China Tourism Report Q4 2011

  • ID: 1921199
  • September 2011
  • Region: China
  • 65 Pages
  • Business Monitor International
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China Tourism Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, tourism associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on China's tourism industry.

Slower Than Expected H111 Total arrivals to China grew by a slower than expected amount in H111, reaching 66.3mn according to figures released by the China National Tourism Administration (CNTA). This represented growth of 1.15% year-on-year (y-o-y), below the 6.3% growth level seen in full-year 2010. In part, this reflects the traditional cycle of the tourism sector, with arrivals picking up towards the end of the year. However, it is certainly a concern that international arrivals have slowed, which may reflect slowing growth prospects for North American and EU economies.

By contrast, domestic tourism is continuing to perform strongly, with CNTA finding that domestic tourist arrivals rose by 12% in the first half of the year, to 1.4bn. While this does not entirely compensate for the slowdown in foreign arrivals, it provides the sector with some welcome insulation from global market fluctuations. We still expect growth to surpass READ MORE >

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Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
China Tourism SWOT
China Political SWOT
China Economic SWOT
China Business Environment SWOT

Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Arrivals Data, 2008-2015
Table: Accommodation Data, 2008-2015 (‘000, unless stated)
Table: Tourist Expenditure & Economic Impact, 2008-2015
Inbound Tourism
Table: Tourists Arrivals, 2008-2015
Outbound Tourism
Table: Outbound Tourism Data, 2008-2015

Market Overview – Travel
State-Owned Airlines
Private Airlines
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, 2011 (US$/bbl)
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2011-2015 (US$/bbl)

Market Overview – Hospitality
Special Focus: Budget Hotels
Risks To Accommodation Forecast Scenario

H5N1 And H1N1 Virus Update

Business Environment Outlook
Table: Asia Pacific Travel And Tourism Business Environment Ratings
BMI’s Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
China’s Security Risk Ratings
City Terrorism Ratings
Table: BMI’s Asia City Terrorism Index
North East Asia Security Overview
The Geopolitical Importance Of North East Asia
Flashpoints And Fault-lines In North East Asia

Global Assumptions, Q411
Table: Global Assumptions, 2009-2015
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2010-2013 (% chg y-o-y)
Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2010-2013 (average)
Table: Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2010-2013 (average)
Developed States
Table: Developed States’ Real GDP Growth, 2010-2013 (% chg y-o-y)
Emerging Markets
Table: Emerging Markets’ Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2010-2013 (% chg y-o-y)

Company Profiles
Air China
Melco International Development
Shangri-La Asia
Jinjiang International Holdings

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Tourism Industry
Tourism Ratings – Methodology
Table: Tourism Business Environment Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Components
City Terrorism Ratings
Table: City Terrorism Ratings Methodology

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- Air China
- Melco International Development
- Shangri-La Asia
- Jinjiang International Holdings

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