- Table: Policy Banks And The 'Big Four' State-Owned Commercial Banks
- Table: Joint-Stock Commercial Banks, City Commercial Banks And Rural Commercial Banks
- Table: Locally Registered Foreign Banks
Company Profiles
- China Development Bank
- Table: Key Statistics For China Development Bank, 2006-2008 (CNYbn)
- Export-Import Bank of China
- Table: Key Statistics For Export-Import Bank of China, 2006-2008 (CNYmn)
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
- Table: Key Statistics For ICBC, 2006-2008 (CNYmn)
- Agricultural Bank of China
- Table: Stock Market Indicators
- Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn, unless stated)
- Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
- Table: Key Ratios (%)
- Bank of China
- Table: Stock Market Indicators
- Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn, unless stated)
- Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
- Table: Key Ratios (%)
- China Construction Bank
- Table: Stock Market Indicators
- Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn, unless stated)
- Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated)
- Table: Key Ratios (%)
- Agricultural Development Bank of China
- Table: Stock Market Indicators
- Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn)
- Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn)
- Table: Key Ratios (%)
BMI Banking Sector Methodology
- Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating
- Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
- Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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