High Performance Computing Forecast for 2011 through 2015: Economic Sectors and Vertical Markets

Intersect360 Research, June 2011, Pages: 31

This research report presents our 2010 total market model and five-year forecast for the overall High Performance Computing (HPC) market along three dimensions: super-segments (High Performance Technical Computing / HPTC and High Performance Business Computing / HPBC), economic sector (government, academia, and industry) and vertical market (e.g., manufacturing, financial services). The forecast horizon is from 2011 through 2015, with compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) using 2010 as a base. HPC market recovery occurred sooner than expected, with double-digit growth in 2010 coming back from the recessionary 2009. Intersect360 Research expects strong growth to continue in 2011 before moderating to more sustainable growth rates in the out-years of the forecast.

- The total HPC market in 2010 was $25.6 billion, growing 22.4% versus 2009.

- Intersect360 Research projects the HPC total revenue CAGR to be 7.0% from 2010 to 2015.

- Industrial usage of HPC is growing faster than academic or governmental, and it is expected to bring in
58.3% of HPC server revenue in 2015.

- By 2015, the top five verticals in terms of absolute HPC server revenues will be academic/not-for-profit, national security, financial services, national research labs, and ultrascale internet. If large-product and consumer product manufacturing are put together, the combined manufacturing segment is slightly larger than financial services, although financial services approaches manufacturing in size throughout the forecast period.

- The top five fastest-growing verticals for server revenue (in terms of CAGR) are chemical engineering,
online games, consumer product manufacturing, ultrascale internet, and energy.

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