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Kazakhstan Power Report Q2 2011

Business Monitor International, April 2011, Pages: 43

The Kazakhstan Power Report, researched at source, features Business Monitor International (BMI)’s market assessment and independent 5 and 10-year forecasts covering electricity generation by fuel – gas, coal, oil, nuclear, hydro and renewables – plus consumption, trade, generation costs and transmission.

The Kazakhstan Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing multinational and national operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits:

- Use BMI’s independent 5 and 10-year industry forecast on Kazakhstan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Kazakhstan's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Kazakhstan.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage:

Executive Summary
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Market Overview
Structure, size and value of industry sector; overview of industry landscape and key players; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments.

Business Environment Rankings
BMI’s Power Business Environment Ratings provide a country-comparative risk-reward index aimed at investors - power companies, services companies and equity investors - in the regional power market.
The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data points, and is part of BMI’s integrated Country Risk-Industry Ratings products.

BMI 5 and 10-Year Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2006-2010) and 5 and 10-year forecasts for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Electricity: Electricity generation (Twh), electricity consumption (Twh), electricity imports/exports (Twh), electricity consumption per capita (MW), electricity cost per capita (US$), primary energy consumption per capita (toe), thermal power generation (Twh)

Gas: Gas consumption (bcm), gas use in power generation (bcm), % total gas consumption, % electricity generation, % primary energy consumption, imports/exports (bcm, US$mn), gas-fired generation (Twh), gas use in power generation (US$mn), gas power cost (US$mn)

Coal: Coal consumption (mn toe), % electricity generation, % primary energy consumption (%), imports/exports (mn tonnes, US$mn), coal-fired generation (Twh), coal power cost (US$mn)

Oil: Oil consumption (‘000 b/d), oil use in power generation (mn bbl), % total oil consumption, % electricity generation, % primary energy consumption, imports/exports (‘000 b/d, US$mn), oil-fired generation (Twh), oil use in power generation (US$mn), oil power cost (US$mn)

Nuclear: Nuclear consumption (Twh), nuclear-fired generation (Twh), % electricity generation, % primary energy consumption, nuclear power cost (US$mn)

Hydro: Hydro consumption (Twh), hydro power generation (Twh), % electricity generation, % primary energy consumption, hydro power cost (US$mn)

Renewables: Renewables energy consumption (Twh), renewables energy generation (Twh), % total renewables consumption), % electricity generation, %primary energy consumption, renewables power cost (US$mn)

Power costs: Cost of power generation (US$mn), cost per Twh (US$), cost of power imports/exports (US$mn), overall power cost (US$mn), residential power cost per Kwh (US$)

Economic: Nominal GDP (US$bn), real GDP growth (%), GDP per capita (US$), population (mn), unemployment (%), exchange rate (against US$)

Competitive Landscape
Comparative company analysis by generation capacity, % market share, ownership structure and strategic aims.

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Kazakhstan Political SWOT
Kazakhstan Economic SWOT

Industry Overview
Global
Table: Global Summary, 2008-2015
Central And Eastern Europe
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2008-2015 (TWh)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2008-2015 (mn toe)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Gas Consumption, 2008-2015 (bcm)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Coal Consumption, 2008-2015 (mn toe)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Nuclear Energy Consumption, 2008-2015 (TWh)

Kazakhstan Market Overview
Primary Energy Demand
Power Generation
Power Consumption
Regulation And Competition
Pricing
Power Transmission
Business Environment
Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Power Business Environment Ratings

Kazakhstan’s Power Rating
Kazakhstan’s Business Environment
Economic Outlook
Business Environment
Industry Forecast Scenario

Kazakhstan Power Outlook
Generation
Gas-Fired
Oil-Fired
Coal-Fired
Nuclear Energy
Hydro-Electric
Renewable Energy
Power Costs
Transmission
Table: Kazakhstan’s Power Sector, 2008-2015
Table: Kazakhstan’s Thermal Power Sector, 2008-2015
Table: Kazakhstan’s Non-Thermal Power Sector, 2008-2015
Table: Kazakhstan’s Power Costs, 2008-2015 (US$mn Unless Otherwise Stated)

Assumptions And Methodology
Key Risks To BMI’s Forecast Scenario
Long-Term Power Outlook
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Kazakhstan – Economic Activity
Power Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts
Global Snapshot
Table: Global Summary, 2013-2020
Regional Outlook
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Electricity Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Primary Energy Demand, 2013-2020 (mn toe)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Thermal Power Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Hydro-Electric Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
Table: Central And Eastern Europe And Central Asia Nuclear Generation, 2013-2020 (TWh)
Kazakhstan Country Overview
Methodology And Risks To Forecasts

Competitive Landscape
KEGOC
AES

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Power Industry
Cross Checks
Sources

- KEGOC
- AES

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