Spain Defence and Security Report Q4 2011
Business Monitor International, October 2011, Pages: 108
The Spanish defence industry is witnessing an increasing squeeze on spending, in line with general budgetary trimming and austerity measures. The budget for 2011 was EUR7.2bn, marking yet another year of reductions aimed at shrinking the country’s deficit. Cutting spending in the sector has become a pan-European trend in 2011, which in turn has led to a similar decline in Spain’s export figures, thereby putting a new emphasis on relations with less traditional importers, particularly Latin America and Asia. Spanish defence firms are likely to be seeing fewer contracts both at home and abroad.
In industry terms, it has been a quiet quarter, although in August 2011, Santa Bárbara Sistemas, the General Dynamics European group, was awarded the supply of cartridges of 7.62 mm x51 links to the domestic army for EUR1.5mn, according to infodefensa.com. Meanwhile, in September Spain joined in with a bid by France, Germany, Italy and Poland to strengthen an EU defence policy by signing a letter of agreement, AFP reported. This came despite Britain abstaining from participation. The signatories had not yet revealed the contents of the joint letter; however, a diplomatic source said it highlighted the need for common defence structures between the European nations.
The Spanish Council of Ministers have also signed off the construction of five new Maritime Action Ships (BAM), including three patrol versions (BAM-P), one BAM-SR for search and rescue operations, and one oceanographic BAM-IO, reports the Spanish ministry of defence. The ships are made by Spain’s Navantia ship-building company, and will replace the existing patrol boats in the Spanish Navy, including the Barceló, Conejera and Toralla. The first BAM unit finished the last sea trials in July 2011.
Spain’s security risks remain moderate given the central government’s continued struggle against the Basque Fatherland and Liberty organisation (ETA), which seeks Basque independence and is accused by the government of being responsible for more than 800 deaths over the past 60 years. ETA’s call for a ceasefire in September 2010 (announced permanent in January 2011) should it fail to yield a lasting peace, would not be the first attempt to end the conflict to fall by the wayside, and there remains potential for the 40-year political struggle to continue for the foreseeable future.
Indeed, one year on after the announcement of the ceasefire there has been little by way of cooperation between ETA and the Spanish government. In September 2011, a Batasuna spokesperson, Txelui Moreno, criticised the government for failing to make any real or ‘constructive’ steps towards peace during the period, Expatica reports. Zapatero rejected these claims, and again called for the abolition of ETA, while Interior Minister Antonio Camacho made a statement saying that ‘the one who has to take the step is ETA’.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Spain Political SWOT
Spain Economic SWOT
Spain Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
Global Hotspots: Libya, Iran, Afghanistan, Korea, Greece
Table: Election Timetable
United States
Latin America
Western Europe
Russia And The Former Soviet Union
Middle East And North Africa
Asia
Wild Cards To Watch
Europe Security Overview
The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
Europe’s Key Security Issues Over The Coming Decade
NATO Relevancy Questioned, But Viable Alternatives Lacking
Political And Geopolitical Consequences Of The Sovereign Debt Crises
Table: Eurozone Convergence Indicators
Security Risk Ratings
Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings
Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
City Terrorism Rating
Table: BMI’s Western Europe City Terrorism Index
Political Overview
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Domestic Security Overview
Domestic Terrorism
Table: Background Brief – ETA
International Terrorism
Latest Developments
Timeline: External Threats
Armed Forces And Government Spending
Armed Forces
Defence Posture
Defence Reform
International Deployments
Table: Spain’s Foreign Deployments
Coordination And Joint Operations
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Structure
Arms Trade Overview
Timeline: Defence And Procurement
Industry Forecast Scenario
Armed Forces
Table: Spain’s Armed Forces, 2002-2008 (‘000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
Table: Spain’s Available Manpower For Military Services, 2009-2015 (‘000, aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
Government Expenditure
Table: Spain’s Government Defence Expenditure, 2008-2015
Table: Spain’s Defence Expenditure Scenarios, Related To GDP Growth, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
Defence Trade
Table: Spain’s Defence Exports, 2008-2015 (US$mn and % change y-o-y)
Table: Spain’s Defence Imports, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
Table: Spain’s Defence Trade Balance, 2008-2015 (US$mn)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Table: Spain – Economic Activity, 2008-2015
Company Profiles
EADS CASA
General Dynamics Santa Bárbara Sistemas
Indra
ITP
Navantia (formerly known as Izar)
Country Snapshot: Spain Demographic Data
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education And Healthcare
Table: Education, 2002-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Defence Industry
City Terrorism Rating
Table: Methodology
Sources
- EADS CASA
- General Dynamics Santa Bárbara Sistemas
- Indra
- ITP
- Navantia
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