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China’s Natural Rubber Industry Research Report in 2011
Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Ltd, Aug 2011, Pages: 80
On the basis of analyzing global natural rubber development status, the report makes deep research on policy environment, supply & demand status, regional market, major down-stream products and key enterprises, forecasts the development trend in the future, also analyzes the whole industry chain from a macroscopic view and provides investment suggestion.
Background
Through exploration, continuous adjustment and improvement for over 50 years, natural rubber production in China gradually concentrated in superior regions where feature suitable weather condition and higher profit, and formed three large production regions are Hainan, Yunnan and Guangdong natural rubber production areas. With the deepening of economic globalization and regional economic integration, natural rubber administrative means like quota management and tariff barrier become weak. China’s natural rubber industry directly is facing international competition pressure.
During the first half of 2010, natural rubber market fluctuated violently, while during the latter half of 2010, natural rubber price went up boosted by many good news and showed complicated and volatile fluctuation trend. On the one hand, Chinese Central Bank published monetary control policies frequently; debt problems in Greece repeated again and again; American economic data was a fairly mixed bag; FED maintained ultra-low interest rates; crude oil price fluctuated violently; all these mentioned extremely unstable external environment showed an unclear direction to natural rubber price. On fundamental aspects, the output of natural rubber in domestic decreased sharply at the end of the year, supply in Southeast Asia producing areas was tight, at the same time demand in downstream was strong, and then pushed the price up in the latter half of 2010.
On the other hand, under the active influence of a series of policies and measures like price regulation, China’s automobile industry kept stable and faster development following the trend of 2009. Since the beginning of 2011, automobile industry has slowed down its steps, the market has been weakening as a whole, but has returned to rational situation. In next five to ten years, supply and demand in automobile industry will maintain increasing trend, leading to great pressure of increasing tire production. Under the circumstances that the planting acreage of natural rubber is hard to grow effectively and agricultural labor is decreasing rapidly, the supply and demand situation will be tighter and demand gap will be enlarged.
On the basis of analyzing global natural rubber development status, the report makes deep research on policy environment, supply & demand status, regional market, major down-stream products and key enterprises, forecasts the development trend in the future, also analyzes the whole industry chain from a macroscopic view and provides investment suggestion.
Based on the data and information from the State Statistics Bureau, Customs, MOA, NDRC, natural rubber association and BOABC, and the comprehensive analysis of historical supply & demand and trend of natural rubber and related industries, the report gives a prospective analysis on the development of Chinese natural rubber in next five to ten years.
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