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Viewing report
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Anticipating African Conflicts. Edition No. 1
VDM Publishing House, May 2009, Pages: 116
The African Union (AU) is currently developing a
Continental Early Warning System (CEWS) in Africa.
The aim is to detect social situations that may
evolve into conflict. Clearly, this is an ambitious
undertaking as there are so many kinds of conflicts
on the continent, triggered by so many different
causes.
In this study the capability of the AU to create an
early warning system that looks into the causes of
all kinds of conflicts in the Horn of Africa is
discussed. The AU hopes to use sub-regional
mechanisms in Africa as the main suppliers of
information to CEWS, and the co-operation with the
Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) in
the Horn is also looked into.
Hopefully, this study will contribute to a better
understanding of what kinds of conflicts such a
system needs to monitor. There are many challenges
facing the AU, as lack of political will seem to
impede the progress of CEWS. Still, if the
organisation eventually succeeds in developing a
mechanism that anticipates conflicts, it would be a
giant leap forward for a continent where conflicts
have had so devastating consequences.
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