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Ukraine Telecom Intelligence Report - Sale of Mobile Operator and Spread of Multiplay Drive a Booming Market
Pyramid Research, Inc, June 2011
IPTV in the Ukraine is expected to provide an eye-catching CAGR of 42% between 2011-2016, reaching 104,000 subscribers, or 2% of all pay-TV subscribers, according to a new report.
Ukraine: Sale of Mobile Operator and Spread of Multiplay Drive a Booming Market offers a precise profile of the country's telecommunications, media and technology sectors based on proprietary data from Pyramid's research in the market. It provides detailed competitive analysis of both the fixed and mobile sectors, tracks the market shares of technologies and monitors the introduction and spread of new technologies.
Pyramid Research's projections are driven by the assumption that NKRZ will finally grant the long-awaited IPTV licenses in the latter part of 2011.
'This will enable a number of fixed operators to enter the multiplay zone and offer true multiplay services,' says Pyramid Research Analyst Sylwia Boguszewska. 'Pyramid expects increased M&A activity in the cable segment, with this technology dominating the pay-TV market throughout the forecast period,' she adds.
We expect the Ukrainian telecom market to generate UAH39.2bn (US$5.0bn) in service revenue in 2011, a 4.8% increase over 2010 value. The market will grow at a CAGR of 3.7% in local currency terms over the 2011-2016 period, reaching UAH47.0bn ($6.3bn), and generating a cumulative revenue of UAH258bn ($34.0bn) at the same time. The main drivers of this growth will be fixed broadband (13.1% CAGR), mobile data (12.7% CAGR) and pay-TV (8.2% CAGR).
Fixed broadband growth will be propelled by Ukrtelecom’s infrastructure modernization commitments, together with the planned disposal of its mobile arm, which will result in a greater focus on fixed services provision. We foresee the growing importance of alternative operators in the market, such as Kyivstar, who continues to implement an aggressive fiber rollout plan, bringing affordable services to a greater number of households in Ukraine.
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