Bulgaria Retail Report Q4 2011

  • ID: 1882243
  • September 2011
  • Region: Bulgaria
  • 64 Pages
  • Business Monitor International
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Business Monitor International's Bulgaria Retail Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, retail associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Bulgaria's retail industry.

The Q411 BMI Bulgaria Retail report forecasts that the country’s total retail sales will grow from an estimated BGN14.75bn (US$10.32bn) in 2011 to BGN18.58bn (US$12.99bn) by 2015. Key factors behind retail market expansion include rising disposable incomes, and Bulgarians seeking the choice and low prices offered by foreign and domestic chains. EU membership gained at the start of 2007 and a substantial amount of foreign direct investment (FDI) have allowed retailers to make significant inroads into the market, contributing to forecast average annual retail sales growth of 5.8% in local currency terms between 2011 and 2015.

Bulgaria’s nominal GDP in 2011 is forecast to be US$49.5bn, with growth of 2.7% expected for the year. Average annual GDP growth of 3.3% is forecast by BMI between 2011 and 2015. Although the population is predicted to decrease slightly, from 7.5mn in 2011 to 7.3mn READ MORE >

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Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Bulgaria Retail Business Environment SWOT
Bulgaria Political SWOT
Bulgaria Economic SWOT

Business Environment Outlook
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Business Environment Ratings
Bulgaria’s Retail Rating
Limits To Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Returns

Market Overview
Current Trends
Key Players

Industry Forecast Scenario
Consumer Outlook
Retail Growth Outlook
Table: Bulgaria Retail Indicators, 2008-2015
Table: Retail Sales By Sector, 2011f
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Bulgaria Economic Activity, 2007-2011

Regional Retail Outlook
Table: Regional Retail Trends, 2008-2015
Table: Regional Retail Sales By % Share, 2008-2015
Regional Retail Trends

Mass Grocery Retail
Bulgaria Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Market Overview
Table: Structure of the Mass Retail Grocery Market By Number of Outlets, 2003-2010
Table: Structure Of The Mass Retail Grocery Market By Value, 2003-2010
Table: Value of Sales per Outlet, 2010
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: MGR Sales Indicators, 2007-2015
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format, 2010 And 2010 (%)
Industry Developments

Consumer Electronics
Bulgaria Consumer Electronics Market SWOT
Market Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Consumer Electronics Sales Overview (US$mn)
Industry Developments

Bulgaria Auto Industry SWOT
Market Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Auto Production And Sales (CBUs)
Industry Developments

Country Snapshot: Bulgaria Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
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Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown


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