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Peru Freight Transport Report Q4 2011 - Product Image

Peru Freight Transport Report Q4 2011

  • ID: 1941576
  • October 2011
  • Region: Peru
  • 39 Pages
  • Business Monitor International

BMI is expecting healthy growth in Peru in 2011, and is also bullish about the medium-term outlook, which means the operating environment for the freight transport sector should be supportive.

Despite Ollanta Humala's victory in the presidential elections, the outlook of the economy is believed to remain positive, boosted by good consumer demand and a growing mining sector. As a clearer message from Humala with regards to his economic policy is awaited, BMI maintains its real GDP growth forecasts of 6.2% in 2011 and 4.9% in 2012.

Headline Industry Data:

- Throughput at Callao is expected to grow 6.5% in 2011 to 18.57mn tonnes.
- Air freight is predicted to grow by 8.5% to 245mn tonnes in 2011.
- Total Peruvian trade (imports+exports) will remain strong in 2011, with real term growth of 11.5%.

Key Industry Trends:

Callao Concession Faces More Scrutiny From Incoming Administration

Concerns are mounting about the future of APM Terminals' Muelle Norte container terminal concession at Peru's Callao, the country's biggest port, following reports that the new administration is to take a closer look at the concession. Although the announcement READ MORE >

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Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Peru Freight Transport Industry SWOT
Peru Political SWOT
Peru Economic SWOT
Peru Business Environment SWOT

Industry Trends And Developments
Maritime
Air
Road

Market Overview
Road
Rail
Air
Water

Global Oil Products Price Outlook
Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions, 2011 (US$/bbl)
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts, 2011-2015 (US$/bbl)

Industry Forecast
Air Freight
Table: Air Freight, 2008-2015
Maritime Freight
Table: Maritime Freight - Throughput, 2008-2015 ('000 tonnes)
Rail Freight
Table: Rail Freight, 2008-2015
Trade Overview
Table: Trade Overview, 2008-2015
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2008-2015 (US$mn and % change y-o-y)
Table: Peru's Main Import Partners, 2002-2009 (US$mn)
Table: Peru's Main Export Partners, 2002-2009 (US$mn)

Political Outlook
Short Term Political Outlook
Long-Term Political Outlook

Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Peru - Economic Activity, 2008-2015

Company Profiles
LAN Cargo
Ferrocarril Central Andino
Agunsa

BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Transport Industry
Sources

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- Agunsa
- Ferrocarril Central Andino
- LAN Cargo

Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown
Note: Product cover images may vary from those shown

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